Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,606
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    ArlyDude
    Newest Member
    ArlyDude
    Joined

Feb 1-3rd GHD III Part 3


Chicago Storm
 Share

Recommended Posts

Several 1"/hr (0.5"+) snowfall OBS at ORD and MDW this morning.

KORD 021451Z 35014KT 1/2SM R10L/3500V4500FT SN FZFG VV012 M08/M10 A3022 RMK AO2 SLP243 SNINCR 1/4 P0003 60012 T10781100 53019
KORD 021351Z 35013KT 1/2SM R10L/3500V4000FT SN FZFG VV009 M07/M09 A3021 RMK AO2 SLP237 SNINCR 1/3 P0004 T10721094

 

KMDW 021353Z 36014KT 3/4SM R31C/2600V3000FT -SN BR VV007 M04/M07 A3020 RMK AO2 SLP237 SNINCR 1/6 P0001 T10441072
KMDW 021253Z 36011KT 3/4SM R31C/5000VP6000FT -SN BR VV008 M03/M06 A3018 RMK AO2 SLP230 SNINCR 1/5 P0002 T10331056

KMDW 021453Z COR 35012KT 1/2SM R31C/2600V3000FT SN FZFG VV006 M06/M08 A3022 RMK AO2 SLP244 SNINCR 1/7 P0002 60005 T10561078 53018

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

Lovely sight out there.  Still have trees and stuff pasted but there's quite a bit of blowing snow too.  Actually more blowing than I thought there would be at this point.

Definitely a different feel out there this last hour. Woke up to big fat lazy flakes and now it’s really blowing around. Chiller and windier for sure. Enjoying this part of the storm 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Back at home, work let people leave if they wanted to.

Have to be around 6" or so, drifting so bad be hard to get a good measurement. Shoveled a path from back door to yard and a small area in the grass for my dog. 

 

Roads were pretty bad, but no cars im ditches which for the first real snow of the year is impressive. Only vehicle I seen with problems was a road plow, was plowing an entrance to the state fairgrounds and must have git his front tire in a dip or hole, couldn't go forward or backward so must not have had much salt in the bed.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6.1" here as of 930 am. The rates when I woke up at a bit after 8am were really impressive, some of the heaviest since I've been living in the Naper Carriage Hill subdivision (since May 2015). We've since eased back to -SN/borderline SN with a slight recent uptick.

Had told neighborhood friends expecting 6-8" locally, so should fall right in that range. My top end/90th percentile range was 10-12" which would've required that band to be a lot more slow moving. Nice event.



  • Like 7
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said:

6.1" here as of 930 am. The rates when I woke up at a bit after 8am were really impressive, some of the heaviest since I've been living in the Naper Carriage Hill subdivision (since 2015). We've since eased back to -SN/borderline SN with a slight recent uptick.

Had told neighborhood friends expecting 6-8" locally, so should fall right in that range. My top end/90th percentile range was 10-12" which would've required that band to be a lot more slow moving. Nice event.

Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
 

Nice job by you guys on this. Stood the course in a very tough gradient situation and looks like you will end up almost spot on in most zones. Not easy to do.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Looking at the radar and current conditions it looks like along a line from Angola, IN to Hillsdale, MI has transitioned to snow. Modeling showed this almost perfectly, Toledo was not supposed to be all snow until around 1-2 PM with potential mixing really until rush hour. I'd feel very confident looking at the radar and previous results off to the west already in the 10-18" predictions.

I will add it's a shame LE is out of play but that lake is pretty frozen over now. Could get some really high rates on Thursday if this were not the case

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said:

6.1" here as of 930 am. The rates when I woke up at a bit after 8am were really impressive, some of the heaviest since I've been living in the Naper Carriage Hill subdivision (since 2015). We've since eased back to -SN/borderline SN with a slight recent uptick.

Had told neighborhood friends expecting 6-8" locally, so should fall right in that range. My top end/90th percentile range was 10-12" which would've required that band to be a lot more slow moving. Nice event.

Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
 

Any thoughts on the northern end for tomorrow?  I pulled some forecast soundings locally and there's a pesky dry layer around 900-850 mb, but most of the rest of the column is moist/almost saturated.  

Obviously wherever the lake effect band is would help.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

38 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said:

6.1" here as of 930 am. The rates when I woke up at a bit after 8am were really impressive, some of the heaviest since I've been living in the Naper Carriage Hill subdivision (since May 2015). We've since eased back to -SN/borderline SN with a slight recent uptick.

Had told neighborhood friends expecting 6-8" locally, so should fall right in that range. My top end/90th percentile range was 10-12" which would've required that band to be a lot more slow moving. Nice event.


 

In recalling the models and their gradient across Cook County I'd have to say they nailed it.  I'm just about to 2" here in southern Lake County while I see you folks in Cook reporting 6"+.  

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, Jonger said:

This is my concern.

Screenshot_20220202-114117_MyRadar.thumb.jpg.b0804ce5f2df613f3d062e3935c46945.jpg

Environment Canada has cancelled the weather advisories for Toronto. Its rare for them to do it before the event has really started but shows how little impact they expect this storm to have. 

Original winter weather advisory was for 4-8" but now the forecast mentions more rain and max 2-4" for the event. 

  • Sad 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

54 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said:

6.1" here as of 930 am. The rates when I woke up at a bit after 8am were really impressive, some of the heaviest since I've been living in the Naper Carriage Hill subdivision (since May 2015). We've since eased back to -SN/borderline SN with a slight recent uptick.

Had told neighborhood friends expecting 6-8" locally, so should fall right in that range. My top end/90th percentile range was 10-12" which would've required that band to be a lot more slow moving. Nice event.


 

Got 3 here any  thoughts on the possible lake overnight into tomorrow?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, mississaugasnow said:

Environment Canada has cancelled the weather advisories for Toronto. Its rare for them to do it before the event has really started but shows how little impact they expect this storm to have. 

Original winter weather advisory was for 4-8" but now the forecast mentions more rain and max 2-4" for the event. 

We'll probably end up with 6 inches, but areas to the north and south will do better because of that north/south stream split pivoting over my area. 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...