SouthCoastMA Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 6 minutes ago, JC-CT said: So has the GFS. They literally all suck. Degrees of suckitude, agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 The low level cold is pretty robust and filtering in throughout the storm. This seems to be the recipe for a significant ice event for someone if it comes in ahead of the precip which seems to be the solution models are converging upon. Details on location TBD but seems to be CT up to Rt 2 is the corridor to watch. Hopefully it's IP and not ZR. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 6 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: huge cave KING GFS Agree. The Euro is giving much more ground than GFS here so far. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Interesting, Euro looks like it would be a lot of ice and then a few inches of snow around my area and then more snow to the north. I thought for sure the outlier gfs would move to the Euro, but it looks like the goalposts are narrowing, but closer to a colder gfs solution than the warmer ideas. Maybe I should be a little more open minded towards it like many of you said. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 13 minutes ago, dryslot said: Ah, Got it now Last 3 runs All 3 are great. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 1, 2022 Author Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, PhineasC said: All 3 are great. Of course, ha ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: What if GFS goes north? Who is King? I’m kind of assuming it does 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: What if GFS goes north? Who is King? 1 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 GFS is winning the battle so far, but it's not over. If we look at the past 24 hours....the GFS has only come north about 40-50 miles from the 12z solution yesterday while Euro has come south about double that amount. But all it takes if for the Euro to hold steady next run and the GFS jumps north 40 miles, and we're about tied with a 50/50 compromise. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: GFS is winning the battle so far, but it's not over. If we look at the past 24 hours....the GFS has only come north about 40-50 miles from the 12z solution yesterday while Euro has come south about double that amount. But all it takes if for the Euro to hold steady next run and the GFS jumps north 40 miles, and we're about tied with a 50/50 compromise. Viewership for this storm is on the low side... NCEP "weather executives" are preparing the NAM for a region wide dump of snow at 18z followed by a cutting the low through Toronto at 00z to "spice things up." 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 22 minutes ago, dryslot said: 2 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 27 minutes ago, dryslot said: And know the GFS coming back towards the euro last 3 runs, In the end its going to be in the middle ground give or take. I'd say middle ground will be 65%gfs coldest solution and 35% euro warmest solution.. so more a a cave to GFS unless gfs and euro both go north til game time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DEEPSTUFF Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: GFS is winning the battle so far, but it's not over. If we look at the past 24 hours....the GFS has only come north about 40-50 miles from the 12z solution yesterday while Euro has come south about double that amount. But all it takes if for the Euro to hold steady next run and the GFS jumps north 40 miles, and we're about tied with a 50/50 compromise. We hear that often...blend the two there you go! How often does that really pan out and verify? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: GFS is winning the battle so far, but it's not over. If we look at the past 24 hours....the GFS has only come north about 40-50 miles from the 12z solution yesterday while Euro has come south about double that amount. But all it takes if for the Euro to hold steady next run and the GFS jumps north 40 miles, and we're about tied with a 50/50 compromise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Where are the US Virgin Islands? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 1, 2022 Author Share Posted February 1, 2022 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: GFS is winning the battle so far, but it's not over. If we look at the past 24 hours....the GFS has only come north about 40-50 miles from the 12z solution yesterday while Euro has come south about double that amount. But all it takes if for the Euro to hold steady next run and the GFS jumps north 40 miles, and we're about tied with a 50/50 compromise. And in the end, I think this is where it will be, You could have said this even yesterday as you had the goal post of GFS south and Euro north, I think you had said or Scott said somewhere in the middle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 36 minutes ago, JC-CT said: People get too stuck on one model having to cave to another, when usually they are all moving around in different ways trying to find a solution. People love the horse race. 32 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: What if GFS goes north? Who is King? We’re evolving. Monarchy is so 2012. Coalition government ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 All models 8-12 or so here. Great consistency. Hope we get a bit more juice involved as we get well into meso range. The last couple runs have dried out a little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 This map just issued by WPC. They’re goin for the juicy. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 EURO looks decent. I wasn’t expecting to be in the pink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Just now, NorEastermass128 said: EURO looks decent. I wasn’t expecting to be in the pink. We weren't expecting you to be either tbh 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, NorEastermass128 said: EURO looks decent. I wasn’t expecting to be in the pink. You’re in northern MA. Your chances are better than mot in sne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: EURO looks decent. I wasn’t expecting to be in the pink. Lay up... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 15z srefs are warmer than 9z, if anyone cares about such things 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Euro narcan ice: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Euro narcan ice: taunting kevin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 How does the non reliable eps look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Has our system even come on shore out west yet? According to TWC early this AM it hadn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 6 minutes ago, JC-CT said: 15z srefs are warmer than 9z, if anyone cares about such things good 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, Torch Tiger said: good marking you down as a sref fanboy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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