Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 The latest run of the Canadian definitely shifted north for the Thursday event. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 GFS continues to subtly adjust north on the second wave. The snowfall maps didn’t change but I’m happy to see the suppression scenario stop 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, Ottawa Blizzard said: The latest run of the Canadian definitely shifted north for the Thursday event. Ugh, really? Rgem is going to lead over the Ggem? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, Ottawa Blizzard said: The latest run of the Canadian definitely shifted north for the Thursday event. With all due respect to this model, I'd just toss this into a steaming hot vat of Canadian maple syrup for now, and go with a Euro/GFS compromise. At least until later tonight. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, Stash said: With all due respect to this model, I'd just toss this into a steaming hot vat of Canadian maple syrup for now, and go with a Euro/GFS compromise. At least until later tonight. We'd better hope its drowning in Hudson Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: We'd better hope its drowning in Hudson Bay. There was a time when the CMC would be one of my first go to models for longer range, but the regional version was usually relegated to long-term NAM status. This cold means business. I might sleet a lot of the time (unless the GFS is right), but my concerns for a major ice storm here have dropped a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 14 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: GFS continues to subtly adjust north on the second wave. The snowfall maps didn’t change but I’m happy to see the suppression scenario stop They didn’t change because there is less qpf but agreed, gfs came in stronger bit more amped with that 2nd wave 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 I can't believe the GGEM actually moved towards the Rgem. We might not see snow here until Thursday night now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Ehhh. The cold air bleeds in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 And then it becomes a bit of a coastal. Hahaha. I love this stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Still a big hit for most 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 CMC may snow till Sunday. Kinda kidding... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Even with the warmer solution, Ggem is a little better for kbuf CWA at 10-1(compared to the GFS).. Quite a bit more moisture.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, rochesterdave said: Still a big hit for most Snowier by a little bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Ukmet looks a bit nw of 0z from what I can tell from the 12hr maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Seems like things may be starting later than planned. I think you guys are trolling tombo by posting kuchera after kuchera... lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 56 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: I think you should change it to DeathBand. @Syrmaxagrees. Workin' the nerves you are... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 The morning maps look pretty solid imo . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: Ukmet looks a bit nw of 0z from what I can tell from the 12hr maps It is. Sadly, this is only 10:1. LOL 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, 96blizz said: It is. Sadly, this is only 10:1. LOL Couple days ago ukmet had southern pa with over a foot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 An interesting aspect is the timing here. Multiple models have it snowing into Friday night... Two straight days of snow would be awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Lol. From Sunday night 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 hour ago, 96blizz said: I already did that years ago. That’s silly. Okay. 96Blizz it is. Could sign up for a new account? All the trolls do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 UK abandoned its outlier status and at least came into the realm of possibilities this run. Looks good for entire forum and somewhat close to the GFS for snowfall amounts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Here was the Rgem and Cmc precip type and 10:1 non-sleet for comparison to other models. Rgem Cmc 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 48 hours out and narrowing down a solution as one would expect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 With the Canadian and UKMET warmer, I would think the Euro will do the same this afternoon. I still don't think it's raining into the southern half of Maine like in the RGEM however, but maybe we'll find a consensus of sorts by later tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 22 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Seems like things may be starting later than planned. I think you guys are trolling tombo by posting kuchera after kuchera... lol Like I stated last night, whichever model shows your backyard getting the most you go with. Toss everything else. 5 rules to the handbook among others 1: coldest and snowiest model is always correct regardless of its origin. I.E. KMA 2: always use the snow method that brings the most snow to your backyard. Whether it be kuchera, 10-1 or tidbit sleet being counted as snow 3. If the 850 line is below your house and the model shows rain, it’s wrong, storms create their own cold air. 4: storms can’t go through a HP. HP are walls. 5. 84hr nam maps are correct. Models correct to the nam, nam doesn’t correct to them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 48 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: GFS continues to subtly adjust north on the second wave. The snowfall maps didn’t change but I’m happy to see the suppression scenario stop At this stage, I'd honestly count myself lucky if I got 6" in Toronto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 20 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: The morning maps look pretty solid imo . 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now