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February Discobs 2022


George BM
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38 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Winchester (KOKV) stats for January. 
 

29 consecutive days below 32. Only Jan 1 and 2 were not.

16 days with temps in the teens or lower.

13 days of high temps 32 or lower.

I wish I counted the mornings below 20 here. Seems like every morning in January was in the teens here. 17 degrees as I type. 

Edit: 16 degrees 

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46 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

I wish I counted the mornings below 20 here. Seems like every morning in January was in the teens here. 17 degrees as I type. 

Edit: 16 degrees 

My information is online. I’m not keeping track of anything lol. If it wasn’t online I wouldn’t know

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1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Winchester (KOKV) stats for January. 
 

29 consecutive days below 32. Only Jan 1 and 2 were not.

16 days with temps in the teens or lower.

13 days of high temps 32 or lower.

took a gander at my backyard station

Jan high temp: 59.6 on Jan 2

Jan low temp: 6 on Jan 16

11 days at or below freezing

Lowest high temp: 20 on Jan 21

2.87 precip for the month

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2 hours ago, MN Transplant said:

I know all eyes are on the precipitation, but I can’t get over what the 3km NAM is trying to do tomorrow.  It holds us all near freezing all day, while the Euro, GFS, and HRRR all take us to the upper 40s.

 

56 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

@MN Transplant  12z 3km NAM still has near freezing high temps for tomorrow.  6z Euro was mid-upper 40s, 6z GFS was mid 40s.  

Non-expert thought:

I wonder whether this has to do with how the NAM is handling the interaction between the snowpack over the Delmarva and the near surface air and how it's handling the albedo effect. Skew-t's on the 3km NAM suggest that low clouds move in from the east overnight/pre-dawn tomorrow morning and hang around all day while none of the other models do this. 

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Gonna predict DCA continues the streak by hitting 32 at the 8:52pm obs with an overnight low of 28.

I still have 1” of fluffy snow in full shaded ground areas.  The cold overnights seem to prevent any melting even with a fully shaded High of 40. 
it not icy nor refrozen. It’s fluffy snow 

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3 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Very foggy outside right now

Yes, extremely foggy....very weird.

Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
700 AM EST Wed Feb 2 2022

DCZ001-MDZ003>006-008-011-013-014-016>018-503>508-VAZ028-030-031-
039-040-050>057-501-502-505-506-WVZ051>053-021400-
District of Columbia-Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-
Northern Baltimore-Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-
Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Northwest Montgomery-
Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard-
Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford-
Frederick VA-Warren-Clarke-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper-
Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax-
Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-Spotsylvania-
King George-Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-
Eastern Loudoun-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson-
Including the cities of Washington, Hagerstown, Frederick,
Ballenger Creek, Eldersburg, Westminster, Reisterstown,
Cockeysville, Elkton, Baltimore, Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill,
Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel, Camp Springs,
Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate, Severna Park, Arnold,
Odenton, St. Charles, Waldorf, Lexington Park, California,
Chesapeake Beach, Huntingtown, Dunkirk, North Beach, Lusby,
Prince Frederick, Germantown, Damascus, Bethesda, Rockville,
Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Lisbon, Columbia, Ellicott City,
Jarrettsville, Aberdeen, Winchester, Front Royal, Berryville,
Madison, Orange, Gordonsville, Culpeper, Dale City, Manassas,
Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, Montclair, Reston, Herndon, Annandale,
Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria,
Falls Church, Falmouth, Fredericksburg, Dahlgren, Warrenton,
Turnbull, Purcellville, Leesburg, Ashburn, Sterling, Paw Paw,
Martinsburg, Charles Town, and Shepherdstown
700 AM EST Wed Feb 2 2022

.NOW...

...Patchy freezing fog this morning...

Patchy freezing fog is expected this morning. Motorists should
use caution and be prepared for rapidly changing visibility along
with icy patches. The fog will dissipate later this morning.
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21 hours ago, George BM said:

 

Non-expert thought:

I wonder whether this has to do with how the NAM is handling the interaction between the snowpack over the Delmarva and the near surface air and how it's handling the albedo effect. Skew-t's on the 3km NAM suggest that low clouds move in from the east overnight/pre-dawn tomorrow morning and hang around all day while none of the other models do this. 

The 3km NAM flipped to a mid-40s high today with the 06z run.  

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 It was 40 at 10 which is warmest  for time since 1/2..Tomorrow  just 2nd time since 1/2  not below  freezing and the consecutive streak ends also.

This 30 day run 1/3-2/2 is impressive but short of historic. Perhaps close to Top 20 since 1970  but unsure. Close to -4.5 during this run. We dont get a lot of that.

 

 

 

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