moneypitmike Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 46 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Nice little snow burst on the back end this run for the pike region. Nothing gets me more excited than a chance of back-end snow to a sleet storm. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 lol its funny how Tolland wasnt even a town on Ryans map but said Tolland could briefly reach 50 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: lol its funny how Tolland wasnt even a town on Ryans map but said Tolland could briefly reach 50 He ripped and read the NAM he said . You could see him trying not to laugh 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: lol its funny how Tolland wasnt even a town on Ryans map but said Tolland could briefly reach 50 hahaha. I know it was hard not to. 1 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: He ripped and read the NAM he said . You could see him trying not to laugh Yeah I was using 3km NAM temps and ptype. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
masonwoods Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 53 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: But man, that is a pelletfest for about 4-5 hours here on Friday morning. During heavy precip too. Do you think the NAM could cool enough to increase the snow across SNH? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, masonwoods said: Do you think the NAM could cool enough to increase the snow across SNH? I supposed it’s possible. But these tend to have pesky warm layers aloft that prolong the sleet. If you get another tick colder on the 00z run then the snow would be looking a lot better in SNH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I supposed it’s possible. But these tend to have pesky warm layers aloft that prolong the sleet. If you get another tick colder on the 00z run then the snow would be looking a lot better in SNH. With a SWFE Up here it’s a battle to hold off the warmth, and usually we can get a good dumping before we go to drizzle and sleet. That is I suppose easier to predict in some ways. When we’re waiting for the cold air to come in it feels more like a crapshoot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: With a SWFE Up here it’s a battle to hold off the warmth, and usually we can get a good dumping before we go to drizzle and sleet. That is I suppose easier to predict in some ways. When we’re waiting for the cold air to come in it feels more like a crapshoot. Agreed. When there's already cold air in place it seems like you can bank on 4-6 or 6-8 around here before it goes to drizzle. The ones that tend to be negative busts are situations where we're waiting for the cold air to arrive before the steady precip leaves. And of course it doesn't help that you're starting with relatively warm, wet surfaces - so sometimes it can take a little while before snow really starts to accumulate after changeover unless it's one of those rare flash-freeze scenarios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 ping city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, JC-CT said: ping city Pong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Pong? Mostly ping, but maybe some pong in there too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 tons of sleet on the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Warmer run overall. not much zr, mostly ip for CT after the rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Less plain rain faster push more sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Less plain rain faster push more sleet Compared to what Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 The GFS is definitely less torchy with the dews than the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Compared to what Nam and HRRR Seems to be the general theme as we close in . General idea ofmoving towards RAP idea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Nam and HRRR Yeah maybe a little bit. They are all kind of within an hour or two of each other with the changeover. The bigger difference is what happens before that. Both the NAM and HRRR are a lot uglier with high dews and temps than the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Seems to be the general theme as we close in . Most stuff moving towards RAP idea These runs are all 18z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 How much sleet are we thinking here, @CoastalWx @ORH_wxman. I’d think we’d be in a decent spot for some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Updated for the BTV forecast area 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 10 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: How much sleet are we thinking here, @CoastalWx @ORH_wxman. I’d think we’d be in a decent spot for some Not much down there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 59 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: With a SWFE Up here it’s a battle to hold off the warmth, and usually we can get a good dumping before we go to drizzle and sleet. That is I suppose easier to predict in some ways. When we’re waiting for the cold air to come in it feels more like a crapshoot. Yeah we’re waiting on the midlevels. The NAM sucks for us and the gfs trended worse. We’re really close though (especially me) so I’m not giving up yet. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Yeah we’re waiting on the midlevels. The NAM sucks for us and the gfs trended worse. We’re really close though (especially me) so I’m not giving up yet. gl up there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, dendrite said: Yeah we’re waiting on the midlevels. The NAM sucks for us and the gfs trended worse. We’re really close though (especially me) so I’m not giving up yet. At least the sleet is a pack insurance program. We should least get a few inches of snow on top of that and then we wait for what could be a good two or three weeks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 40 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: How much sleet are we thinking here, @CoastalWx @ORH_wxman. I’d think we’d be in a decent spot for some Could be quite a bit, more than half inch QPF worth. I'll need to look tonight....been one of those days haha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
duncanwxnh Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 hours ago, mahk_webstah said: Well I have learned that the NAM is often very good with the warm tongue. So I hope it's coming in a little warmer than reality. But it seems to me that some of us are on the line for a bunch of sleet and a few inches of snow vs. some sleet and 8-10 inches of snow. And that line probably runs very close to KCON. Aren't we just lucky! Nooot!!Time for the crampons Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_observer Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Harvey just mentioned about 1-3” sleet. Better than getting it as all ice I guess… 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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