CAPE Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 32 with some spotty drizzle driving in this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 If this works out (radar says it might) the Canadian suite has been on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 18 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: If this works out (radar says it might) the Canadian suite has been on this. Yes 100% agree with this. Was thinking all along it was way too far nw but even down this way I’m still at 23 and precip on my doorstep. Unprecedented if you ask me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Yes 100% agree with this. Was thinking all along it was way too far nw but even down this way I’m still at 23 and precip on my doorstep. Unprecedented if you ask me.Looking like a terrible bust, but also think it looks like most of us will warm up too much for it to be impactful. You might get lucky with your location + timing. HDRPS doesn’t look totally crazy though, if it clouds up a bit earlier… has .25” of ice here lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 19 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: If this works out (radar says it might) the Canadian suite has been on this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 3 minutes ago, LP08 said: If it was seriously cold enough to support snow... this would be a memorable bust. When I say the Canadian suite has been on it, they haven't shown it to the extent they did till last night, but they've had FRZA out my way for a few days. Sorta impressive short-range coup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Hmmmm, if only it was colder. Either way we can just use the good ole weenie rule that the precip will cool the column enough to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 50 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: If it was seriously cold enough to support snow... this would be a memorable bust. When I say the Canadian suite has been on it, they haven't shown it to the extent they did till last night, but they've had FRZA out my way for a few days. Sorta impressive short-range coup. Definitely, the way the radar is lined up we seem to at the very least have some sort of precipitation moving in when most models predicted nothing, if only it could arrive 8 hours earlier or later or it just be a bit colder out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Give me a low over the outter Banks in prime climo with a pretty good antecedent airmass and let's see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 HRRR trending better precip wise for what its worth 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Am I missing something? Are we rooting for some light rain showers? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Am I missing something? Are we rooting for some light rain showers? Moderate rain showers, actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 2 hours ago, Buddy1987 said: Yes 100% agree with this. Was thinking all along it was way too far nw but even down this way I’m still at 23 and precip on my doorstep. Unprecedented if you ask me. 1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said: Looking like a terrible bust, but also think it looks like most of us will warm up too much for it to be impactful. You might get lucky with your location + timing. HDRPS doesn’t look totally crazy though, if it clouds up a bit earlier… has .25” of ice here lol. 18 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: HRRR trending better precip wise for what its worth Nothing spectacular, but I have flurries and a few sleet pellets falling in last hour and currently 26.2/22.4. So definitely a bit further west than even the models showing.... I'm 15 miles off WV line. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 1 minute ago, Cobalt said: Moderate rain showers, actually. Oh, well in THAT case. ALL IN 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Am I missing something? Are we rooting for some light rain showers?It’s fun to track a surprise - even surprise rain showers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 The precip shield is pretty clearly going to extend further to the northwest than initially thought. The problem for weenies, however, is that even with "close" sfc temps, the forecasted soundings overall don't seem to support snow on the northwest edge. That said, some of the temperature profiles wouldn't require too much cooling to become wet snow, so I suppose that a few surprises are possible. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 1 minute ago, high risk said: The precip shield is pretty clearly going to extend further to the northwest than initially thought. The problem for weenies, however, is that even with "close" sfc temps, the forecasted soundings overall don't seem to support snow on the northwest edge. That said, some of the temperature profiles wouldn't require too much cooling to become wet snow, so I suppose that a few surprises are possible. I mean I'm not expecting anything... but still would be cool to get an hour or two of wet snow falling 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Actually pretty decent snow/sleet mix here and starting to accumulate. Looks like rock salt out there lol. Any winter weather is a win 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 6 minutes ago, high risk said: The precip shield is pretty clearly going to extend further to the northwest than initially thought. The problem for weenies, however, is that even with "close" sfc temps, the forecasted soundings overall don't seem to support snow on the northwest edge. That said, some of the temperature profiles wouldn't require too much cooling to become wet snow, so I suppose that a few surprises are possible. We needed this to happen overnight tonight and that would have helped a little. I’d imagine elevation and ruralness will play a role in whatever slush meteors may fall. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 12Z ICON on board with some flakes in Leesburg this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Hmmm. GFS gets flakes even out here to Winchester tonight. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSG Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Could someone point me to a place where I can find daily/monthly records for major airports? And not the long-term averages, I need annual records. I'm trying to rank what Cville saw from Jan 3rd - 31st. We averaged about 3 degrees below normal over the period and had like 250% of our normal snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GramaxRefugee Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 24 minutes ago, TSG said: Could someone point me to a place where I can find daily/monthly records for major airports? And not the long-term averages, I need annual records. I'm trying to rank what Cville saw from Jan 3rd - 31st. We averaged about 3 degrees below normal over the period and had like 250% of our normal snowfall https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=lwx How much snow did you get? Here is January, hi to low. (Might need to take this with a grain of salt.) ETA : Might be 6th snowiest Jan, based on NorthArlington101's 15" number, 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted February 7, 2022 Author Share Posted February 7, 2022 17 minutes ago, TSG said: Could someone point me to a place where I can find daily/monthly records for major airports? And not the long-term averages, I need annual records. I'm trying to rank what Cville saw from Jan 3rd - 31st. We averaged about 3 degrees below normal over the period and had like 250% of our normal snowfall https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate This is a good place... at least for our local airports. I'm not sure how other forecast offices display their climate data. Just click on the forecasting area you want and that should lead you to a lot more climate data is they have it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Had a couple hours of of "Snow TV" in Lynchburg. No accumulation. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Snowing very very lightly here northwest of Staunton. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 40/35, I doubt any snow is falling here. Since it will be rain, we will manage to eek every drop of QPF we can get though. Seems like it could be a surprise snow storm for some to the N/W (which they are due) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 None of that precip was hitting the ground down here in Charlottesville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Very light snow in Harrisonburg while walking to class. Nice ambience 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 i saw a flake or two Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now