Cary67 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 50 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Call looking $$$, feel for the nw burbs crew looking at another razor miss The steady north bumps with GFS seemed to halt with OZ run and Euro baby stepping north to a consensus. Most likely NAM will have a significant bump south before the end of today's runs. Champaign and Indy deserve some love. DTW always manages to get theirs. Another close miss becoming common theme Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 IlX and WPC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 The 6z GFS is what I was concerned about last night when the 00z GFS stopped the north trend 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 4 minutes ago, Cary67 said: The steady north bumps with GFS seemed to halt with OZ run and Euro baby stepping north to a consensus. Most likely NAM will have a significant bump south before the end of today's runs. Champaign and Indy deserve some love. DTW always manages to get theirs. Another close miss becoming common theme i went with 10 expecting a fringe miss south situation because we have a p solid track record of turning those into solid hits here if we are fortunate and something big goes down, we are sitting pretty to reap nearly all the rewards and we're talking dogs, not a bad spot to be 4 tracking. we got the overrunning already in hrrr range and system ongoing at the end of the nam lol 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said: Call looking $$$, feel for the nw burbs crew looking at another razor miss You’ll be high i think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 When does 06z euro start? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 6 minutes ago, mimillman said: The 6z GFS is what I was concerned about last night when the 00z GFS stopped the north trend The 6z basically gives me 3 to 5 inches now. Detroit would still be 12ish. Uhg. Not even worth cleaning off the car for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 4 minutes ago, tim123 said: When does 06z euro start? Running rn, will post when it's done 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 u drive with 3-5 inches on your car? 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 4 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: u drive with 3-5 inches on your car? Jonger 2 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 8 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: u drive with 3-5 inches on your car? Wind on a 2 laner for everything but the front windshield and sides. Sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 I'm looking at more than 3 to 5 at the moment, but the advisory tier is right on the doorstep with another S bump from the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 06Z Euro is a touch north with the overrunning snow but maybe like 20 miles south with the main storm. But also way more wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 There was another bump NW on the 06z RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 4 minutes ago, Jonger said: I'm looking at more than 3 to 5 at the moment, but the advisory tier is right on the doorstep with another S bump from the GFS. Keep in mind that 2 days before the Boston storm. GFS was fish food only (out to sea). So I am not totally surprised by its output. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 31, 2022 Author Share Posted January 31, 2022 You’ll be high i think agree.that’s not a new thought either. have been hedging south for two days now, and Ricky can confirm.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 3 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: That would be close to my original call, but not trip worthy. It's actually a bit drier than the 00z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Just now, Lightning said: Keep in mind that 2 days before the Boston storm. GFS was fish food only (out to sea). So I am not totally surprised by its output. My comment was a bit of an overreaction. 6 years of struggling to crack 6 inches gets to you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 minute ago, Jonger said: 6 years of struggling to crack 6 inches gets to you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 5 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: agree. that’s not a new thought either. have been hedging south for two days now, and Ricky can confirm. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 3 minutes ago, Powerball said: That would be close to my original call, but not trip worthy. It's actually a bit drier than the 00z run. I think its still snowing at the end of the run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 9z RAP at 54 looks promising 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 I’ll go with 4-8” across the metro. Extreme southern Cook may pull off 12” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 37 minutes ago, mimillman said: The 6z GFS is what I was concerned about last night when the 00z GFS stopped the north trend Besides that, the 06z runs might have been the start of the models correcting to relatively more realistic amounts in the heaviest band. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 8 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: agree. that’s not a new thought either. have been hedging south for two days now, and Ricky can confirm. . Thought I heard you say mixing issues creeping into Alek’s backyard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 7 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: Can you put up entire country map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 minute ago, snowstormcanuck said: 9z RAP at 54 looks promising I'm sure it would bury MKE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 7 minutes ago, Jonger said: My comment was a bit of an overreaction. 6 years of struggling to crack 6 inches gets to you. I totally get it. Many storms in the past few years have not had that NW trend and been more suppressed in this area. Your reservation is not without cause. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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