dryslot Posted February 3, 2022 Author Share Posted February 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: Euro another tick warmer in the midlvls. No soundings available yet on pivotal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 That's alot of IP on the latest NAM. Looks like about 1" QPF of it. Still 43 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: She gone in all of SNE.. even Will That will mitigate the likelihood of ice dams which were a big potential with colder temps and more snow quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Just now, dryslot said: No soundings available yet on pivotal. Just going by the ptype maps and the fact there's a slight lag...at least versus 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Euro the winner with this system among the globals? I haven’t followed closely the past few days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 16 minutes ago, MRVexpat said: Animals, Obscured by Clouds and especially Meddle are favorites. The latter might be #1 overall for me....hard to beat Dark Side tho They’ve had so many albums and as a college boy in the late 90s, whatever CD’s we had we played of theirs. I don’t think we ever had/played Meddle though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 3, 2022 Author Share Posted February 3, 2022 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Just going by the ptype maps and the fact there's a slight lag...at least versus 00z. It didn't appear much different then 06z, But until i can look its speculation, Hate being in this position, Its not usually this close to have to be concerned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: They’ve had so many albums and as a college boy in the late 90s, whatever CD’s we had we played of theirs. I don’t think we ever had/played Meddle though. You're a soccer guy. Give this a listen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 1 minute ago, mreaves said: You're a soccer guy. Give this a listen That’s on Meddle? Then yea..we had it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Euro the winner with this system among the globals? I haven’t followed closely the past few days. Yeah I think it will be....it was too warm a few days ago, but it's going to be closer than the GFS. Not by a ton, but I think Euro is prob gonna win this like 60/40 compromise....I'll have to go back and see what each run had at D4.5-5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: It didn't appear much different then 06z, But until i can look its speculation, Hate being in this position, Its not usually this close to have to be concerned. Hoping you get crushed but thats close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MRVexpat Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, mreaves said: You're a soccer guy. Give this a listen YNWA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Not related to the storm but related to winter weather.....Today is the 63rd anniversary of The Day The Music Died... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 3, 2022 Author Share Posted February 3, 2022 Just now, ineedsnow said: Hoping you get crushed but thats close To close. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 I think the euro overall wins. GFS a few days ago was way too cold and south with this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: I think the euro overall wins. GFS a few days ago was way too cold and south with this. Yea. The gfs fooled the ice humpers pretty badly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_observer Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 22 minutes ago, powderfreak said: What a crush job on the EURO. A lot of QPF there in that area south of the snowfall line. Doesn't matter if its sleet or freezing rain, it's not going to be pretty if that pans out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea. The gfs fooled the ice humpers pretty badly. I still think we get plenty of sleet and a narrow zone will get crushed with ice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 3, 2022 Author Share Posted February 3, 2022 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea. The gfs fooled the ice humpers pretty badly. Ice humpers to bridge jumpers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Ice humpers to bridge jumpers? It’s a seamless transition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 3, 2022 Author Share Posted February 3, 2022 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s a seamless transition. That's the transition zone for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MegaMike Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 30 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: The only thing I know for sure is that the NAM 3km does incorporate a riming factor when outputting snow. Not quite explicit pytpe forecast, but close to it. Ah, yes. Sounds like it's (snowfall) computed via NAM's (only available for the nested, 3km domain) microphysics scheme (Ferrier-Algo): TT has this product on their website (Ferrier SLR), so it must be available somewhere. If this is computed diagnostically, then this is the fourth model (that I'm aware of) that computes snowfall between PBL timesteps. RAP & HRRR: Weighted snow density wrt individual hydrometeors - https://github.com/wrf-model/WRF/blob/master/phys/module_sf_ruclsm.F. Most straightforward algorithm to understand - search for 'SNOWFALLAC.' Since it depends on temperature at the lowest atmospheric level, I think these products will tend to be overestimated if QPF is correct. NAM 3km: Looks like bulk snow density as a function of volume flux. https://github.com/wrf-model/WRF/blob/master/phys/module_mp_fer_hires.F - search for 'ASNOW' and 'ASNOWnew.' ICON: Can't tell for sure... Can't find its source code. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: Ice humpers to bridge jumpers? No Tubthumpers? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: That's the transition zone for this one. Yup. Living on the edge. It’s WCT’s theme song. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 7 minutes ago, klw said: No Tubthumpers? They get knocked down but they’ll get up again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Getting brighter. Sun trying to come out. 41.FSent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Hit 44F but down to 39F with -SHRA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 46.3 :/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 19 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: I still think we get plenty of sleet and a narrow zone will get crushed with ice I’m still believing that’s N CT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 20 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: I still think we get plenty of sleet and a narrow zone will get crushed with ice I wish you all the frozen pellets and crushing freezing rain that is atmospherically possible and hope you get more than your grid can handle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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