PWMan Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Can always tell where the gradient on these things is based on the posting rate. Feels like it's been a while since we had such a purely latitude-dependent storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 21 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Thinking 12-15 here. deep winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 @OceanStWx Might be too early to ask, so I can check again in 24 hours, but what's the rough window of time you expect PWM to flip from liquid to frozen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, tunafish said: @OceanStWx Might be too early to ask, so I can check again in 24 hours, but what's the rough window of time you expect PWM to flip from liquid to frozen? NAM to GFS is probably the goalposts right now. GFS 06z Fri, NAM 10z Fri. GFS seems a little too cool aloft overall, there always tends to be a sneaky warmer layer in there more akin to the NAM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 I smell a sleetfest incoming (Echo echo echo) Beware the warm nose (or tongue...not the taint) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: If it gets me a snow day…it’ll be a win here with a 3 day weekend. We hope. They close schools here for flurries thesedays so just a mention of icy conditions possible will shut the entire town down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 11 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: lol. Oh. So, are the chewers different from the smokers and the tokers? Nobody knows…it’s just one school boy saying strange things. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: NAM to GFS is probably the goalposts right now. GFS 06z Fri, NAM 10z Fri. GFS seems a little too cool aloft overall, there always tends to be a sneaky warmer layer in there more akin to the NAM. Nam looked to be a problem @H85 until roughly 12z or so friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: They close schools here for flurries thesedays so just a mention of icy conditions possible will shut the entire town down. it's not the most ideal timing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 18 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: lol. WTF is a chewer? Is that similar to a mouth breather? Someone that takes chewables or in this particular case.. chews and bongs while working and posting. In no particular order 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, JC-CT said: it's not the most ideal timing For sure. And a few weeks ago the slight coating of ice in the morning caused all of wct roads to be impassable, accidents everywhere. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: For sure. And a few weeks ago the slight coating of ice in the morning caused all of wct roads to be impassable, accidents everywhere. right. treated roads should be fine, but untreated ones, watch out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 and of course, it's hard to treat them when it's pouring rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Enjoy the pack while you have it CT folks! Hold onto it tightly tonight. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: Enjoy the pack while you have it CT folks! Hold onto it tightly tonight. okay, it's hard not to laugh at that sliver of 50 tickling kev's fanny. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Enjoy the pack while you have it CT folks! Hold onto it tightly tonight. Tolland with the jack? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Enjoy the pack while you have it CT folks! Hold onto it tightly tonight. hr 39 its 30 here and the 50's in SE CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Yes the HRRR 2 days out is known to do a bang up up job on frontal placement. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Yes the HRRR 2 days out is known to do a bang up up job on frontal placement. It’s been pretty good this year honestly. I want ice and snow pack just as badly as you do. It’s not looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, JC-CT said: okay, it's hard not to laugh at that sliver of 50 tickling kev's fanny. starts off a tad warmer then 12z but ends up colder in some place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yes the HRRR 2 days out is known to do a bang up up job on frontal placement. Well you threw out all the other models 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 12z hr 47 was 35 in Hartford 18z hr41 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: Well you threw out all the other models Weenieology, not modelology 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 turns out to be a colder run for MT Tolland in the end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: starts off a tad warmer then 12z but ends up colder in some place Yeah, I'm definitely thinking there will be some amount of wintry precip all the way down to the shore. It's just that it's definitely gonna rain first, when it does change over it will probably go from fz to pellets fairly quickly, and snow is probably going to be minimal due to completely torched mids (850). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 It's absolutely stunning outside right now. Deep blues reflecting off a deep white landscape. Take it day by day. Snow will melt soon but today is a winner. Scraped all the ice off the walks and driveway. The big meltdown has commenced. 50⁰! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Colder for freezing rain at end. Warmer for the Pack-Man eating snow monster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: It's absolutely stunning outside right now. Deep blues reflecting off a deep white landscape. Take it day by day. Snow will melt soon but today is a winner. Scraped all the ice off the walks and driveway. The big meltdown has commenced. 50⁰! Wow 50? 46 for a high here, the colder guidance was way off with that. Gfs was 40, euro spot on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: Yeah, I'm definitely thinking there will be some amount of wintry precip all the way down to the shore. It's just that it's definitely gonna rain first, when it does change over it will probably go from fz to pellets fairly quickly, and snow is probably going to be minimal due to completely torched mids (850). freezing to the coast by hr46 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Colder for freezing rain at end. Warmer for the Pac-Man eating pack. I'm not an expert at all at figuring out sleet vs freezing rain...but this is a pretty deep cold layer, no? ptype algo is showing FZRA but I'm guessing it's an IP/FZ mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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