RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Then the zr/ip moves in 63hr onward which looks identical to 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Definitely went the director NAM in pounding that 2nd piece with cold in by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 GFS remains the southern envelope but we are approaching consensus now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 GFS is a ton of sleet down this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 GFS looks fine to me, Ends up same as 18z when it counts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Nope. Maybe early but verbatim I’m in heavy snow mid morning onward Friday It was warmer thru 54 then it collapsed se similar to 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Nope. Maybe early but verbatim I’m in heavy snow mid morning onward Friday Yeah, it has a later rally down there and ends up a bit better than 18z verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Better snows on Friday night too lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, PhineasC said: GFS remains the southern envelope but we are approaching consensus now. Pretty much. We’ll probably get crazy ukmet and cmc but my guess is euro won’t be far from gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: wow theres my ice storm Nah. Sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 looks like lots of sleet followed by a nice thump of snow, as long as the ZR stay away, I don't care Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Ends up throwing more precip around when cold enough to snow both north and south. Hard to hate that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, PhineasC said: Ends up throwing more precip around when cold enough to snow both north and south. Hard to hate that. Ups the anty up here too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Nah. Sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, ineedsnow said: Those are so bad, sell them to DIT fast and cash in. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Ups the anty up here. yeah, increased .25" here which isn't just noise. Hopefully Euro matches it and we can put this one on ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: That seems way overdone to me based on the soundings. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: That seems way overdone to me based on the soundings. Yea. This ip right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Can't always have it all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea. This ip right? Looks like it. Very close to a paste job though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea. This ip right? that looks like sleet but get one near hartford at that time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, ineedsnow said: that looks like sleet but get one near hartford at that time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: Looks like it. Very close to a paste job though. ya very close on that half melted ice balls? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: close tough call on that one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 I think it’s easy to forget how difficult it is to pull off a big ice storm. This will be a combination of rain sleet and snow for most in SNE with maybe a narrow stripe of folks getting meaningful ice. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: ya very close on that half melted ice balls? I just mean in the sense that there’s not this pronounced warm nose way above 0C. That second one Berg posted is def sleety. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: That could be glaze.... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, ineedsnow said: close tough call on that one I like soundings that tell me the most likely precip lol. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: I think it’s easy to forget how difficult it is to pull off a big ice storm. This will be a combination of rain sleet and snow for most in SNE with maybe a narrow stripe of folks getting meaningful ice. The models love printing out phantom ice storms that just don't make sense synoptically. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I like soundings that tell me the most likely precip lol. same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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