yankees102110 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Nam went from giving me 3-4 inches on the 6z to over a foot on the 12z here in the extreme southern dacks/great sacandaga lake region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Gonna be nip and tuck down here. Definitely looks to start as ice but hopefully not for long. Blah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 If these colder solutions do pan out 13 to 1 ratio is probally a good bet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Just now, TugHillMatt said: Lol Dude thats only to hour 60. Storm 2 is just starting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Nice bump in totals generally.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Now that we are getting into range. Starting to show some ontario love on nam 12k 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Just now, tim123 said: Dude thats only to hour 60. Storm 2 is just starting I am aware. You can also see the path it's taking for the best snows along the southern tier. Only a Nam though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Just now, LakeEffectKing said: Nice bump in totals generally.. Nam is the worst with including sleet. Someone in Scranton thinks their getting 2 feet. Lol 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 I will be shocked if the 12 Rgem doesn't come south at 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 6 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: Nice bump in totals generally.. Here the precip breakdown by type and 10:1 without sleet included. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: Nice bump in totals generally.. My god…how much sleet is that down my way? A foot? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Yeah, geez, that NAM run is tits. It hits with both waves. Wow. Is it in range? BTW? Where is BUFWX? I hope I didn’t piss him off to the point of blockage. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 13 minutes ago, tim123 said: If these colder solutions do pan out 13 to 1 ratio is probally a good bet Again, not sure how many times this has to be stated, cold plays some roll in this but it could be 5 degrees out and you could still have blah ratios. You need omega in the dgz and that is lacking right now 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Just now, tombo82685 said: Again, not sure how many times this has to be stated, cold plays some roll in this but it could be 5 degrees out and you could still have blah ratios. You need omega in the dgz and that is lacking right now Yeah, that's extremely common in these parts...especially with these SWFEs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, tombo82685 said: Again, not sure how many times this has to be stated, cold plays some roll in this but it could be 5 degrees out and you could still have blah ratios. You need omega in the dgz and that is lacking right now Not if you include lake snow brother. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: Again, not sure how many times this has to be stated, cold plays some roll in this but it could be 5 degrees out and you could still have blah ratios. You need omega in the dgz and that is lacking right now Like I’ve been saying. At least 30:1 due to the cold. We’re in complete agreement as usual. Tom is like the forum scold. But he’s smart, so I guess he stays. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, tim123 said: Not if you include lake snow brother. That would be after the storm passes with the northerly flow. therefore not related to this system as a whole synoptically speaking 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, rochesterdave said: Like I’ve been saying. At least 30:1 due to the cold. We’re in complete agreement as usual. Tom is like the forum scold. But he’s smart, so I guess he stays. Why not go 50-1, then lake effect on backside could do 75-1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, tombo82685 said: That would be after the storm passes with the northerly flow. therefore not related to this system as a whole synoptically speaking Yeah but even kbuf says 12 to 1 middle end of event. I don't think 13 to 1 is outlandish especially with second wave. First wave i agree 10 to 1 or lower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 1, 2022 Author Share Posted February 1, 2022 10 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Yeah, geez, that NAM run is tits. It hits with both waves. Wow. Is it in range? BTW? Where is BUFWX? I hope I didn’t piss him off to the point of blockage. busy day at work! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: busy day at work! How dare you work when there's a storm coming. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 I’m going with high ratios and Kuchera maps because that makes me happy now. I’m fine with delaying my own letdowns. Present value of happiness. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Rgem is so stubborn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 RGEM still likes Canada. Is it because that’s who made it? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 6 minutes ago, 96blizz said: RGEM still likes Canada. Is it because that’s who made it? There's always one...and if it ends up right, Yes, I will melt like a Karen who didn't get enough creamer in her caramel latte frap macchiato. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Rgem has has issues several times this year with the mix line..Track wise not much different than the NAM.. Could be issues with the ULLs.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 6 minutes ago, 96blizz said: RGEM still likes Canada. Is it because that’s who made it? haha hope it happens but this storm has turned into a big dud for Buffalo northtowns-Hamilton. Im pretty much over winter in about 2 weeks so I hope the SE ridge flexes hard and we get 50s haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said: There's always one...and if it ends up right, Yes, I will melt like a Karen who didn't get enough creamer in caramel latte frap macchiato. So just another normal day? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Just now, wolfie09 said: Rgem has has issues several times this year with the mix line..Track wise not much different than the NAM.. For once I’m going to say it. Only to regret it. TOSS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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