tombo82685 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 gfs should be southeast from what I'm seeing right now. less energy going into south, bit more tpv press, pna ridge pushing more towards west coast. Should promote more pos tilted trough allowing bit more could to push east 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 3 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: gfs should be southeast from what I'm seeing right now. less energy going into south, bit more tpv press, pna ridge pushing more towards west coast. Should promote more pos tilted trough allowing bit more could to push east Yeah, it already has snow showing up by early Wednesday afternoon over the Niagara region. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 2 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Yeah, it already has snow showing up by early Wednesday afternoon over the Niagara region. Matt! This is what we want! It’s that monster HP shifting north of VT 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Pretty much carbon copy. Maybe a smidge south. Should be another banger! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Mega hit again. Noice. Back to bed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Seems weaker over CNY...and there's this... LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Just now, TugHillMatt said: Seems weaker over CNY...and there's this... LOL Not even close to done!!! Lol. But the hole is funny. You do know the ADK are up there! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 weaker low as we had less phasing. Probably a good 50 mile shift southeast looks like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said: Seems weaker over CNY...and there's this... LOL It’s only out to 96. Beats the hell out of rain 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 31, 2022 Author Share Posted January 31, 2022 Massive hit 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Come to daddy HP 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Just now, rochesterdave said: It’s only out to 96. Beats the hell out of rain Oh, I know...It's just funny how there's ALWAYS a hole in this region on at least one model...and it is evident in the following runs still (just a little lesser amounts). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 3 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Seems weaker over CNY...and there's this... LOL like a desert... your getting nothing! not even rain! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: Massive hit Thanks for your awesome package with this new thread. I LOVE how you do it. I missed them the last couple 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Just now, SouthBuffaloSteve said: like a desert... your getting nothing! not even rain! Yeah, I saw that one too, and it didn't even bother posting it. LOL. As soon as it got cold enough, a little dry pocket showed up. It's hilarious! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Massive hit Awesome hit indeed. Even at 10-1 its shooting out over 20" and we still have 200+ hours to run! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Starts in 72-84 hours. No longer a LT forecast. Starting to lock in. Now if we can see the members come SE…. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 I would love to see it continue a few more nudges SE for our friends in BGM, ALB. and the Catskills. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 minute ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Awesome hit indeed. Even at 10-1 its shooting out over 20" and we still have 200+ hours to run! I'd use 10-1 over kuchera on this event. Mid levels are pretty warm. Omega within the DGZ is pretty meh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 31, 2022 Author Share Posted January 31, 2022 Just now, tombo82685 said: I'd use 10-1 over kuchera on this event. Mid levels are pretty warm. Omega within the DGZ is pretty meh agreed thinking 1:14 further NW and right along that edge 1:10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 ggem looks damn good, pretty much held from what I can see form 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 minute ago, tombo82685 said: ggem looks damn good, pretty much held from what I can see form 12z actually a bit warmer, gets mix line to cuse 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Lol Definitely a little DS on the GFS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 5 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: actually a bit warmer, gets mix line to cuse Where are you seeing that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Lol Definitely a little DS on the GFS... We either downslope if it's cold enough or we mix/rain because a warm nose pushes in. Both seem like a good possibility based on whatever track. Perhaps it's these SWFEs that are extremely frustrating for CNY. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 9 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: actually a bit warmer, gets mix line to cuse That's after some heavy snow for Cuse 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: That's after some heavy snow for Cuse Big area of mix. All the way south to Scranton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 3 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Big area of mix. All the way south to Scranton Look at this high 1044 I wonder if this will trend south. I don't think it will for the coast but interior areas like Albany should be on the lookout. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Actually that mix line would stay to the south of Syracuse on the Onondaga/Cortland county lines. Very similar look to GFS. Of course, I could see it easily poking it's head up here. But, verbatim, that's not "to the Cuse." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 3 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Actually that mix line would stay to the south of Syracuse on the Onondaga/Cortland county lines. Very similar look to GFS. Of course, I could see it easily poking it's head up here. But, verbatim, that's not "to the Cuse." That looks pretty close to cuse to me if you want to nit pick over 5-10 miles sure then https://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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