WxWatcher007 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 16 minutes ago, JC-CT said: The last one could be replaced tbh, we've had our share Have we though? No hurricanes. No majors. A fair number of impactful TS. Not sure that’s enough but why am I talking tropical in February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Thanks...god stuff, Chris. Is Albany just NW of that? It’s basically right on the MA/VT border line so it’s SE of it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: south Damn...place can't catch a break. I desperately need them to stack up some snow for my seasonal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Bit more 40 degree drizzle than I expected or care for, but finally getting rolling now. Tomorrow looks interesting. BTV 4km WRF has us subcritical and strongly blocked for 10 hours after the synoptic snows end. Simulated returns are only like 15dBZ so it will be interesting to see what the ground truth actually is. BTV4 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Greens Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_BTV4_20220203_1200 Using the MB925 to MB850 layer. Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds. 925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens. Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in) === ===== === ==== ==== === === === ==== Thu 02/03 12Z 0.76 2428 98 89 -1 0.00 Thu 02/03 13Z 0.73 2525 99 80 -2 0.00 Thu 02/03 14Z 0.69 2523 99 82 -2 0.01 Thu 02/03 15Z 0.62 2521 99 86 -2 0.02 Thu 02/03 16Z 0.50 2518 99 89 -2 0.02 Thu 02/03 17Z 0.42 2516 99 93 -2 0.02 Thu 02/03 18Z 0.38 2614 98 94 -2 0.03 Thu 02/03 19Z 0.30 2612 97 94 -3 0.03 Thu 02/03 20Z 0.21 2709 97 95 -3 0.03 Thu 02/03 21Z 0.13 3007 96 97 -4 0.03 Thu 02/03 22Z 0.07 3206 96 96 -4 0.04 Thu 02/03 23Z 0.03 3406 95 96 -5 0.04 Fri 02/04 00Z 0.01 0006 95 96 -5 0.04 Fri 02/04 01Z 0.03 0106 94 96 -5 0.03 Fri 02/04 02Z 0.05 0206 94 96 -5 0.04 Fri 02/04 03Z 0.07 0306 94 97 -5 0.05 Fri 02/04 04Z 0.08 0406 94 97 -5 0.06 Fri 02/04 05Z 0.09 0506 94 97 -5 0.08 Fri 02/04 06Z 0.10 0507 93 97 -5 0.09 Fri 02/04 07Z 0.11 0507 93 96 -6 0.11 Fri 02/04 08Z 0.14 0608 93 96 -6 0.11 Fri 02/04 09Z 0.15 0609 93 96 -6 0.10 Fri 02/04 10Z 0.16 0609 92 96 -6 0.11 Fri 02/04 11Z 0.16 0610 92 96 -6 0.10 Fri 02/04 12Z 0.17 0710 92 96 -7 0.08 Fri 02/04 13Z 0.16 0610 92 96 -7 0.06 Fri 02/04 14Z 0.15 0609 92 96 -7 0.05 Fri 02/04 15Z 0.14 0608 92 96 -7 0.03 Fri 02/04 16Z 0.11 0606 92 95 -8 0.01 Fri 02/04 17Z 0.08 0505 93 93 -8 0.01 Fri 02/04 18Z 0.05 0304 94 90 -8 0.00 Fri 02/04 19Z 0.02 0004 95 91 -9 0.00 Fri 02/04 20Z 0.03 3405 94 92 -9 0.00 Fri 02/04 21Z 0.06 3206 93 92 -10 0.01 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 5 minutes ago, PWMan said: And of course, the line almost perfectly bisects PWM. This could be one of those where I end up with virtually nothing and it's 6" by the time I get to Falmouth. I'm expecting not much more than 1-3" and much of that could be sleet. But I may drive into a pounding snow on my way to GYX tomorrow morning. 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Thanks...god stuff, Chris. Is Albany just NW of that? ALB is nearly due east of the radar. A hair north if getting technical. But it's south of the melting layer for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 26 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Anafront Windex Backlash Inverted trough NE Tropical Threats Almost need a summer and winter version. Then you could just add flash freeze. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toller65 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 And of course, the line almost perfectly bisects PWM. This could be one of those where I end up with virtually nothing and it's 6" by the time I get to Falmouth.yup, looking like a wet sloppy cold miserable wretched good for nothing 24 hrs+ in Yarmouth on Casco BaySent from my SM-G935V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Temp crashing. Game on. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 16 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 I don’t really hear about backlash snow anymore since Bruce Schwoegler left. Lol. He loved that 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I don’t really hear about backlash snow anymore since Bruce Schwoegler left. Lol. He loved that It was more a product of poor resolution in the models. They used to love showing light QPF on the back side of lows when the grid spacing was large. In reality the QPF was more for upslope locations with only flurries SE of there. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 P&C is now 16-24. LOL 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 41 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Are there seatbelts on school buses? No, Steve, not usually. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 A bit old but hadn’t seen this posted. Fun times ahead 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 14 minutes ago, PhineasC said: P&C is now 16-24. LOL Upped to 12-18" here. They must have seen the 3k NAM. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Sn in Rangeley. 33FSent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 40 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Tomorrow afternoon is looking sort of gnarly. NAM nest is upper 20s by 18z for N CT with an additional 0.25" of liquid between 18z and 00z. Seems like a pretty nasty glaze/pingers. A lot of the morning drive we may rot around 33F. I'm actually wondering what the schools will do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Less than 1/4SM vis here at GYX... ...with fog. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 If we start a "fraud" thread, I wonder how many we could come up with. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 18 minutes ago, PhineasC said: P&C is now 16-24. LOL Mind you I hate the P&C wording, but I could see someone pulling 20s. That banding could support 1+ an hour for much of the event. Probably the only limiting factor is that I'm not sure we're going to have the fluffiest ratios. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, JC-CT said: I'm actually wondering what the schools will do Boston already cancelled. Are they actually going to get anything frozen? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Was 44 here in Westfield around 2, its down to 42 now with heavy fog. Must be the increase in precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Boston already cancelled. Are they actually going to get anything frozen? Wtf really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Wtf really? Someone on the school board must follow Ditty on twitter. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Wtf really? Boston didn't cancel on Monday when a lot of EMA schools did. They probably should have been closed then. But yeah, seems risky to close so far in advance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 BOS will be nasty tomorrow IMHO....they go right below freezing at some point during the morning. So whether it is the morning commute or the PM school commute, it could be really nasty. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: BOS will be nasty tomorrow IMHO....they go right below freezing at some point during the morning. So whether it is the morning commute or the PM school commute, it could be really nasty. Yeah, that's what I'm thinking too. Even if the morning is okay down here, no guarantees on getting them home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: Yeah, that's what I'm thinking too. Even if the morning is okay down here, no guarantees on getting them home Even if Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: Yeah, that's what I'm thinking too. Even if the morning is okay down here, no guarantees on getting them home I think there’s more liability risk too when there’s ZR involved. Do you really want a bunch of school kids walking on skating rink sidewalks and stairs? Nevermind potential for traffic accidents. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 You could argue that whatever sleet and ice there is tomorrow could be more high impact than your average snow event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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