mahk_webstah Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Yeah the accums gradient bumped decently north. Looks good here for 8-10" though. sometimes life on the edge can be rewarding... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, Kitzbuhel Craver said: My pack is getting eviscerated. Currently 48F. This will be back to complete mud by Friday. You get an A+ for vocabulary!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro is still dragging ass on the cold, really not exciting at all verbatim. looks like lots of sleet or zr here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Berks slowly but surely ticking, by a thousand model cuts, to be on the outside looking in for good snows. This one more and more is becoming an NNE special for snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, Great Snow 1717 said: You get an A+ for vocabulary!! Thanks, I try… Although I’m far too familiar with that word wrt MBY snow pack, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: looks like lots of sleet or zr here looks like rain with brief frozen, more fropa looking tbh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Maybe there is a daytime heating issue? You can see how it warms up the north country during the day as it is snowing. How is that happening? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: looks like rain with brief frozen, more fropa looking tbh. looks like 78 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Increased QPF a bit up north, can't hate it. I was going to say, It bumped qpf from 06z some, Tic colder here too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, Kitzbuhel Craver said: Berks slowly but surely ticking, by a thousand model cuts, to be on the outside looking in for good snows. This one more and more is becoming an NNE special for snow. Berks are way below normal snowfall, I was really hoping they could grab 6”+ from this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: looks like lots of sleet or zr here Yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Euro at least gets a few inches here after the rain/sleet. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: I was going to say, It bumped qpf from 06z some, Tic colder here too. Initially colder but the CAA peters out. You have soundings...where's the warmest layer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Ptype map on pivotal is trying to show ZR on Friday morning but it looks more like pellets...that's cold at 925 (-5ish) after 15z. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Ptype map on pivotal is trying to show ZR on Friday morning but it looks more like pellets...that's cold at 925 (-5ish) after 15z. Lotta ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 8 minutes ago, dryslot said: I was going to say, It bumped qpf from 06z some, Tic colder here too. that is a foot here but not expecting that given ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Lotta ice I'm selling big ice....seems the 900-925 layer cools very quickly behind the surface....that says pellets to me. I want to see the atmospheric profile more sloped for ice. There will be a narrow area of decent glaze, but it likely won't be crippling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 This is a nothing burger for S of the pike, unless the GFS wins the day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Lotta ice Verbatim it's a lot of nothing for you. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 52 minutes ago, powderfreak said: The Ensembles have been pretty damn consistent for 3 days now. 12z GEFS 6"+ probabilities. BUF to BTV to BML steady as she goes. I have somewhat unrealistic dreams where a 1000 mile wide and 200 mile deep derecho comes at me from the northwest and the last radar frame I see before my roof peels off looks a lot like this. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: Verbatim it's a lot of nothing for you. Yup. Quickly turning into another waste of a chance for SNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I'm selling big ice....seems the 900-925 layer cools very quickly behind the surface....that says pellets to me. I want to see the atmospheric profile more sloped for ice. There will be a narrow area of decent glaze, but it likely won't be crippling. Where are you thinking that zone is? Maybe southern 2/3 CT? Ryans cousin here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Where are you thinking that zone is? Maybe southern 2/3 CT? No, prob shifted north now...maybe N CT to S MA...but it's also possible it just never really materializes....if 900-925 hugs the below-freezing sfc air pretty close, then it will just be a brief period of ZR and then pellets (or a mix of both which will also cut down on accretion) and then mostly rain south of where that line slows down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Verbatim it's a lot of nothing for you. Lotta rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 If it gets me a snow day…it’ll be a win here with a 3 day weekend. We hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, eekuasepinniW said: I have somewhat unrealistic dreams where a 1000 mile wide and 200 mile deep derecho comes at me from the northwest and the last radar frame I see before my roof peels off looks a lot like this. I’ll trade this snowstorm for that derecho. Let’s do it. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 12 minutes ago, dendrite said: Initially colder but the CAA peters out. You have soundings...where's the warmest layer? I only have 925 and 850, I can't see in between there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: If it gets me a snow day…it’ll be a win here with a 3 day weekend. We hope. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: No, prob shifted north now...maybe N CT to S MA...but it's also possible it just never really materializes....if 900-925 hugs the below-freezing sfc air pretty close, then it will just be a brief period of ZR and then pellets (or a mix of both which will also cut down on accretion) and then mostly rain south of where that line slows down. I think most folks here realize the cold press will win. They always rip in faster than even the coldest models show. Just a suspicion, but the folks calling for all rain dews and full pack loss are going to be doing some WTF’s come Friday morning 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I think most folks here realize the cold press will win. They always rip in faster than even the coldest models show. Just a suspicion, but the folks calling for all rain dews and full pack loss are going to be doing some WTF’s come Friday morning Even the coldest meso (ARW) gives you 1" of rain before flipping to below 32 at the surface. I also haven't seen folks calling for "all rain" but maybe I missed it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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