Harry Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 8:35 PM, snowstormcanuck said: Just when the 12z EURO is giving me some confidence, 18z NAM lays a turd in the punch bowl. Ick. Expand I wouldn't worry to much. It is the NAM. One thing I am certain of is the nam will come back south. It always does that and the one constant. Just a matter of what the big boys do? Thus the unknown at this point granted today it has been wagons south which could continue. Good luck! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Not gonna lie...a little nervous being on the northern edge of a foot of snow. Anymore southeast shifts and I'm in "low-end warning criteria". Hoping to stop the bleeding with the 00z runs tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 the way this is going the wednesday forecast for Chicago will Partly sunny, with a high near 30. What time does the 18z ICON come out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Mike Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 8:47 PM, ILSNOW said: the way this is going the wednesday forecast for Chicago will Partly sunny, with a high near 30. Expand Well yesterday was more north trend and today is more south so we still have tomorrow for it to come back north so we don’t have to enjoy partly cloudy conditions in Chicago on Wednesday. However not looking good at the moment. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 KIWX going with 6-10 inches Wed and Wed night 2 miles to my north. KIND not biting on snowfall amounts 2 miles to my south. Thats life on the edge lol. KIWX Wednesday Rain before 9am, then snow. High near 35. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. Wednesday Night Snow. Low around 21. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. KIND Wednesday Snow, possibly mixed with rain, becoming all snow after 2pm. High near 36. Northeast wind 7 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between three quarters and one inch possible. Wednesday Night Snow, possibly mixed with freezing rain, becoming all snow after 8pm. Low around 22. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible. KIND for Kokomowx 15 miles to the NW Wednesday Freezing rain, possibly mixed with snow, becoming all snow after 7am. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 33. North northeast wind around 11 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between three quarters and one inch possible. Wednesday Night Snow. Low around 21. Chance of precipitation is 100%. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 @michsnowfreak the NAM says you better turn your magnet back on or this will be too far south for DTW to cash in on the big snows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Posting for posterity's sake seeing McDonough County highlighted in pink around a sea of blue. It's just fun. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 best model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 LOT issued a winter storm watch for Cook county for 6-12" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Lone county just went warned for McDonough county in west central IL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Beat to the punch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 IWX round 1: Round 2: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 8:58 PM, WestMichigan said: @michsnowfreak the NAM says you better turn your magnet back on or this will be too far south for DTW to cash in on the big snows. Expand GRR has pulled the trigger here. Ofcourse WDM is at the helm. Ballsy call is all I will say after today's runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohiocat5908 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Quite a difference between the 12km and 3km NAM snowfall amounts. Wonder if the 3km is picking up on a quicker transition to snow over NE Indiana and NW Ohio?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Kind of a large range but I think 10-15" is a reasonable guess around here. Worst case scenario would be just under double digits imo. Favorable banding/little bump north could push things over 15"... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Congrats corn country on your storm. Southern Michigan is just about out of the mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 9:08 PM, Harry said: GRR has pulled the trigger here. Ofcourse WDM is at the helm. Ballsy call is all I will say after today's runs. Expand I am a bit surprised based on the GFS today/trends but he is big on the EURO and his map pretty much matches the EURO. WDM is our most fun AFDs to read in MI. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 9:12 PM, Jonger said: Congrats corn country on your storm. Southern Michigan is just about out of the mix. Expand You're getting snow for sure. Just may not be as much as you would like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 9:09 PM, Hoosier said: Kind of a large range but I think 10-15" is a reasonable guess around here. Worst case scenario would be just under double digits imo. Favorable banding/little bump north could push things over 15"... Expand Heaviest band, wherever it is, exceeds 20" storm total imo. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Lets see what the 18Z GFS does in a few mins lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 31, 2022 Author Share Posted January 31, 2022 18z RGEM held with overrunning, and then is a bump SE with the main storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 9:14 PM, Chicago Storm said: 18z RGEM held with overrunning, and then is a bump SE with the main storm. Expand It's slightly more juiced too, so makes up for the little shift a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 8:58 PM, WestMichigan said: @michsnowfreak the NAM says you better turn your magnet back on or this will be too far south for DTW to cash in on the big snows. Expand I turned it on. Although, the nam still has big snows here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zinski1990 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Maybe it's finally my time here in Indy lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 9:12 PM, Jonger said: Congrats corn country on your storm. Southern Michigan is just about out of the mix. Expand The Southern row of counties in Michigan is golden right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner88 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Never a good sign when the 18z RGEM is your best friend 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 9:17 PM, michsnowfreak said: The Southern row of counties in Michigan is golden right now. Expand I think he meant in terms of the epic amounts. Those might end up south of the border. But in terms of getting a decent storm, then yeah, that seems to be guaranteed for Southern MI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
METALSTORM Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 8:59 PM, sbnwx85 said: Posting for posterity's sake seeing McDonough County highlighted in pink around a sea of blue. It's just fun. Expand Weird Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 9:17 PM, Kaner88 said: Never a good sign when the 18z RGEM is your best friend Expand yep but lake effect saves the day for Lake and Northern Cook and we know how that works. Has the 18z RGEM ever verified? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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