Jonger Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Just now, Powerball said: I think he meant in terms of the epic amounts. Those might end up south of the border. But in terms of getting a decent storm, then yeah, that seems to be guaranteed for Southern MI. It's just a clipper level storm here. Mother nature is gonna do her thing, but if I had a vote....I'd pass. Not worth the kid headaches and hit my business will take from low daily sales. But...not something I can control anyhow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 3 minutes ago, Kaner88 said: Never a good sign when the 18z RGEM is your best friend It did get GHD 1 right. So anything's possible, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 reach out to Brian D and have the thread renamed GHD ll.07 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Just now, Baum said: reach out to Brian D and have the thread renamed GHD ll.07 Chicago storm started this one and moved everything from that thread.. Maybe that's the problem? Lol 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 I just blame Alek for everything and it seems to work most of the time 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 minute ago, Harry said: Chicago storm started this one and moved everything from that thread.. Maybe that's the problem? Lol He’s a problem in general lemme tell you 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 18z rgem looking great for southern MI. And of course IN/OH 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toronto4 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Environment Canada just issued a Special Weather Statement for the GTA and a Winter Storm Watch for areas southwest of Toronto. Preliminary forecast amounts by EC for Toronto by Friday morning is 4-8” and 8-12” for SW Ontario/Niagara. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 2 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: 18z rgem looking great for southern MI. And of course IN/OH Post it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Just now, Thundersnow12 said: He’s a problem in general lemme tell you Lol.. Hey you remember back in the day what happened to Hoosier storm threads? Lol You used to have the golden touch. And yeah it helped having geos around.. Damn him! It's his fault! Someone go find hIm! Gotta have some fun with this! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Warning here URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Lincoln IL 318 PM CST Mon Jan 31 2022 ILZ029-031-036>038-040>055-011100- /O.UPG.KILX.WS.A.0001.220202T0300Z-220204T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KILX.WS.W.0001.220202T0300Z-220204T0000Z/ Peoria-Woodford-Fulton-Tazewell-McLean-Schuyler-Mason-Logan- De Witt-Piatt-Champaign-Vermilion-Cass-Menard-Scott-Morgan- Sangamon-Christian-Macon-Moultrie-Douglas- Including the cities of Peoria, Eureka, Canton, Pekin, Bloomington, Normal, Rushville, Havana, Lincoln, Clinton, Monticello, Champaign, Urbana, Danville, Beardstown, Petersburg, Winchester, Jacksonville, Springfield, Taylorville, Decatur, Sullivan, and Tuscola 318 PM CST Mon Jan 31 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM TUESDAY TO 6 PM CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Significant snow likely with a brief period of mixed precipitation. Total snow accumulations in excess of 12 inches with locally higher amounts possible. Ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 30 mph will create blowing and drifting snow Wednesday night into Thursday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Little bit of an unusual setup with the lake enhancement/effect in IL/WI. Often with a synoptic system passing by, the flow would eventually back and send the band into IN/MI. But in this case, it just kind of keeps moving west before eventually fading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 2 minutes ago, Jonger said: Post it See bottom of page 15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Just now, Harry said: Lol.. Hey you remember back in the day what happened to Hoosier storm threads? Lol You used to have the golden touch. And yeah it helped having geos around.. Damn him! It's his fault! Someone go find hIm! Gotta have some fun with this! Yeah there was that one winter I was on a roll of a hot streak lol Cant remember the last time Joe brought the goods Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 minute ago, Harry said: Lol.. Hey you remember back in the day what happened to Hoosier storm threads? Lol You used to have the golden touch. And yeah it helped having geos around.. Damn him! It's his fault! Someone go find hIm! Gotta have some fun with this! I have a lifetime pass from the Chicago crew for starting the GHD I thread. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Just now, Powerball said: See bottom of page 15. What's the verification rate on that model? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Just now, Jonger said: What's the verification rate on that model? As I said earlier, the last time it got something right was GHD 1 right, haha! But it's a northern outlier right now any way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
miller.b.time Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 2 minutes ago, Jonger said: What's the verification rate on that model? Sixty percent of the time it works every time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Random NAM forecast sounding from tomorrow night near Kankakee. Note the fairly steep lapse rates aloft. As has been mentioned, should get some pretty good snowfall intensity. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Very important tidbit from the National Weather Service in Cleveland detailing the significant to major winter storm for mid week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 LOT Afternoon AFD: DOOM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Dare I say, the 18Z GFS is a touch northwest so far? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michaelmantis Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 5 minutes ago, Baum said: LOT Afternoon AFD: DOOM Throwing in the towel (Elgin, IL). Good luck to those south and I'll enjoy living through the joy of others! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner88 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Despite the tough model runs, point & click numbers around the Arlington Heights, IL area have 5.7" or so. Numbers were updated earlier this hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner88 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 2 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: Dare I say, the 18Z GFS is a touch northwest so far? Don't know if my heart can take another climb on this hellish rollercoaster 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Louieloy102 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Just now, Kaner88 said: Despite the tough model runs, point & click numbers around the Arlington Heights, IL area have 5.7" or so. Numbers were updated earlier this hour. At 9.1" in the Loop, NWS holding up our hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magoos0728 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 minute ago, Louieloy102 said: At 9.1" in the Loop, NWS holding up our hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 5 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: Dare I say, the 18Z GFS is a touch northwest so far? Nearly identical with the first round just a bit more moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 5 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: Dare I say, the 18Z GFS is a touch northwest so far? Oh it is. For now atleast the bleeding has stopped! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 2 minutes ago, Louieloy102 said: At 9.1" in the Loop, NWS holding up our hope. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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