Ericjcrash Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, BGM Blizzard said: Albany will probably extend WSW all the way south to Greene and Rensselaer counties this afternoon. Not even a watch here lol. And I'm fairly far NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 5 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Not even a watch here lol. And I'm fairly far NW. Yeah you'll get one. I'm thinking as far south as eastern catskills of western Greene and then northeast to Rensselaer. BGM will probably add Delaware to match. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 58 minutes ago, Syrmax said: January Climate Data for Sizzlecuse... KSYZ and IMBY haven't had a >6" snowstorm yet this season. Jan storm ended up near 6.5" (7.6" at KSYZ) but that included a bunch of backend lake enhanced snowfall. Too many <3" events to mention. We were about 80% of normal snowfall and 73% total qpf for Jan and -4.6F for month. So cold and dry. Could be worse, could be December... Noticed lowest temp at KSYZ for Jan was -9F (twice) with 7 subzero lows and 2 days at exactly 0 for mins. Figuring in the 1-2F temp bias at KSYZ, we were likely lower than those values for both absolute and total # of min subzero temps. Jan grade: C Season grade to date: D+ Nov grade: C Dec grade: D- Great info! Would you know what is the lowest recorded minimum high for KYSR in Winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 57 minutes ago, mississaugasnow said: Well you guys down in CNY reeled this in, congrats haha. I will be bowing and throwing in the towel on this storm as it looks like nothing more then a run of the mill 2-5" snow for the GTHA over Bring on Spring! haha You think they'll cancel the winter storm watch for Hamilton? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, Ottawa Blizzard said: You think they'll cancel the winter storm watch for Hamilton? Probably not. I think they end up keeping it but saying 15-20cm instead of 20-30cm as currently posted. If we end up reporting 12-13cm at YHM its not a big hit to credibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 I think the NAM is still going to get us good… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 NAM looks to be further north and a touch deeper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Same time! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Just now, rochesterdave said: NAM looks to be further north and a touch deeper. Without a doubt. More like the GGEM. big totals possible here on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Gonna be big. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Oh yes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 About to be NAMd. as tombo pointed out now all models will work to this ideal solution 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Rain from Albany to Portland at maximum warmth. Yup, its certainly an 18z NAM run. Hopefully the A-Team doesn't follow suit later on Edit: As depicted, would probably mean more ice, as it'll be tough to knock out that low level cold air. Not going to spend too much time dwelling on it at this point though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Pretty much carbon copy on snowfall for thruway cities. Shifted north a tad. LP a bit better organized and north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 @winter_rules @Flying MXZ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 19 minutes ago, 96blizz said: About to be NAMd. as tombo pointed out now all models will work to this ideal solution Re: name change... You should go with George002 or George Jr. Either would be very appropriate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: Re: name change... You should go with George002 or George Jr. Either would be very appropriate. You do know I’ve been joking all day. I’m no weenie! Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: @winter_rules @Flying MXZ 4”-6” of sleet/snow mix is fine with me. I don’t mind the sleet too much, but I’d love to avoid the freezing rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 NAM verifying would make me sick 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: NAM verifying would make me sick Wait till you see the RGEM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 The low on the RGEM is nearly identical to the 18z NAM. Precip types are obviously thermal issues but it's 2 for 2 in the 18z suite "amped" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, 96blizz said: The low on the RGEM is nearly identical to the 18z NAM. Precip types are obviously thermal issues but it's 2 for 2 in the 18z suite "amped" Not that I spent much time looking at it earlier, but the RGEM looks a little cooler over it's last run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, Stash said: Not that I spent much time looking at it earlier, but the RGEM looks a little cooler over it's last run. Yes sir - it is. 18Z 12Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Would be quite the coup if the Canadian's score this one. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, vortmax said: Would be quite the coup if the Canadian's score this one. Canadians are too nice for a coup. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 23 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: NAM verifying would make me sick Lol BGM added Delaware to the WSW and Albany did nothing this afternoon. This scenario is one that gets me with the whole Watch/Warning criteria. BGM goes the 'high impact' route for justification in Delaware with 4-6" and .25 ice which is a more than reasonable justification imo. In fact I'd argue 5 inches of wet snowfall on top of .25 of ice accretion together is probably a much higher impact to life and property than a straight up 8-10" of snow drawn out over 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: Lol BGM added Delaware to the WSW and Albany did nothing this afternoon. This scenario is one that gets me with the whole Watch/Warning criteria. BGM goes the 'high impact' route for justification in Delaware with 4-6" and .25 ice which is a more than reasonable justification imo. In fact I'd argue 5 inches of snow and .25 of ice accretion together is probably a much higher impact to life and property than a straight up 8-10" of snow drawn out over 24 hours. Albany is a great office, but they're usually the very last ones to pull the trigger on watches and especially warnings. And that seems especially true when it involves the greater capital region counties. Maybe its a verification score thing, I dunno. Ultimately, it obviously makes no difference to what the weather will do, but it is a little surprising they didn't issue any more watches. I'm sure they will by tomorrow morning, but at that point we're only talking about a 12+ hour lead time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 GFS is definitely more amped. I think this is headed NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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