tim123 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Now there popping up all over in Midwest now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Major major move SE on the GFS at 6z. This is why having it NW was preferred. The press is real. It’s never easy. Dammit. @tombo82685 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 One run. Really looks wonky to me but who knows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Is that some major downsloping from tug in Oswego and syracuse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Looks like the GEFS has a similar look. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Uh oh... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 GEFS still looks okay (I think) but that was an ugly start to the day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Gives boston more than buffalo now lol. That was a monster swing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Lol. I hate Syracuse. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 16 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Lol. I hate Syracuse. That’s it. I’m convinced. It’s you. We have about 72 hours to figure out a way to reverse your curse… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 22 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Rgem looks like a split between nam and gfs. But anyway you slice it syracuse gets shafted either downsloping or warm tounge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 hour ago, LakeEffectKing said: Uh oh... One run. It’s an awful big shift from 0z yes but I do believe these model runs kinda cycle through the many tracks within the ensembles. If this trend is there at 12z then it’s uh oh… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 hour ago, LakeEffectKing said: Uh oh... So much nicer! (For down here) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 26 minutes ago, Flying MXZ said: So much nicer! (For down here) I also endorse this run. Just need a little more QPF but I'd sign as is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 41 minutes ago, tim123 said: Rgem looks like a split between nam and gfs. But anyway you slice it syracuse gets shafted either downsloping or warm tounge. Yup! It's been this way all 3 Winters I've been here. It has been so maddening. Supposedly not the norm? It's gotta be that SWFEs are just awful for this area regardless of track. Good coastal storms that impact us have been MIA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Noticed Indianapolis and Detroit hoisted watches for this system but Cleveland and Erie have not. Detroit even put an 8-14” marker on theirs and I’m not sure what Indianapolis did but they said greater than 4” of snow and ice. Should have watches hoisted later afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 I wake up and look at the 6Z GFS to see if it pushed any further north only to see it head south. Did somebody in the New England forum hack into the GFS algorithm? They must be going crazy over there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Waiting on 6z Euro and EPS. First chance to see if we’ve got a trend on our hands or a blip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Matt throws a tantrum and Tim throws out the GFS, says it’s “wonky”. All is right with the universe. it’s a single run on the GFS and Canook. I’m gonna split them and panick later 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Not saying gfs is wrong just looks odd with its snow distribution. Guess it is showing big downslope off tug Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Icon is south too. Lol. I recall Tombo and NWS leaning cold. I guess they might be right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Good morning everyone! Is there any new energy getting measured in the model that wasn't previously? Something come ashore? If not, then this may just be a blip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 That’s a monster HP! 1046! And can we talk temp swings!!! Several days ago I was bitching because my ski trip was going to be 50F. Here’s what it looks like now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Tug hill matt is coming ashore and being sampled as we speak. Colononoscapy i believe. Will ensure we all take it in the butt. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 hour ago, Flying MXZ said: So much nicer! (For down here) Violently agree. Apologies to the rest of the board but that freezing rain and sleet zone was much too close for comfort for us previously. Going without power when temps drop below zero again next weekend will be ugly for whoever gets the ice. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Possible good news- that HP is already anomalously strong at 1046 and unlikely to be stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 39 minutes ago, 96blizz said: Waiting on 6z Euro and EPS. First chance to see if we’ve got a trend on our hands or a blip. Euro is south but farther north than gfs. Maybe gfs overcorrected south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 minute ago, SnowLover22 said: Euro is south but farther north than gfs. Maybe gfs overcorrected south. I saw that but haven't been able to hunt down the EPS - which goes out longer than 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 44 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Matt throws a tantrum and Tim throws out the GFS, says it’s “wonky”. All is right with the universe. it’s a single run on the GFS and Canook. I’m gonna split them and panick later Tantrum? Hardly. Frustrated by this never-ending theme of winters here lately? Yes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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