TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Whew. Sniffing the taint to get those higher amounts: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 That looks close to cuse to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Yup. It makes it up. OF COURSE. Just enough to be a PITA and then halts. This city has been cursed. I stay just north of the taint line the entire event though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Everybody would cash in 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Is it really realistic for Sooooooo much warm air mixed in there for all that mix and ice? My gosh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Just now, sferic said: Everybody would cash in Look beautiful, but not sure if that takes into account the mixture? Unless somehow heavy snow is being depicted as sleet? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 3 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Whew. Sniffing the taint to get those higher amounts: Doesn’t GEM = GDPS? Why is there such a difference between the output on Tropical Tidbits and Pivotal? TT is much further south with the taint line than Pivotal and puts Onondaga County in a good spot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 minute ago, CNY_WX said: Doesn’t GEM = GDPS? Why is there such a difference between the output on Tropical Tidbits and Pivotal? TT is much further south with the taint line than Pivotal and puts Onondaga County in a good spot Yeah, they're the same model. It looks different on all 3 different site maps that have been posted. Like I said above, perhaps, Pivotal is showing "heavy snow" as sleet? Because the amount of snow pivotal shows us getting is nearly 20 inches 10:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leelee Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 It's hard for me to lock in with those 2'+ totals over N Indiana and Ohio. This would be the biggest daily snow in Fort Wayne by nearly double. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Matching each other: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 This could be one time where the line of demarcation is Onondaga County and I’m glad I’m about as far north as you can get in Onondaga. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 31, 2022 Author Share Posted January 31, 2022 GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 31, 2022 Author Share Posted January 31, 2022 6 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: Doesn’t GEM = GDPS? Why is there such a difference between the output on Tropical Tidbits and Pivotal? TT is much further south with the taint line than Pivotal and puts Onondaga County in a good spot Its the sleet/snow algorithm on pivotal vs tidbits. Pivotal has higher detail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Ukie looks beautiful for almost all of NY. Sorry, MJO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: Its the sleet/snow algorithm on pivotal vs tidbits. Pivotal has higher detail. Snow amounts come out the same though on both...which isn't always the case with the snow output on the sites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 31, 2022 Author Share Posted January 31, 2022 Ice storm down in Ohio on that run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 4 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Ukie looks beautiful for almost all of NY. Sorry, MJO. Ukie is the lost brother of the Euro who can't find his way home. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 3 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Ukie looks beautiful for almost all of NY. Sorry, MJO. Uncle will correct at the last moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 If the NWS had to put out a warning tonight based on the 0Z runs I think they would be calling for 8-12 inches for northern Onondaga County with the chance of some sleet mixing in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 31, 2022 Author Share Posted January 31, 2022 Whatever happens, we're getting a QPF Bomb 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Now as I head back to Cicero midweek the lack of sleep continues. Sick that parts of Eastern LI are almost neck to neck with SYR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 7 minutes ago, sferic said: Now as I head back to Cicero midweek the lack of sleep continues. Sick that parts of Eastern LI are almost neck to neck with SYR Hopefully Syracuse will open up a bit of a lead by the end of the week. Temperatures in the 40s and rain is going to create a mess in southern New England and Long Island. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 31, 2022 Author Share Posted January 31, 2022 NE forum comparing to this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 00z Euro has initialized Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 00z Euro about the same as 12z 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Mixing does make it up to northern onondaga county on the euro but still looks like a big hit..(Some sleet could be included) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 minute ago, sferic said: 00z Euro about the same as 12z Might have edged north about 20 miles. Looks to be around a foot of snow/sleet in our area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 minute ago, CNY_WX said: Might have edged north about 20 miles. Looks to be around a foot of snow/sleet in our area. Oh the ups and downs to come just like with my stay on LI, but we live for this ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Blows my mind not one winter storm watch out yet anywhere in country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 23 minutes ago, tim123 said: Blows my mind not one winter storm watch out yet anywhere in country. It's Sunday night / Monday morning, mixed precip event is over 3 days away... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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