HVSnowLover Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Euro is similar to CMC. Non event south of I84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Euro seems similar to 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 zzz 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nightknights Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Haha who would figure within a week we'd miss south and east. Next storm up miss north. Only need missing west to complete trifecta 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Just now, nightknights said: Haha who would figure within a week we'd miss south and east. Next storm up miss north. Only need missing west to complete trifecta I wouldn't really consider the last storm a miss but I guess its all perspective. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Also the places that really got shafted by the last storm have the best chance of getting frozen precip this time around although I realize no one really wants ice or sleet. The Ukie/GFS would be really nice for the I84 crew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 33 minutes ago, forkyfork said: zzz Ice or are you snoozzzzzing ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 3.5” of sleet? no thanks!Snow or sleet or rain; no ice, please.We usually don’t get a ton of ice around these parts, but never say never.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DenvilleCyclone Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 8 minutes ago, North and West said: Snow or sleet or rain; no ice, please. We usually don’t get a ton of ice around these parts, but never say never. Agreed, I'm just west of you. Any ice we get at times usually causes power outages in this area. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 I prefer snow, but I like a good sleetstorm. It's like really low ratio snow...which will do. The 2017 half foot sleetstorm in NYC was epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 29 minutes ago, forkyfork said: Nice Towely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 31, 2022 Author Share Posted January 31, 2022 This is a storm where you would expect the NAM to do really well. It usually is better than the globals at picking up on CAD. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 8 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: This is a storm where you would expect the NAM to do really well. It usually is better than the globals at picking up on CAD. Agree, will see what the future runs show. Hopefully by 12z Wednesday we will see a general consensus. The way this season is going, we won’t know till it’s over. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 2 hours ago, EastonSN+ said: Poor Boston The GFS is, for now, an outlier. A moderate to heavy snowfall will probably occur across Upstate NY and northern New England. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Nam is alot further south than 12z so far 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 7 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Nam is alot further south than 12z so far 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Not until the NAM shows 24+ inches for the entire subforum while the GFS brings the snow to upper Maine. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Will be interesting to see the ultimate strength and orientation of the HP. I remember a late season storm around 10 years ago that was supposed to crush the area that ended up so far south that DC saw all the snow and we got no precip at all. Can see this going either extreme at this point (HP comes in too late and west and we rain followed by dry cold or HP comes in stronger and in eastern Canada and we snow) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Gfs ticked South again with the 2nd low 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Gfs ticked South again with the 2nd low Couple ticks away from an all snow situation. Like the ukie showed yesterday lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 8 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Gfs ticked South again with the 2nd low It was warmer initially but then it got colder particularly 850s with the 2nd low so we get a few inches. The other models need to come south though otherwise the GFS is an outlier and lost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northof78 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 GFS increase amounts nicely from 1-3/2-4" to around 6" (still much ice/sleet, etc.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 31, 2022 Author Share Posted January 31, 2022 7 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said: Couple ticks away from an all snow situation. Like the ukie showed yesterday lol The soundings for the 18z GFS show a very prominent warm push between 700 and 900mb. I highly doubt most of what it shows falling as snow would be snow in actuality. More likely to be sleet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 31, 2022 Author Share Posted January 31, 2022 18z GFS freezing rain. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 31, 2022 Author Share Posted January 31, 2022 4 minutes ago, Northof78 said: GFS increase amounts nicely from 1-3/2-4" to around 6" (still much ice/sleet, etc.) Never use the Kuchera in a setup like this. Ratios will be god awful unless you're well upstate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 31, 2022 Author Share Posted January 31, 2022 I updated the thread title. If some areas do see snow it will likely be at the very end and not amount to much unless things shift dramatically. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Nasty setup regardless. I want no part of an ice storm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 10 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: 18z GFS freezing rain. Oh god please NO!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 yikes the gfs printing a major ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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