vortmax Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 On 2/2/2022 at 2:24 PM, rochesterdave said: I wouldn’t spend any time worrying about that. Expand The 3k is the same, before LE starts early Fri AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 On 2/2/2022 at 2:26 PM, tombo82685 said: Noted, Will do. Maybe this isn’t the best community then for me. Sorry for causing such a stir Expand Tombo we enjoy the input you have. Just dial back the comments. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Plenty of enhancement behind the storm. You can see it on CODs site on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Hi rez gfs goin to drop close to 20 inches on south shore 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 On 2/2/2022 at 2:26 PM, tombo82685 said: Noted, Will do. Maybe this isn’t the best community then for me. Sorry for causing such a stir Expand Ehh. I’m in a bad mood. I snapped a bit. All good. They’ll hang me if I run you outta here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 On 2/2/2022 at 1:48 PM, rochesterdave said: You know Tom, we have a pretty great group here. Maybe you don’t realize it but you come across as a royal prick about 80% of the time. Throttle it back bro. Expand Don't worry, he'll run off and start his own upstate NY/Central PA weather board soon enough if things aren't to his liking around here. Pretty funny to see him scurry back to AMWX though after he moved out of the Philly area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 On 2/2/2022 at 2:36 PM, The Iceman said: Don't worry, he'll run off and start his own upstate NY/Central PA weather board soon enough if things aren't to his liking around here. Pretty funny to see him scurry back to AMWX though after he moved out of the Philly area. Expand Oh he has a history. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Wait, did the 3rd wave on the 12z NAM just disappear??? 06z there was precip all day on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Nam 10:1 non-sleet and precip type outputs 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 On 2/2/2022 at 2:37 PM, BGM Blizzard said: Nam 10:1 non-sleet and precip type outputs Expand Thanks for these maps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 On 2/2/2022 at 2:37 PM, vortmax said: Wait, did the 3rd wave on the 12z NAM just disappear??? 06z there was precip all day on Friday. Expand somebody stole the 3rd storm! Dang. I think that 6z was a little too good to be true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 On 2/2/2022 at 2:45 PM, rochesterdave said: somebody stole the 3rd storm! Dang. I think that 6z was a little too good to be true. Expand It's literally gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Thats you Dave and vort. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 On 2/2/2022 at 2:22 PM, vortmax said: That QPF hole over us doesn't make sense with a NNE wind. Expand Downsloping off the Laurentian Upland in Quebec. That, or too many close up model screen grabs of Monroe County? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 3k Nam pretty similar with temps and ptype outputs, but less precip than 12k Nam 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_rules Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 On 2/2/2022 at 2:50 PM, BGM Blizzard said: 3k Nam pretty similar with temps and ptype outputs, but less precip than 12k Nam Expand Hopes fading for a good snowstorm for my locale, but I’m starting to get a little nervous about freezing rain problems. That would be the absolute worst. I would much rather lose all our snow than deal with the effects of an ice storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 On 2/2/2022 at 2:21 PM, 96blizz said: I am a 2 handicap college golfer. I meant driver and then wedge. Expand Holy crap. 2!?!? Nice. I consider anyone below 15 as good. I’m an 18. So you get the idea. One good shot, one bad shot. Any good courses out that way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 On 2/2/2022 at 2:57 PM, rochesterdave said: Holy crap. 2!?!? Nice. I consider anyone below 15 as good. I’m an 18. So you get the idea. One good shot, one bad shot. Any good courses out that way? Expand I belong to Skaneateles CC and it’s great. Haven’t played too many others since moving here but Rochester is LOADED with some of the best!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 On 2/2/2022 at 2:53 PM, winter_rules said: Hopes fading for a good snowstorm for my locale, but I’m starting to get a little nervous about freezing rain problems. That would be the absolute worst. I would much rather lose all our snow than deal with the effects of an ice storm. Expand Where do you live? Trout Crk Ontario? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 On 2/2/2022 at 2:58 PM, 96blizz said: I belong to Skaneateles CC and it’s great. Haven’t played too many others since moving here but Rochester is LOADED with some of the best!! Expand Oh yeah. Incredible courses here. We’ll have to chat about it on the banter page someday. Greystone is my favorite. I play it for $40. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_rules Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 On 2/2/2022 at 2:58 PM, rochesterdave said: Where do you live? Trout Crk Ontario? Expand NY, East of Binghamton a little south of I-88. Near Oneonta/Sidney if you know of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 On 2/2/2022 at 2:53 PM, winter_rules said: Hopes fading for a good snowstorm for my locale, but I’m starting to get a little nervous about freezing rain problems. That would be the absolute worst. I would much rather lose all our snow than deal with the effects of an ice storm. Expand Yeah you and me both. I'm not an expert, but if the model outputs are correct, I think we get more sleet vs freezing rain as it stands now. There seems to be a few hour window where the models are suggesting its predominently freezing rain and then it switches to sleet and eventually snow. During the window of freezing rain, the surface temps seem to be hovering around 30-32 which may limit the accretion to some extent. There a bunch of other factors that go into trying to accurately predict ice accretion too (dew point, pavement temps, precip rates etc). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 12z RGEM. Kuchera, naturally. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 On 2/2/2022 at 2:47 PM, tim123 said: Thats you Dave and vort. Expand How good is the HRW FV3? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 On 2/2/2022 at 3:14 PM, 96blizz said: 12z RGEM. Kuchera, naturally. Expand You gotta give it credit. It’s been in the same place for a year. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 3rd weak wave still on icon. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 On 2/2/2022 at 3:14 PM, 96blizz said: 12z RGEM. Kuchera, naturally. Expand RGEM still showing the 3rd wave on Friday... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 On 2/2/2022 at 3:17 PM, vortmax said: How good is the HRW FV3? Expand I believe it’s based off the same software as the GFS. Just with better resolution. So as good as it gets. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 On 2/2/2022 at 3:17 PM, vortmax said: How good is the HRW FV3? Expand No idea honestly. From what I have seen its usually conservative on lake snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now