Stevo6899 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: We probably won't have much left ahead of the storm if it stays mild like this all night, but it really is a moot point. I just got off the phone with my mom she said it was Sunny and almost 50ﾟthere today. Had to feel like 70 with the cold y'all have had this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 9 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: We probably won't have much left ahead of the storm if it stays mild like this all night, but it really is a moot point. I live in Canton and a lot of my yard is still very frozen even with warm temps suprisingly. Thin layer in sun areas thawed won’t take much to freeze over unless we get a good amount of rain 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AWMT30 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, SolidIcewx said: I live in Canton and a lot of my yard is still very frozen even with warm temps suprisingly. Thin layer in sun areas thawed won’t take much to freeze over unless we get a good amount of rain I live in North Canton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Its currently drizzling here. Virga hole on radar. Dry layer between 5k and 10k feet needs to fill in before returns can reach the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 44 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: The HRRR LES is unrealistic. Probably. If those kind of totals occur with the progged parameters, that would be pretty impressive. I think the main system would have to shift north to get over 20" in Cook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IMADreamer Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Still all rain here at my house. Temp is 32 though so the change is coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Andrew Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 50 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: The HRRR LES is unrealistic. Has Chicago ever had a lake effect enhanced snowstorm a la Cleveland or Buffalo? I went to school up at Northwestern and remember the 20+ inch storm in January 1999 but no real lake effect machine up in Evanston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, AWMT30 said: I live in North Canton Small world eh? A few of us in Wayne county or close by. I’m liking these NW ticks. I leave work at 8am so hope it’s changed over and almost 32 by then 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CANNOTDIVIDEBY0 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 9 minutes ago, Jersey Andrew said: Has Chicago ever had a lake effect enhanced snowstorm a la Cleveland or Buffalo? I went to school up at Northwestern and remember the 20+ inch storm in January 1999 but no real lake effect machine up in Evanston. Usually happens once a year. Last year we had a big one where lake enahnced snow torched the shoreline and about 5-10 miles in. Then just last Friday we got 8~ inches just on lake effect snow. But no, we don't ever get what buffalo gets. The wind rarely comes off the lake from the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 I'm maybe 1/2 mi south of Joy. Just barely in Canton vs Plymouth. New here just since August. Will be first major storm obviously at my current place. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 What's typically more accurate at this range, HRRR or Nam? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 33 minutes ago, Stevo6899 said: I just got off the phone with my mom she said it was Sunny and almost 50ﾟthere today. Had to feel like 70 with the cold y'all have had this winter. It felt so warm it was crazy. Funny how your body does that. Now tonight with the moisture increasing it feels damp. Just a funny feel after it's been so dry cold for so long. Snow cover now ranges from grass to 2" and where there are grass patches the ground remains rock hard. Guess it's all part of the ingredients that make this storm come together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 33 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said: I live in Canton and a lot of my yard is still very frozen even with warm temps suprisingly. Thin layer in sun areas thawed won’t take much to freeze over unless we get a good amount of rain Just see my previous post.. I was thinking the same thing. It's funny how frozen the ground remains despite the warm day. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: It felt so warm it was crazy. Funny how your body does that. Now tonight with the moisture increasing it feels damp. Just a funny feel after it's been so dry cold for so long. Snow cover now ranges from grass to 2" and where there are grass patches the ground remains rock hard. Guess it's all part of the ingredients that make this storm come together. It seems that's a common theme with snowstorms in our area. It warms up A-day or 2 before the snowstorm and unfortunately we start over at 0 by the time the snow starts again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fluoronium Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Switching over now, very slippery layer of frozen slush on paved surfaces. Untreated roads are slick in spots as well. I don't think the warm day did much thawing of the ground. I guess those days going below zero with a bare ground have paid off. HRRR, NAM, and 3km NAM have me right in the bullseye for the biggest snow storm of my life. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just noticed 00z HRRR has a period of impressive wind gusts in eastern Illinois for a few hours Thursday morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 I've lost my excitement from earlier, this is going to end up another, and typical, I-74 and north special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CANNOTDIVIDEBY0 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Future 48 hr snow totals from the weather channel app. Pack it up boys, it's a dud. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 ^lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just let the dog out to take a GFS and its raining harder than I thought it was. Work comes early so I'll see where we are in the morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Man we lost a lot of snow today. What mid 40s and some rain can do, think we lost 6-8” of snowcover 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Broke the seal here in southeast Naperville a few blocks north of WillCo border. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Starting to change over to snow here now. Roads already getting snow covered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Asking about the change over here in NW Ohio. Would it be better to follow the HRRR or the Nam for timing?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 Snow has started here at home and at ORD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dalfy Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 For those in LSX: 000 FXUS63 KLSX 020254 AFDLSX Area Forecast Discussion...Updated National Weather Service Saint Louis MO 854 PM CST Tue Feb 1 2022 .UPDATE... Issued at 830 PM CST Tue Feb 1 2022 A broad area of precipitation stretches from interior sections of central Illinois to southwest Missouri this evening. Coverage and arrival time of the precipitation is in good agreement with expectations so far. Automated surface observations show sub-freezing air making progress into portions of northeast Missouri and west-central Illinois. Rain transitioned to a brief period of freezing rain/sleet around Quincy before changing to all snow around the 02z hour. Reports of all snow in Hannibal also provide ground truth to the advancing cold air. What has been evident over the last 3-4 hours is that the cold air has run about 20-25 miles further southeast than hourly forecast trends previously depicted. Updates have been made to reflect this trend with the potential that FZRA/PL could be 1-2 hours ahead of schedule, should this trend win out. The only question remains the warm nose aloft and how long it holds/erodes tonight into the morning period. This trend will need to be monitored through the night, as any deviation will have the greatest impact on accumulations near the transition zone (southeast MO/southwest IL). Maples && Current rain snow line: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Joined the party here. Flurries have commenced Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 SN- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 03Z RAP cracking me up lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 That came on super fast, SN in Wicker Park. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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