ineedsnow Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: Nam warm really warm here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Just now, ineedsnow said: really warm here I’m sticking with warmer solutions. Too much troughing out west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Ice storm for Phin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I’m sticking with warmer solutions. Too much troughing out west. 22 in Albany and 51 in Worcester hr 84 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: Euro shat itself 24hr out Steve He said inside 3 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Doesn't look flatter to me. Crusher for NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Ice storm for Phin Not worried about that. It'll be snow here. Ice/rain in Gorham. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Let’s really amp this up so I can get a few hours of these dews. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, PhineasC said: Doesn't look flatter to me. Crusher for NNE. Not at all Congrats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I’m sticking with warmer solutions. Too much troughing out west. Yup this is toast. GFS will cave at 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 1, 2022 Author Share Posted February 1, 2022 Pretty cold at the surface. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Not worried about that. It'll be snow here. Ice/rain in Gorham. Maybe we can downslope you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Maybe we can downslope you He’ll be 52 while you wedge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 11 minutes ago, dendrite said: Euro shat itself 24hr out Steve Not buying it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Steve The 00z and 06z runs Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Steve The 00z and 06z runs Friday. These people slobber over the ecmwf weenie. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: Steve The 00z and 06z runs Friday. So it was more within 36 hrs where it did it. Even worse. Those 00z and 06z runs LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: Steve The 00z and 06z runs Friday. I just looked and maybe it wasn’t quite as bad as I remember it, but it did flinch west for a couple of runs close in which made some forecasters go big in the western zones since it matched the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: I certainly didn’t give him a pass. But you’re right others did. Yeah no, that post wasn't directed at you at all. You just happened to post something related, so I thought I'd piggyback. You know what I'm saying though and see right through the BS like I do. Others unfortunately just instigate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: He’ll be 52 while you wedge. You are a demon. South winds are the enemy here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 19 minutes ago, dendrite said: Ice storm for Phin Amped and warm aloft is the concern. Elevation doesn’t matter if there’s a sneaky 700-800mb warm layer. The precip looks to be there given 2-3 standard deviation moisture feed. Just hope it’s a cold enough column. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 10 minutes ago, dendrite said: I just looked and maybe it wasn’t quite as bad as I remember it, but it did flinch west for a couple of runs close in which made some forecasters go big in the western zones since it matched the NAM. I agree there were burps but that happens all the time. The GFS finally caught on inside 24 but no way did it out perform the Euro which consistently had a KU from NJ NYC LI Boston up to Maine. The huge difference in these 2 models now inside 72 hrs for this overrunning is pretty amazing. Who will be more right this time? Personally hope the GFS does, realistically bet the Euro has a better handle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Amped and warm aloft is the concern. Elevation doesn’t matter if there’s a sneaky 700-800mb warm layer. The precip looks to be there given 2-3 standard deviation moisture feed. Just hope it’s a cold enough column. I might be naive, but I haven’t seen much ZR or sleet here at all. It’s either rain or snow. The mid-slope deal here seems to just set up that way. If this ends up too warm to snow I expect to be rain to some FZDR I guess if temps are as cold as they say. Maybe it’s the MA in me, but cold air chasing rain never equals an ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Well it was nice having snow on the ground for a few days. All that precip plus temps in upper 40’s means this stuff will be gone by Saturday. Unless something changes. This has the feeling of a rainer down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Icon looks a little more amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: I agree there were burps but that happens all the time. The GFS finally caught on inside 24 but no way did it out perform the Euro which consistently had a KU from NJ NYC LI Boston up to Maine. The huge difference in these 2 models now inside 72 hrs fir this is pretty amazing. Who will be more right this time? Personally hope the GFS does, realistically bet the Euro has a better handle. I just think the gfs was fairly consistent from Friday on. Maybe even Thursday night. That euro runs from 00z to 12. Friday? Woof. I Don’t have faith in euro like I used to, and that mentality helped the forecast for Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I just think the gfs was fairly consistent from Friday on. Maybe even Thursday night. That euro runs from 00z to 12. Friday? Woof. I Don’t have faith in euro like I used to, and that mentality helped the forecast for Saturday. I had 12 to 18 ct river east and 18 to 30 RI to Aematt all based on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I just think the gfs was fairly consistent from Friday on. Maybe even Thursday night. That euro runs from 00z to 12. Friday? Woof. I Don’t have faith in euro like I used to, and that mentality helped the forecast for Saturday. So going with gfs for Friday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: So going with gfs for Friday? No. Because Scooter knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I agree there were burps but that happens all the time. The GFS finally caught on inside 24 but no way did it out perform the Euro which consistently had a KU from NJ NYC LI Boston up to Maine. The huge difference in these 2 models now inside 72 hrs fir this is pretty amazing. Who will be more right this time? Personally hope the GFS does, realistically bet the Euro has a better handle. The euro was KU’ing here though while the GFS didn’t. I’ve just been disappointed with the euro’s inconsistency. It’s difficult to forecast with when it’s jumping around in close range. Looks like 27/18 and 28/00 were the really amped runs. Anyway…back to the storm at hand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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