drstuess Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 6:58 PM, tamarack said: I'd be more comfortable if we had the 1998 version of Central Maine Power - they were absolute champions in that winter's ice storm. However, they've now become a dumpster fire, with the flames ignited by the practices of their over-the-ocean owners.Yes, but that is the distribution side of things, not operating the grid. Texas had a grid capacity issue, not a distribution infrastructure issue. The more analogous party in new england to the Texas issue is ISO-NE who operates our grid.To your point distribution across New England is crap ( managed by CMP, Eversource, National grid, etc)Sent from my SM-G960U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 To illustrate the uncertainty for the Friday deal... the NBM 25th and 75th percentile high temperature forecast for BDL is 30F and 48F lol 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 So....IOW...maybe but maybe not. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 6:14 PM, CoastalWx said: Synoptics>surface features. Expand Ahh ok thanks. So we Fooked. That high ain’t getting in here before the system does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 8:09 PM, WinterWolf said: Ahh ok thanks. So we Fooked. That high ain’t getting in here before the system does. Expand Well no, I wasn't trying to imply that....but if the s/w is deep and strong enough, it will shoot this north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 7:05 PM, ORH_wxman said: Again, the high strength itself isn't the question....it's the orientation of it...does it press down to the east prior to the wave gaining latitude? The Euro says not enough outside of NNE. It might be too amped, but don't make the mistake of just citing the high strength...it doesn't mean much if it's not established over our region prior to the storm. If that high was sitting up over Quebec City prior to the storm, then I'd say it matters way more. Expand The GFS, UK, and CMC all have the high there. The Euro, JMA, and NAVGEM all have it over the GL in Ontario. Interesting... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 8:10 PM, CoastalWx said: Well no, I wasn't trying to imply that....but if the s/w is deep and strong enough, it will shoot this north. Expand Oh I know you weren’t implying that. Just not feeling good about that high pressing in/beating the system here. After Saturday’s flop here…it’s pretty deflating seeing the euro screw us again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheMainer Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 6:22 PM, dryslot said: Mix bag here, Rain/ice/sleet/snow. Expand Usually that means good for the north country, but don't want to see this slide too far north. We ended up with a foot when I expected 6 inches on Saturday so another 6-12 and we'll be in as good of shape as the winter of 2018-2019. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 8:16 PM, WinterWolf said: Oh I know you weren’t implying that. Just not feeling good about that high pressing in/beating the system here. After Saturday’s flop here…it’s pretty deflating seeing the euro screw us again. Expand I don’t know how this plays out, but I do know the deposed King is just another model. The glory days are over. Going to be a few days until we have a good sense of where this one sets up. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 31, 2022 Author Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 8:19 PM, TheMainer said: Usually that means good for the north country, but don't want to see this slide too far north. We ended up with a foot when I expected 6 inches on Saturday so another 6-12 and we'll be in as good of shape as the winter of 2018-2019. Expand I don't think you have anything to worry about up there truthfully. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 18z NAM doesnt look as amped as 12z so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 NAM is going to be more suppressed than 12z. Not really in range yet, but the signs are pretty clear by 48h, so it's not 100% useless on that front. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 31, 2022 Author Share Posted January 31, 2022 Looks we get a cold press on the 18z nam this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 I kind of agree with Will on the 3/6-8,1996 comparison. Arguably that storm while progged much warmer than verification put BOS into 100+ range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Nam is alot further south than 12z so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 NAM really pressing at hr66 hope the Euro joins by 0Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 8:31 PM, weathafella said: I kind of agree with Will on the 3/6-8,1996 comparison. Arguably that storm while progged much warmer than verification put BOS into 100+ range. Expand That was great. I remember that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 I’m not convinced the euro is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 7:00 PM, ROOSTA said: This set-up reminds me of Feb '69. That was just the continuous 102hr event for the region. Not stating this event comes close... Expand 102 hours of rain. On 1/31/2022 at 7:44 PM, CT Rain said: To illustrate the uncertainty for the Friday deal... the NBM 25th and 75th percentile high temperature forecast for BDL is 30F and 48F lol Expand Does that mean the 50th percentile is 39*? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 This is warmer than the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 31, 2022 Author Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 8:37 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I’m not convinced the euro is right. Expand After Saturday, Me either, It's not infallible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 NAM is barely snow here, but whatev…too far out for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 8:34 PM, CoastalWx said: That was great. I remember that one. Expand Schwoegler had thunderstorms in E MA for that one two days out before it trended way colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 NAM still might be milder in SNE, esp south of pike, but the press is shown in CNE and NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 8:40 PM, dendrite said: This is warmer than the gfs. Expand warmer but trended towards it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 8:42 PM, ORH_wxman said: Schwoegler had thunderstorms in E MA for that one two days out before it trended way colder. Expand Thunderstorms, and then backlash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Step in the right direction. Euro in 3 hours should be interesting presuming gfs stays cold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 8:42 PM, CoastalWx said: NAM still might be milder in SNE, esp south of pike, but the press is shown in CNE and NNE. Expand You’re talking snow though right? A lot of us here are pulling for ice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 8:42 PM, dendrite said: NAM is barely snow here, but whatev…too far out for it. Expand 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 8:43 PM, ineedsnow said: Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now