moneypitmike Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 27 minutes ago, NotSureWeather said: As someone who has never seen an ice storm and definitely does not want one. These maps are a little scary. I’m hoping we just end up as rain. I have always heard a half inch of ice is devastating. .5 of accretion is pretty serious. .5" of rain in freezing temps isn't all going to be accreting. It runs off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1-3" of kitchen sink sucks in every way. 4 types of meh. For those near and south of the Pike, let's hope for the next one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 lol at the gradient on the 3k 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 6 hours ago, wx2fish said: What a funky looking run. Would drop the grid somewhere in SNE. I'll sell 3-4" qpf though Pike south is gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Pike south is gone Short memory; models last week were all doom and gloom east and how did that work out??? I think pike south sees a decent amount of frozen be it a sleet fest or freezing rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Pike south is gone We were gone a long time ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Pike south is gone wiped grid 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: We were gone a long time ago. Thank god. I need Friday to be wet.. Not icy or white. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Pike south is gone That would be fun in NY/PA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 11 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Short memory; models last week were all doom and gloom east and how did that work out??? I think pike south sees a decent amount of frozen be it a sleet fest or freezing rain I think the amount of zr in a narrow zone is being underplayed. The column eventually supports sleet but a lot of hours are being modeled as zr . Def was a colder trend on 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: That would be fun in NY/PA fortunately, none of us live there. At least I don't have to worry about driving on Friday (need to pick up my daughter). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 7 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: I like the NAM’s -d(t) of 14C at Logan between hrs 54 and 60. In F, 49 —> 28 in that six hrs. Strongly hints what’s goin on in the interior W-N. I mean if Logan goes from WSW to NNE and dramatically paralyzes the sfc in sub 0C there’s most likely a 925mb ageostrophic jet ducting SW east of the Whites and it WILL destroy guidance if that sets up. NAM beyond 48 hrs notwithstanding … And to better illustrate…what will be the gradual capitulation on the mesos… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Classic, with the 3k now showing the 40F isotherm stuck across Maryland midday Thursday. Tic toc tuck. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 lol at the gradient on the 3kRazors edgeSent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Reggie still warm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Can somebody explain the snow depth change map to me please. GfS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 6 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I'm planning on heavy snow and sleet. Feeling good about 6"+ of snow and sleet. We just need frozen here for the big winter carnival. I'm hoping for skiing on cream cheese at Berkie on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Seem like about an inch of cold rain and then a lot of sleet/ZR here after that. Hopefully we trend it a little snowier….but I guess that’s all better than the 50-60F torching rain that was shown several days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Seem like about an inch of cold rain and then a lot of sleet/ZR here after that. Hopefully we trend it a little snowier….but I guess that’s all better than the 50-60F torching rain that was shown several days ago. Is it? IS IT? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 34 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Classic, with the 3k now showing the 40F isotherm stuck across Maryland midday Thursday. Tic toc tuck. So what’s your point pope? Are you hedging this keeps coming in colder for SNE? Sure sounds that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Gfs another tick nw/warm. Consensus builds. Sell those pivotal zr clowns. Mostly rain south of MA/CT border. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 13 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Can somebody explain the snow depth change map to me please. GfS 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Gfs another tick nw/warm. Consensus builds. Sell those pivotal zr clowns. Mostly rain south of MA/CT border. Poor Pope gonna be wrong again? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Wait, I’m confused… exactly why are we posting the Monday, 12z GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Poor Pope gonna be wrong again? We’ll get some zr/ip after 1-2” of rain. someone in ect will claim victory with that outcome when they post a pic of a slightly glazed twig. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Euro is fairly mild. Doesn’t have the cold push that other models show. Flaccid solution. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Lol would absolutely be rippin' sleet with this setup. Honestly think the ZR potential is kinda low when compared to the overall IP threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 This blows… We just had serious cold around and this could have been a great SWFE for all. Of course, as I let the dog out, the birds are chirping and the Arctic bite is gone, only to return after 1.5 liquid QPF with some parting glaze or pingers. Hate to see it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Dryslot Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Seem like about an inch of cold rain and then a lot of sleet/ZR here after that. Hopefully we trend it a little snowier….but I guess that’s all better than the 50-60F torching rain that was shown several days ago. Honestly, torch rain is better because it's warmer. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro is fairly mild. Doesn’t have the cold push that other models show. Flaccid solution. DIT angry this morning as he jogs…gathering snowballs and chucking them at random cars and homes. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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