Jackstraw Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Subtle differences in the way the models are handling that cutoff off the mid-atalantic. seems the ones with a more N bias have it stronger pumping the mid level ridge some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 My wife still wants to know who Alek is and why I blame him for things 2 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, ILSNOW said: no way Yes way Certainly within the realm of potential outcomes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CANNOTDIVIDEBY0 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Watching the NAM pick up on lake effect snow (stfu and let me have something) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, Chicago Storm said: The change this run did end up making for a more organized storm system a bit as it moved east through the sub-forum (IN/OH/MI). Still a few bumps back the other direction before it would be really noteworthy. There is certainly the remote possibility that enough spacing between the first and second wave could allow for that 2nd wave to cut to Cincinnati, which would bring back the solution we were seeing a couple days ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 We are now into the 3 dimensional Pachinko phase of the game lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Need confirmation from the RAP 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, ILSNOW said: Need confirmation from the RAP Just received 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 2 hours ago, mimillman said: I gotta say I love the RAP and HRRR banter. I am with Alek…feel like the northern edge of over running events typically overperform. Riding that to my 4-8” call, the main event is not ours. To be fair- Alek made a call, you gave a range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 hour ago, Jonger said: I really want to see good snow in west Michigan to ride my sled Friday. We have no trails around here....just a few rec areas. I will pray. There is still old snow on the ground but the thaw tomorrow will do a number on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, weatherbo said: To be fair- Alek made a call, you gave a range. That’s the way I do it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Happy for champaign, sux to be riding the rap and sref misfit crew as the euro goes to dust but c'est la vie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 7 minutes ago, frostfern said: I will pray. There is still old snow on the ground but the thaw tomorrow will do a number on it. There's no decent riding in the lower in my opinion right now. I'm hoping someone in SW Mich scores 8+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Here’s another graphic I seen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Just now, A-L-E-K said: Happy for champaign, sux to be riding the rap and sref misfit crew as the euro goes to dust but c'est la vie It's all about choosing the right model. Kind of like elections are about finding the votes to put you over the top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 1, 2022 Author Share Posted February 1, 2022 0z RGEM bumping north with the overrunning event. Edit: Way north so far. (Cyclone I'm looking at you.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Since someone asked earlier, here's the 00z HRW FV3 through 12z Thursday. It also shows that "lull" between waves like the NAM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: 0z RGEM bumping north with the overrunning event. Edit: Way north so far. (Cyclone I'm looking at you.) i'm rain through 0z THU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: 0z RGEM bumping north with the overrunning event. Edit: Way north so far. (Cyclone I'm looking at you.) You're not kidding. Rains til almost 6z Wed here lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 What are all these short range models picking up on that the global models are missing? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Just now, WestMichigan said: What are all these short range models picking up on that the global models are missing? Weenie prayers. 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 These kind of discrepancies on the eve of a major storm bring back memories of the 90s and 00s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Just now, snowstormcanuck said: These kind of discrepancies on the eve of a major storm bring back memories of the 90s and 00s. NGM all the way!!! (had a north Bias) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 2nd wave relatively organized on the RGEM over Memphis (60hr). EDIT: Meant Nashville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dalfy Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 It seems MBY continues to be at a real battleground with respect to warm layer. 18z RGEM and 12z GGEM maintain warm layer aloft well into Thursday which keeps us mixed for most of the event; NAM, EURO, GFS have trended toward warm layer cooling by late Wednesday night/00z Thursday which keeps us snow for precip thrust from the main low which is resulting in these boosted forecast totals. I'm liking my chances especially given the new 00z guidance, we'll see how RGEM and GGEM trend tonight. EDIT: RGEM came in slightly cooler, with changeover around 6z Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Just now, snowstormcanuck said: These kind of discrepancies on the eve of a major storm bring back memories of the 90s and 00s. Except back then the storm would be hitting Duluth by the 6z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Just now, Powerball said: 2nd wave relatively organized on the RGEM over Memphis. If I'm getting rain through 0z THU the main storm better cut through Akron. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 1, 2022 Author Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, Powerball said: 2nd wave relatively organized on the RGEM over Memphis (60hr). Bump SE a bit with the main storm system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, Powerball said: 2nd wave relatively organized on the RGEM over Memphis (60hr). EDIT: Meant Nashville. It might be cutting due NNE into Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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