vortmax Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, rochesterdave said: I wouldn’t spend any time worrying about that. The 3k is the same, before LE starts early Fri AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, tombo82685 said: Noted, Will do. Maybe this isn’t the best community then for me. Sorry for causing such a stir Tombo we enjoy the input you have. Just dial back the comments. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Plenty of enhancement behind the storm. You can see it on CODs site on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Hi rez gfs goin to drop close to 20 inches on south shore 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 8 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: Noted, Will do. Maybe this isn’t the best community then for me. Sorry for causing such a stir Ehh. I’m in a bad mood. I snapped a bit. All good. They’ll hang me if I run you outta here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 34 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: You know Tom, we have a pretty great group here. Maybe you don’t realize it but you come across as a royal prick about 80% of the time. Throttle it back bro. Don't worry, he'll run off and start his own upstate NY/Central PA weather board soon enough if things aren't to his liking around here. Pretty funny to see him scurry back to AMWX though after he moved out of the Philly area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, The Iceman said: Don't worry, he'll run off and start his own upstate NY/Central PA weather board soon enough if things aren't to his liking around here. Pretty funny to see him scurry back to AMWX though after he moved out of the Philly area. Oh he has a history. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Wait, did the 3rd wave on the 12z NAM just disappear??? 06z there was precip all day on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Nam 10:1 non-sleet and precip type outputs 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, BGM Blizzard said: Nam 10:1 non-sleet and precip type outputs Thanks for these maps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, vortmax said: Wait, did the 3rd wave on the 12z NAM just disappear??? 06z there was precip all day on Friday. somebody stole the 3rd storm! Dang. I think that 6z was a little too good to be true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, rochesterdave said: somebody stole the 3rd storm! Dang. I think that 6z was a little too good to be true. It's literally gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Thats you Dave and vort. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 25 minutes ago, vortmax said: That QPF hole over us doesn't make sense with a NNE wind. Downsloping off the Laurentian Upland in Quebec. That, or too many close up model screen grabs of Monroe County? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 3k Nam pretty similar with temps and ptype outputs, but less precip than 12k Nam 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_rules Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, BGM Blizzard said: 3k Nam pretty similar with temps and ptype outputs, but less precip than 12k Nam Hopes fading for a good snowstorm for my locale, but I’m starting to get a little nervous about freezing rain problems. That would be the absolute worst. I would much rather lose all our snow than deal with the effects of an ice storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 33 minutes ago, 96blizz said: I am a 2 handicap college golfer. I meant driver and then wedge. Holy crap. 2!?!? Nice. I consider anyone below 15 as good. I’m an 18. So you get the idea. One good shot, one bad shot. Any good courses out that way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, rochesterdave said: Holy crap. 2!?!? Nice. I consider anyone below 15 as good. I’m an 18. So you get the idea. One good shot, one bad shot. Any good courses out that way? I belong to Skaneateles CC and it’s great. Haven’t played too many others since moving here but Rochester is LOADED with some of the best!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, winter_rules said: Hopes fading for a good snowstorm for my locale, but I’m starting to get a little nervous about freezing rain problems. That would be the absolute worst. I would much rather lose all our snow than deal with the effects of an ice storm. Where do you live? Trout Crk Ontario? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, 96blizz said: I belong to Skaneateles CC and it’s great. Haven’t played too many others since moving here but Rochester is LOADED with some of the best!! Oh yeah. Incredible courses here. We’ll have to chat about it on the banter page someday. Greystone is my favorite. I play it for $40. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_rules Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 10 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Where do you live? Trout Crk Ontario? NY, East of Binghamton a little south of I-88. Near Oneonta/Sidney if you know of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 20 minutes ago, winter_rules said: Hopes fading for a good snowstorm for my locale, but I’m starting to get a little nervous about freezing rain problems. That would be the absolute worst. I would much rather lose all our snow than deal with the effects of an ice storm. Yeah you and me both. I'm not an expert, but if the model outputs are correct, I think we get more sleet vs freezing rain as it stands now. There seems to be a few hour window where the models are suggesting its predominently freezing rain and then it switches to sleet and eventually snow. During the window of freezing rain, the surface temps seem to be hovering around 30-32 which may limit the accretion to some extent. There a bunch of other factors that go into trying to accurately predict ice accretion too (dew point, pavement temps, precip rates etc). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 12z RGEM. Kuchera, naturally. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 29 minutes ago, tim123 said: Thats you Dave and vort. How good is the HRW FV3? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, 96blizz said: 12z RGEM. Kuchera, naturally. You gotta give it credit. It’s been in the same place for a year. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 3rd weak wave still on icon. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, 96blizz said: 12z RGEM. Kuchera, naturally. RGEM still showing the 3rd wave on Friday... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, vortmax said: How good is the HRW FV3? I believe it’s based off the same software as the GFS. Just with better resolution. So as good as it gets. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, vortmax said: How good is the HRW FV3? No idea honestly. From what I have seen its usually conservative on lake snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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