Syrmax Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 *looks at Browser, sees 27 updates* *thinks, oh geeziz how bad are we screwed now by 12Z?* 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Yup like I said officially how every model can screw us day. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Fwiw cmc looks like best model today so far for buffalo to syr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Models continue to show what we know to be the most reliable part of the forecast: No matter what, Syracuse will get screwed by downsloping in a cold storm or taint in a further north track. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 CMC actually north from 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 minute ago, rochesterdave said: CMC actually north from 0z. Not all that surprising considering rgem had all of us in the taint 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PerintonMan Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Hope: 36 hours of moderate snow in the center of the conveyer belt, 18" Concern: 36 hours of flurries punctuated by occasional moderate bursts on the northern periphery, 4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 31, 2022 Author Share Posted January 31, 2022 GEFS 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Why can't we just get best snow to setup in the whole area from Lake Ontario to Binghamton and over to Albany with all of us in between? It's like there's either two options: Hedged north from Lake Ontario, or hedged south to south of the border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Nice lake signature here 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 We should all just live in motor homes so we can always be where it snows the heaviest. Whos in? 4 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said: Why can't we just get best snow to setup in the whole area from Lake Ontario to Binghamton and over to Albany with all of us in between? It's like there's either two options: Hedged north from Lake Ontario, or hedged south to south of the border. I thought the op 12z GFS was pretty good for most of the forum...at least the Thruway corridor. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Like reed Timmer 1 minute ago, Buckeyes_Suck said: We should all just live in motor homes so we can always be where it snows the heaviest. Whos in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 2 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Why can't we just get best snow to setup in the whole area from Lake Ontario to Binghamton and over to Albany with all of us in between? It's like there's either two options: Hedged north from Lake Ontario, or hedged south to south of the border. Pretty much what the GEFS are now showing. lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Just now, Stash said: I thought the op 12z GFS was pretty good for most of the forum...at least the Thruway corridor. It was. Just not what it was showing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 So the GEFS refuses to agree with its own Op and the CMC demolishes us. For now, we take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Back from Vermont so just catching up on things, but this is an accurate thread title. I hate seeing the gfs lose this one as its been doing really well lately. Vermont was great except late Saturday the winds got insane and temps plummeted, I got frost bite on my nose for the first time in my life.... not fun. It was the coldest I've ever been in my life, actually got downright scary. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Hey look a model that jacks syracuse. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 6 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Why can't we just get best snow to setup in the whole area from Lake Ontario to Binghamton and over to Albany with all of us in between? It's like there's either two options: Hedged north from Lake Ontario, or hedged south to south of the border. Those storms are normally hybrids from Alberta/Colorado. Most times someone gets owned. Either Buffalo-Niagara are skimmed and Albany/Syracuse get good hit or Buffalo-Niagara get hit and Albany mixes/rains 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 2 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Back from Vermont so just catching up on things, but this is an accurate thread title. I hate seeing the gfs lose this one as its been doing really well lately. Vermont was great except late Saturday the winds got insane and temps plummeted, I got frost bite on my nose for the first time in my life.... not fun. It was the coldest I've ever been in my life, actually got downright scary. Dam dude hope you didn't do any permanent damage. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Ukmet looks close to ggem from what I can see 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Just now, tombo82685 said: Ukmet looks close to ggem from what I can see To bad it ukmet. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 31, 2022 Author Share Posted January 31, 2022 UK 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 7 minutes ago, Stash said: I thought the op 12z GFS was pretty good for most of the forum...at least the Thruway corridor. Ssssh. The wailing and gnashing of teeth is just getting going. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 31, 2022 Author Share Posted January 31, 2022 GFS has several storms hitting the area and all of upstate cashes in 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 2 minutes ago, tim123 said: To bad it ukmet. Lol. But yet you follow the Icon?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 2 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: But yet you follow the Icon?? Unkmet is better than the icon for sure. I follow em all buddy. Ukmet is actually father north than last night 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 14 minutes ago, Buckeyes_Suck said: We should all just live in motor homes so we can always be where it snows the heaviest. Whos in? Nomadland 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 12 minutes ago, Stash said: I thought the op 12z GFS was pretty good for most of the forum...at least the Thruway corridor. True. I just hate that it's showing that ugly downsloping for this area. Looks like chances for you may be increasing as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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