Lightning Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 17 minutes ago, laferri2 said: Yep, another storm that's gonna end up wrapping around the Metro area. The Oakland\Wayne\Macomb weather shield in action. Used to live in Macomb county. I would never want to spend a winter there again. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Owensnow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Plumes back up to 11-17 inches at TTF just south of DTW and north of TOL on the western shore of lake Erie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Owensnow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 TTF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 15 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: The snow is nowhere near over. It was a frustrating start but the goods are yet to come. Yep still several hours left. So far this storm is doing exactly what I expected as my call looks solid. Just not what I hoped!! . I was able to keep about 1-2" snow pack (though there were some normal bare spots). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, Owensnow said: TTF What universe is the purple one on the bottom?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Chicago NWS for lake effect possibility Lake effect snow showers are expected to develop late this evening, possibly across far northwest IN and then spreading west into northeast IL. Confidence for lake effect snow showers is medium to high, but confidence is low for timing/location. Trends seem to focus a band near ord/mdw from the predawn hours through mid/late Thursday morning. Opted to carry tempo mention for lower conditions, but these could become prevailing depending on where the lake effect sets up. And there is some potential for it to continue into Thursday afternoon, especially near ORD and across far northeast IL. Large changes are possible with the lake effect as trends emerge tonight into Thursday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheRegionRat Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, ILSNOW said: Chicago NWS for lake effect possibility Lake effect snow showers are expected to develop late this evening, possibly across far northwest IN and then spreading west into northeast IL. Confidence for lake effect snow showers is medium to high, but confidence is low for timing/location. Trends seem to focus a band near ord/mdw from the predawn hours through mid/late Thursday morning. Opted to carry tempo mention for lower conditions, but these could become prevailing depending on where the lake effect sets up. And there is some potential for it to continue into Thursday afternoon, especially near ORD and across far northeast IL. Large changes are possible with the lake effect as trends emerge tonight into Thursday morning. Hope it gets delayed for quite some time over my neck of the woods prior to moving into Illinois. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Owensnow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, Lightning said: What universe is the purple one on the bottom?? LOL no clue, just like the one at the top, all i know is I have been watching these climb steadily since 9Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 hour ago, Lightning said: Post Alert. Feb 2nd 12Z GFS says we can basically repeat this all over starting hour 270. Even has a really good Chicago LES band by hour 312. In pt 2 I mentioned this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Hoping the lake can help give a boost with low level moisture/saturation around here tomorrow even with the lake effect band itself looking to be primarily west. Low level flow is still onshore to some extent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Hope ev1 is enjoying winter finally. Good month 4 u all down that way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 36 minutes ago, snowstormcanuck said: -RA and 35. Just sitting back and waiting to see what transpires. Yup, taking forever for the front to arrive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 HRRR/RAP killed it w last week's LES event, so feeling pretty good with what they're showing for the next 24ish hours Any insight from the pros on how LES parameters are looking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 10-12 inches over the city about done tomorrow a miss south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, homedis said: HRRR/RAP killed it w last week's LES event, so feeling pretty good with what they're showing for the next 24ish hours 18z hrrr gonna push 20" over n cook for a real run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 9 minutes ago, Brian D said: In pt 2 I mentioned this. It would be great if we could get better phasing. The 2nd wave tomorrow is leaving so much VORT in the 4 corner area into Texas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, A-L-E-K said: 18z hrrr gonna push 20" over n cook for a real run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 39 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: When was the last time a storm "wrapped around" the 3 county metro area? It's clearly not going to be an epic storm but as nwohio has been posting...it seems many don't even follow timelines. I'm pissed that the old snow caused pudding on the frozen ground and also that we won't be getting epic accumulation, but it still should be a solid storm by tmrw. And looks like it'll be very scenic. We are going to struggle to get to 6" trust me. We are getting screwed. Solid storm sure but when you are forecasted double to triple. It's a complete rug pull. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 doing the math on hitting 20 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Pingertown beginning. Drove about 10 miles to the NW and the snow was kicking in. It was sticking quick should have no problem quickly accumulating once it gets here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, A-L-E-K said: doing the math on hitting 20 I’m sure the mere idea of busting low by *double* is exciting enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 HRRR is probably a little off its rocker with the magnitude of LES, but warming up to the idea of somebody in Cook county getting over 6" of LES. Parameters aren't as good as last time but the duration should help compensate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, Stebo said: We are going to struggle to get to 6" trust me. We are getting screwed. Solid storm sure but when you are forecasted double to triple. It's a complete rug pull. Not sure on that...latest hrrr now has it snowing at dtw straight thru til 5pm tmrw. Hopefully We can really start to fluff up after these terribly low ratios. Really coming down now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laferri2 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, Stebo said: We are going to struggle to get to 6" trust me. We are getting screwed. Solid storm sure but when you are forecasted double to triple. It's a complete rug pull. Macomb is approaching 9 hours of snow and the grass is still visible. The radar isn't any great shakes for the foreseeable future, either. I still think by the end of the entire multi-wave event Metro will be sitting at ~10", but points north and south will be at 18-20". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
featherwx Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Any chance the LES bullseye ends up a little further SE (Chicago metro and South Side)? Or is it mainly just a question of how much the north side and suburbs get? EDIT: either way, can’t complain too much with the synoptic snow still cranking down here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Nice, thanks for sharing that. You could really see that turbine speed up as it transitioned to snow that was cool. Still hoping for big numbers. Models are trying to kiss us. I just drove up to Nevada to see some flakes, it started kicking really good there. Yes Im impatient as hell with this one, its the first single snow over an inch for the season here lol. 2 hours ago, KokomoWX said: I done disagree. So much rain and lost potential. We have switched over and it is coming down hard. I tossed us a live stream before going home for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 9 minutes ago, Stebo said: We are going to struggle to get to 6" trust me. We are getting screwed. Solid storm sure but when you are forecasted double to triple. It's a complete rug pull. Ya, these transition events are notoriously bad for amounts. Heavy rain still here and temperature is actually slowly climbing still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, featherwx said: Any chance the LES bullseye ends up a little further SE (Chicago metro and South Side)? Or is it mainly just a question of how much the north side and suburbs get? EDIT: either way, can’t complain too much with the synoptic snow still cranking down here Definitely in the range of fire (ex. RAP bullseyes DT Chi a little more) but either way its gonna be more of a now-cast situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
miamarsden8 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 11 minutes ago, ILSNOW said: So, you're saying there's still a chance for me getting 6-8 inches in Cincy? :') Honestly I think we'll see 2-5 inches, it feels like it's going to be a disappointment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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