Chicago Storm Posted January 31, 2022 Author Share Posted January 31, 2022 0z GFS 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 These are some historic totals for northern Indians and across central Illinois. Widespread 30”+. Respectable amounts even into the metro and across central Michigan. My concern is that the north trend didn’t continue 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Toledo bullseye. Crazy the gfs still spitting out 30+ kuchera totals. And the band got wider on the 0z. Curious to see if weve hit the northern most extent of the heavy 30+ banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Yeah, I was wondering what the deal was because Kuchera still puts SBN at 30 inches this run. I’m still trying to pick up my jaw off the floor. 2 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Different orientation. Storm itself was a bump NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Watching the model runs the next 36 hours 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snohio Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 36 inches in Toledo is just a crazy number. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 3 minutes ago, Stevo6899 said: Toledo bullseye. Crazy the gfs still spitting out 30+ kuchera totals. And the band got wider on the 0z. Curious to see if weve hit the northern most extent of the heavy 30+ banding. It's looking like we're not going to get more clarity to pull the trigger (or not) on our travel plans this round of runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Just now, Snohio said: 36 inches in Toledo is just a crazy number. That's insane 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohiocat5908 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Another insane GFS run. 40 hours of continuous snow with 2.84" of all snow QPF at kTOL. Would shatter the snowfall record here. With wind gusts 35-40 from hours 84 to 99. Crazy to think of how historic this storm could be. A true blizzard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Once again you can argue that this run didn't even quite reach full potential. Crazy to say that. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 I have to imagine those Ohio numbers near the shore are, at least somewhat, lake enhanced. It would even more crazy if it were 100% synoptic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Just now, Powerball said: It's looking like we're not going to get more clarity to pull the trigger on our travel plans. You never wanna be in the bullseye 36-48 hr out. Id rather be on the northern fringes so i like where detroit sits. More often than not, banding ends up further north. Ill wait until tomorrow 12z to book anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snohio Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 2 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: That's insane Average for an entire season is 37.4 inches. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zinski1990 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Here in Indy looking very close to heavy snow or extreme ice storm. Never been in an ice storm like the one these models are showing. GHD 2011 was even less than what this could be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Just now, Stevo6899 said: You never wanna be in the bullseye 36-48 hr out. Id rather be on the northern fringes so i like where detroit sits. More often than not, banding ends up further north. Ill wait until tomorrow 12z to book anything. True. But to the point mimillman got at, hopefully we're not seeing the end of the north trend already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 31, 2022 Author Share Posted January 31, 2022 3 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Once again you can argue that this run didn't even quite reach full potential. Crazy to say that. Nope. And if likely does, it will be north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 minute ago, Stevo6899 said: You never wanna be in the bullseye 36-48 hr out. Id rather be on the northern fringes so i like where detroit sits. More often than not, banding ends up further north. Ill wait until tomorrow 12z to book anything. This isn't like previous years, you aren't going to see radical changes in location within 2 days. Nothing really has done that this year. Just lesser amounts usually. Location doesn't wildly change anymore 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Just now, Powerball said: True. But to the point mimillman got at, hopefully we're not seeing the end of the north trend already. If we are, that’s not great in my opinion, because the GFS would likely jog south from here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Just now, Powerball said: True. But to the point mimillman got at, hopefully we're not seeing the end of the north trend already. Well it didnt go south, just the orientation went more w-e up this way. Im hoping by tomorrow 12z we'll have a better idea. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 31, 2022 Author Share Posted January 31, 2022 Just now, Stebo said: This isn't like previous years, you aren't going to see radical changes in location within 2 days. Nothing really has done that this year. Just lesser amounts usually. Location doesn't wildly change anymore The clipper trio did, as a recent not related example. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Gonna be real... never in my life did I think I would see model output like this anywhere near mby within 3-4 days. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zinski1990 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Just now, Stebo said: This isn't like previous years, you aren't going to see radical changes in location within 2 days. Nothing really has done that this year. Just lesser amounts usually. Location doesn't wildly change anymore I mean both u guys are getting a ton of snow lol. Whats to complain about? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wegoweather Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 6 minutes ago, Thundersnow12 said: That looks like close to 36” in east central IL to NW IN, north of LAF Heck, how about 24"+ on straight 10:1. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Just now, Chicago Storm said: Nope. And if likely does, it will be north. Are we talking Madison receiving significant snows as to how far north it could max out? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 3 minutes ago, Powerball said: True. But to the point mimillman got at, hopefully we're not seeing the end of the north trend already. Are you in Michigan for this one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Just now, zinski1990 said: I mean both u guys are getting a ton of snow lol. Whats to complain about? Not complaining just discussing lol. 2 feet+ or bust. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 minute ago, Chicago Storm said: The clipper trio did, as a recent not related example. As did 12/10/21. That storm looked poised to dump on the I90 corridor before it ran to MSP in the final 36 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 minute ago, mimillman said: If we are, that’s not great in my opinion, because the GFS would likely jog south from here Considering it's been on the north/amped end of the model suite, relative to the other global models, that would be disconcerting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 minute ago, hlcater said: Are you in Michigan for this one? I haven't decided yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 5 minutes ago, zinski1990 said: Here in Indy looking very close to heavy snow or extreme ice storm. Never been in an ice storm like the one these models are showing. GHD 2011 was even less than what this could be Feeling the same way in Columbus right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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