BuffaloWeather Posted January 31, 2022 Author Share Posted January 31, 2022 13 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Just thought I leave this here so you guys can bitch about it lol Just appeard on the NWS winter weather page..I think roc is over 100" now? Looks about right. Me and Devin average somewhere around 110-120" a year. Would scoot that red a little bit NW for Southern Erie county. That black dot is just Carol right? No other spotters in that area? She really averages 300"+ a year? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 6 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Maybe he's in western Lowville? Snowfall goes up quite quick in that area.. If you look at the coop location its .5 mile north of lowville about same elevation as me. I’m like 840 they are 866. Honestly I think that due to lack of observers in that area they guess and overdo the amount of downsloping. Def admit it gets dry slotted but I live 2.5 miles from that location at same elevation, no way there is a 30-40” snowfall difference. I’m actually beating that coop location right now snowfall wise. That station has missed some snowfall and or didn’t report some of the snows that fell. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Quick side note…KBUF is 35…EVERY other site near and around all WNY is below freezing…end rant… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Winter Storm Watch issued for Hamilton-Niagara for 8-12" Special weather statement for Toronto for 4-8" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 8 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Looks about right. Me and Devin average somewhere around 110-120" a year. Would scoot that red a little bit NW for Southern Erie county. That black dot is just Carol right? No other spotters in that area? She really averages 300"+ a year? Well she doesn’t have 30 yrs of data, think only like 8 years or so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 GFS cave commencing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 If the gfs solution verified then yes ratios would be better. Ggem and euro would be close to 10-1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 GFS is EXACTLY best case scenario. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 36 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Looks about right. Me and Devin average somewhere around 110-120" a year. Would scoot that red a little bit NW for Southern Erie county. That black dot is just Carol right? No other spotters in that area? She really averages 300"+ a year? That black dot looks east of her .She sits at 1305'ASL, elevation goes up east of her.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 10 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: GFS is EXACTLY best case scenario. Amen to that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 I'm not seeing large amts of Omega with this system in fumbling through some Skew-T's, around NYS anyway, wondering how that will affect dendrite production. That's one way to underachieve, which we've done before...i think one of last year's systems suffered from the "rice snow" effect... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: That black dot looks east of her .She sits at 1350ASL, elevation goes up east of her.. It would be cool to have an accurate snowfall map for the entire Tug and ADK. That area has so many micro climates.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 10 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: It would be cool to have an accurate snowfall map for the entire Tug and ADK. That area has so many micro climates.. I’d like to see one of Monroe county 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 11 minutes ago, Syrmax said: I'm not seeing large amts of Omega with this system in fumbling through some Skew-T's, around NYS anyway, wondering how that will affect dendrite production. That's one way to underachieve, which we've done before...i think one of last year's systems suffered from the "rice snow" effect... Bing bing bing, why those kuchie maps are garbage outside of gfs maybe. 0 omega lining up with dgz. Also thicknesses are warm too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 minute ago, tombo82685 said: I’d like to see one of Monroe county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolMikeWx Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 It would be cool to have an accurate snowfall map for the entire Tug and ADK. That area has so many micro climates..You really see it riding the entire area on snowmobile. It's fascinating.I remember when I was younger and we would go up, there would be no snow in Utica and we would be like what the heck man. And then there is a point going up 12 where it just hits and they have insane amounts piled everywhere. Best feeling ever. Then going from lyons falls up the hill was even crazier.Love that area.. Sent from my SM-G988U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 GEFS matching closer to the OP now. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 10 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: I’d like to see one of Monroe county An accurate one? Lol…. We do have a big gradient SW-NE. And the airport has a tiny bit of elevation and is situated where they get love from both lakes. I still say it’s exaggerated but maybe not much? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 I can confirm that map for eastern monroe western wayne county 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 5 minutes ago, CoolMikeWx said: You really see it riding the entire area on snowmobile. It's fascinating. I remember when I was younger and we would go up, there would be no snow in Utica and we would be like what the heck man. And then there is a point going up 12 where it just hits and they have insane amounts piled everywhere. Best feeling ever. Then going from lyons falls up the hill was even crazier. Love that area.. Sent from my SM-G988U using Tapatalk I drive that same area. I go from Rome up. It is truly amazing. Like different worlds. The kind of stuff you typically only see out West 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 A tear 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 7 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: A tear 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 6 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: OMG!!! That’s about what I’ve promised 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 hour ago, Thinksnow18 said: Quick side note…KBUF is 35…EVERY other site near and around all WNY is below freezing…end rant… And wall to wall sun all day today, I'm sure those run ways are the largest cleared areas anywhere in the county. I think we chalk this up to solar heating of the surrounding area and leave it at that 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 2 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: lol. Having lived in both Ottawa and Toronto, I can tell you that people in Ottawa take the snow and cold much more in stride. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: Looks about right. Me and Devin average somewhere around 110-120" a year. Would scoot that red a little bit NW for Southern Erie county. That black dot is just Carol right? No other spotters in that area? She really averages 300"+ a year? Fascinating map, I could stare at it for hours. One thing that stands out to me is the maxima off Erie on the Chataqua ridge. That area from Dayton to the southwest along the ridge line. Any WNY’ers ever chase in that area? Whenever I chase I only get as far south as Sardinia in far southern Erie, occasionally get to Ellicotville proper. Need to check that area out sometime though. Imagine road options are dicey… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 12 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: And wall to wall sun all day today, I'm sure those run ways are the largest cleared areas anywhere in the county. I think we chalk this up to solar heating of the surrounding area and leave it at that How was skiing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 30 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: A tear 100%? Sweet jinx Dave. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Tracks are laid 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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