SouthCoastMA Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 6:29 PM, JC-CT said: So has the GFS. They literally all suck. Expand Degrees of suckitude, agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 The low level cold is pretty robust and filtering in throughout the storm. This seems to be the recipe for a significant ice event for someone if it comes in ahead of the precip which seems to be the solution models are converging upon. Details on location TBD but seems to be CT up to Rt 2 is the corridor to watch. Hopefully it's IP and not ZR. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 6:29 PM, ineedsnow said: huge cave KING GFS Expand Agree. The Euro is giving much more ground than GFS here so far. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Interesting, Euro looks like it would be a lot of ice and then a few inches of snow around my area and then more snow to the north. I thought for sure the outlier gfs would move to the Euro, but it looks like the goalposts are narrowing, but closer to a colder gfs solution than the warmer ideas. Maybe I should be a little more open minded towards it like many of you said. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 6:28 PM, dryslot said: Ah, Got it now Last 3 runs Expand All 3 are great. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 1, 2022 Author Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 6:41 PM, PhineasC said: All 3 are great. Expand Of course, ha ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 6:30 PM, CoastalWx said: What if GFS goes north? Who is King? Expand I’m kind of assuming it does 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 6:30 PM, CoastalWx said: What if GFS goes north? Who is King? Expand 1 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 GFS is winning the battle so far, but it's not over. If we look at the past 24 hours....the GFS has only come north about 40-50 miles from the 12z solution yesterday while Euro has come south about double that amount. But all it takes if for the Euro to hold steady next run and the GFS jumps north 40 miles, and we're about tied with a 50/50 compromise. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 6:50 PM, ORH_wxman said: GFS is winning the battle so far, but it's not over. If we look at the past 24 hours....the GFS has only come north about 40-50 miles from the 12z solution yesterday while Euro has come south about double that amount. But all it takes if for the Euro to hold steady next run and the GFS jumps north 40 miles, and we're about tied with a 50/50 compromise. Expand Viewership for this storm is on the low side... NCEP "weather executives" are preparing the NAM for a region wide dump of snow at 18z followed by a cutting the low through Toronto at 00z to "spice things up." 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 6:35 PM, dryslot said: Expand 2 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 6:32 PM, dryslot said: And know the GFS coming back towards the euro last 3 runs, In the end its going to be in the middle ground give or take. Expand I'd say middle ground will be 65%gfs coldest solution and 35% euro warmest solution.. so more a a cave to GFS unless gfs and euro both go north til game time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DEEPSTUFF Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 6:50 PM, ORH_wxman said: GFS is winning the battle so far, but it's not over. If we look at the past 24 hours....the GFS has only come north about 40-50 miles from the 12z solution yesterday while Euro has come south about double that amount. But all it takes if for the Euro to hold steady next run and the GFS jumps north 40 miles, and we're about tied with a 50/50 compromise. Expand We hear that often...blend the two there you go! How often does that really pan out and verify? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 6:50 PM, ORH_wxman said: GFS is winning the battle so far, but it's not over. If we look at the past 24 hours....the GFS has only come north about 40-50 miles from the 12z solution yesterday while Euro has come south about double that amount. But all it takes if for the Euro to hold steady next run and the GFS jumps north 40 miles, and we're about tied with a 50/50 compromise. Expand 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 6:58 PM, JC-CT said: Expand Where are the US Virgin Islands? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 1, 2022 Author Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 6:50 PM, ORH_wxman said: GFS is winning the battle so far, but it's not over. If we look at the past 24 hours....the GFS has only come north about 40-50 miles from the 12z solution yesterday while Euro has come south about double that amount. But all it takes if for the Euro to hold steady next run and the GFS jumps north 40 miles, and we're about tied with a 50/50 compromise. Expand And in the end, I think this is where it will be, You could have said this even yesterday as you had the goal post of GFS south and Euro north, I think you had said or Scott said somewhere in the middle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 6:26 PM, JC-CT said: People get too stuck on one model having to cave to another, when usually they are all moving around in different ways trying to find a solution. Expand People love the horse race. On 2/1/2022 at 6:30 PM, CoastalWx said: What if GFS goes north? Who is King? Expand We’re evolving. Monarchy is so 2012. Coalition government ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 All models 8-12 or so here. Great consistency. Hope we get a bit more juice involved as we get well into meso range. The last couple runs have dried out a little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 This map just issued by WPC. They’re goin for the juicy. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 EURO looks decent. I wasn’t expecting to be in the pink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 7:27 PM, NorEastermass128 said: EURO looks decent. I wasn’t expecting to be in the pink. Expand We weren't expecting you to be either tbh 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 7:27 PM, NorEastermass128 said: EURO looks decent. I wasn’t expecting to be in the pink. Expand You’re in northern MA. Your chances are better than mot in sne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 7:27 PM, NorEastermass128 said: EURO looks decent. I wasn’t expecting to be in the pink. Expand Lay up... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 15z srefs are warmer than 9z, if anyone cares about such things 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Euro narcan ice: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 7:34 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Euro narcan ice: Expand taunting kevin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 How does the non reliable eps look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Has our system even come on shore out west yet? According to TWC early this AM it hadn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 7:32 PM, JC-CT said: 15z srefs are warmer than 9z, if anyone cares about such things Expand good 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 7:38 PM, Torch Tiger said: good Expand marking you down as a sref fanboy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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