Hoosier Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 3z SREF mean is just shy of 18" here. One of the highest means that I can recall seeing around these parts. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Call looking $$$ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 06Z GFS is Northwest by a very very tiny amount Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 10:10 AM, A-L-E-K said: Call looking $$$ Expand starts to go check out overnight models and trends. See this: optimism FTW. It's a good thing. Maybe we can continue to tug some of this overunning a touch north. Board going to be lit next day or so. Best entertainment for the money. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 10:53 AM, Baum said: starts to go check out overnight models and trends. See this: optimism FTW. It's a good thing. Maybe we can continue to tug some of this overunning a touch north. Board going to be lit next day or so. Best entertainment for the money. Expand You sleep last night?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 10:56 AM, Frog Town said: You sleep last night?? Expand No, thanks for asking 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 10:58 AM, Chambana said: No, thanks for asking Expand Me either, lol. Literally feel like a kid. Gonna pass out by the time the snow starts to fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 10:56 AM, Frog Town said: You sleep last night?? Expand past the days where these things could keep me up all night. Was suffering from model burn out anyway given that mby is literally the cut off between 2" and a foot. But if I was jonesing for a 20" might have been tougher. Going to be fun to watch unfold now that were on the door step. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WHEATCENT Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 11:00 AM, Frog Town said: Me either, lol. Literally feel like a kid. Gonna pass out by the time the snow starts to fall. Expand it feels comforting knowing that I'm not the only one that gets little sleep over winter storms.... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigHoss48192 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 4:36 AM, Stebo said: I don't know what to make of the GFS, it is either going to be genius or a goat on this. Expand Careful using the term GOAT, you might trigger some Brady fanboys. LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 11:03 AM, Baum said: past the days where these things could keep me up all night. Was suffering from model burn out anyway given that mby is literally the cut off between 2" and a foot. But if I was jonesing for a 20" might have been tougher. Going to be fun to watch unfold now that were on the door step. Expand What's the word on the NW fringe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 DTX night crew punts the warnings to the day crew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Good heavens… ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Blowing snow developing Thursday with dangerous travel expected. Total snow accumulations 10 to 20 inches. * WHERE...Portions of northern Indiana and northwest Ohio. * WHEN...From 5 AM Wednesday to 7 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel will become very difficult to impossible. Blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will affect Wednesday and Thursday commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Rain will change to snow from northwest to southeast late tonight and early Wednesday morning. This will be a long duration snow event, with periods of moderate to heavy snow and reduced visibilities. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 11:33 AM, Cary67 said: What's the word on the NW fringe? Expand I don't think there has been much change overnight. Still going to bi sect our neck of the woods with a 1"-12" snowfall. Have to hope some of these short range models are sniffing out a slight north west shift. Which is not unusual to these fronto bands. Won't know until we see the whites of its eyes. Death or Glory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 OB, your call might be closer to what will happen. Lot of things working against us: delayed changeover to snow, quicker shut off of accum. snow Thursday morning, possible whiff with the main storm. There is a worst case scenario where we end up sub 4". Not saying thats happening but you sort of see the cracks in the ceiling developing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 When does 06z euro run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 11:51 AM, tim123 said: When does 06z euro run? Expand Running right now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 38 browsing for early am pre 12z hype, busiest this sub has been in a while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 11:45 AM, Baum said: I don't think there has been much change overnight. Still going to bi sect our neck of the woods with a 1"-12" snowfall. Have to hope some of these short range models are sniffing out a slight north west shift. Which is not unusual to these fronto bands. Won't know until we see the whites of its eyes. Death or Glory. Expand Thx. Good luck to you and Alek. Another brutal chapter in McHenry area weatherlore 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Like my call for 6-8" for MBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 11:52 AM, A-L-E-K said: 38 browsing for early am pre 12z hype, busiest this sub has been in a while Expand been a while since we had Chicago, Detroit, Michiana, St Louis, downstate IL, Indiana, Ohio inclusive event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 1, 2022 Author Share Posted February 1, 2022 6z Euro mostly holding serve with the overrunning event. Maybe a rock of an orientation change in a few spots.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 According to Detroit nws looks like 12 to 16 if your south of I696. Hopefully second wave ticks Nothwest a bit today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 LOT's aviation discussion sums up our fate in a nutshell: IT SEEMS EQUALLY PLAUSIBLE THAT THE SNOW PARKS OVERHEAD OR REMAINS JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE TERMINALS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 torching out there this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 1, 2022 Author Share Posted February 1, 2022 Going to guess that the evening/overnight shift in some guidance was an over-correction.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Owensnow Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 11:42 AM, nwohweather said: Good heavens… ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Blowing snow developing Thursday with dangerous travel expected. Total snow accumulations 10 to 20 inches. * WHERE...Portions of northern Indiana and northwest Ohio. * WHEN...From 5 AM Wednesday to 7 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel will become very difficult to impossible. Blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will affect Wednesday and Thursday commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Rain will change to snow from northwest to southeast late tonight and early Wednesday morning. This will be a long duration snow event, with periods of moderate to heavy snow and reduced visibilities. Expand I think this is overdone, the SREF plumes mean is less than 10 inches for TOL. That changeover timing is becoming farther delayed. Also QPF from second wave is waaayy down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 6z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 2/1/2022 at 12:31 PM, ILSNOW said: 6z Euro Expand After being the stubbornly southern-most solution, even the Euro is now trying to make fetch happen with Alek’s 10 inch call. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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