Chicago Storm Posted January 31, 2022 Author Share Posted January 31, 2022 0z GFS 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 These are some historic totals for northern Indians and across central Illinois. Widespread 30”+. Respectable amounts even into the metro and across central Michigan. My concern is that the north trend didn’t continue 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Toledo bullseye. Crazy the gfs still spitting out 30+ kuchera totals. And the band got wider on the 0z. Curious to see if weve hit the northern most extent of the heavy 30+ banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Yeah, I was wondering what the deal was because Kuchera still puts SBN at 30 inches this run. I’m still trying to pick up my jaw off the floor. On 1/31/2022 at 4:04 AM, Chicago Storm said: Different orientation. Storm itself was a bump NW. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Watching the model runs the next 36 hours 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snohio Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 36 inches in Toledo is just a crazy number. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 4:06 AM, Stevo6899 said: Toledo bullseye. Crazy the gfs still spitting out 30+ kuchera totals. And the band got wider on the 0z. Curious to see if weve hit the northern most extent of the heavy 30+ banding. Expand It's looking like we're not going to get more clarity to pull the trigger (or not) on our travel plans this round of runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 4:08 AM, Snohio said: 36 inches in Toledo is just a crazy number. Expand That's insane 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohiocat5908 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Another insane GFS run. 40 hours of continuous snow with 2.84" of all snow QPF at kTOL. Would shatter the snowfall record here. With wind gusts 35-40 from hours 84 to 99. Crazy to think of how historic this storm could be. A true blizzard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Once again you can argue that this run didn't even quite reach full potential. Crazy to say that. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 I have to imagine those Ohio numbers near the shore are, at least somewhat, lake enhanced. It would even more crazy if it were 100% synoptic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 4:08 AM, Powerball said: It's looking like we're not going to get more clarity to pull the trigger on our travel plans. Expand You never wanna be in the bullseye 36-48 hr out. Id rather be on the northern fringes so i like where detroit sits. More often than not, banding ends up further north. Ill wait until tomorrow 12z to book anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snohio Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 4:09 AM, michsnowfreak said: That's insane Expand Average for an entire season is 37.4 inches. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zinski1990 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Here in Indy looking very close to heavy snow or extreme ice storm. Never been in an ice storm like the one these models are showing. GHD 2011 was even less than what this could be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 4:11 AM, Stevo6899 said: You never wanna be in the bullseye 36-48 hr out. Id rather be on the northern fringes so i like where detroit sits. More often than not, banding ends up further north. Ill wait until tomorrow 12z to book anything. Expand True. But to the point mimillman got at, hopefully we're not seeing the end of the north trend already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 31, 2022 Author Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 4:10 AM, Hoosier said: Once again you can argue that this run didn't even quite reach full potential. Crazy to say that. Expand Nope. And if likely does, it will be north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 4:11 AM, Stevo6899 said: You never wanna be in the bullseye 36-48 hr out. Id rather be on the northern fringes so i like where detroit sits. More often than not, banding ends up further north. Ill wait until tomorrow 12z to book anything. Expand This isn't like previous years, you aren't going to see radical changes in location within 2 days. Nothing really has done that this year. Just lesser amounts usually. Location doesn't wildly change anymore 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 4:13 AM, Powerball said: True. But to the point mimillman got at, hopefully we're not seeing the end of the north trend already. Expand If we are, that’s not great in my opinion, because the GFS would likely jog south from here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 4:13 AM, Powerball said: True. But to the point mimillman got at, hopefully we're not seeing the end of the north trend already. Expand Well it didnt go south, just the orientation went more w-e up this way. Im hoping by tomorrow 12z we'll have a better idea. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 31, 2022 Author Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 4:13 AM, Stebo said: This isn't like previous years, you aren't going to see radical changes in location within 2 days. Nothing really has done that this year. Just lesser amounts usually. Location doesn't wildly change anymore Expand The clipper trio did, as a recent not related example. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Gonna be real... never in my life did I think I would see model output like this anywhere near mby within 3-4 days. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zinski1990 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 4:13 AM, Stebo said: This isn't like previous years, you aren't going to see radical changes in location within 2 days. Nothing really has done that this year. Just lesser amounts usually. Location doesn't wildly change anymore Expand I mean both u guys are getting a ton of snow lol. Whats to complain about? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wegoweather Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 4:05 AM, Thundersnow12 said: That looks like close to 36” in east central IL to NW IN, north of LAF Expand Heck, how about 24"+ on straight 10:1. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 4:13 AM, Chicago Storm said: Nope. And if likely does, it will be north. Expand Are we talking Madison receiving significant snows as to how far north it could max out? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 4:13 AM, Powerball said: True. But to the point mimillman got at, hopefully we're not seeing the end of the north trend already. Expand Are you in Michigan for this one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 4:15 AM, zinski1990 said: I mean both u guys are getting a ton of snow lol. Whats to complain about? Expand Not complaining just discussing lol. 2 feet+ or bust. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 4:15 AM, Chicago Storm said: The clipper trio did, as a recent not related example. Expand As did 12/10/21. That storm looked poised to dump on the I90 corridor before it ran to MSP in the final 36 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 4:14 AM, mimillman said: If we are, that’s not great in my opinion, because the GFS would likely jog south from here Expand Considering it's been on the north/amped end of the model suite, relative to the other global models, that would be disconcerting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 4:16 AM, hlcater said: Are you in Michigan for this one? Expand I haven't decided yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 On 1/31/2022 at 4:12 AM, zinski1990 said: Here in Indy looking very close to heavy snow or extreme ice storm. Never been in an ice storm like the one these models are showing. GHD 2011 was even less than what this could be Expand Feeling the same way in Columbus right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts