White Gorilla Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 3 hours ago, HVSnowLover said: This one is not as likely to be as wild as the last one, first of all we already have snowcover so there is less desperation and also the upside potential is not nearly as high. Still hungry where I live for a big snow. Every event where I am has been 3 inches or less so far. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 1 hour ago, winterwx21 said: 12z Euro just came in warmer with a rain event, but obviously a long way to go. Works for me. I didn't get a lot of snow so I don't really care if it gets washed away. Plus I don't want ice. I think there's better potential after this though. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 I think ice is pretty inevitable with this at least for the interior (unless it really supresses) very strong high to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 6 hours ago, Northof78 said: That isn’t snow…that’s a 10:1 ratio “snowmap” counting sleet as snow. It’s grossly overdone and very inaccurate…like not even close and the Ukie is a God awful, horrible model. It busted so bad on this last storm it wasn’t even funny…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Just now, snowman19 said: That isn’t snow…that’s a 10:1 ratio “snowmap” counting sleet as snow. It’s grossly overdone and very inaccurate…like not even close and the Ukie is a God awful, horrible model. It busted so bad on this last storm it wasn’t even funny…. I mean I get you are right about this setup but I've never seen you predict a storm to go well and NYC somehow has 20 inches of snow this winter. 6 3 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 5 hours ago, HVSnowLover said: Euro bumped north. The op bumped well north because the last solution was completely asinine. The Euro is nothing even close to what it used to be, it’s just another run of the mill at best model anymore…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 1 minute ago, snowman19 said: Ummm, this last storm I kept saying it was a eastern LI and eastern New England event and I turned out to be right. I don’t want credit and I’m not rooting my own horn. Others kept non stop hyping it into the Blizzard of 96 for NYC on west Most of NYC got around a foot. Thats a good storm. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 2 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Never said it wasn’t a decent storm but an 8-12 inch snowstorm for our area in late January is meh and should be expected. The real big deal, the big event weenie snowstorm/blizzard 2ft+ happened in eastern LI and in eastern NE despite all the hype It’s only “meh” in the 2000s and 2010s 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 7 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Never said it wasn’t a decent storm but an 8-12 inch snowstorm for our area in late January is meh and should be expected. The real big deal, the big event weenie snowstorm/blizzard 2ft+ happened in eastern LI and in eastern NE despite all the hype NYC averages 26 inches a winter so I disagree that almost half of that total in one storm is meh. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 27 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said: Most of NYC got around a foot. Thats a good storm. I wish I had gotten a foot instead of 5 inches that said it was a very good storm for NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 3 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: I wish I had gotten a foot instead of 5 inches that said it was a very good storm for NYC Your 5 inches is my foot. I only got 2. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 4 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: Your 5 inches is my foot. I only got 2. Hopefully this one tracks far enough south to give you snow instead of ice but not far enough south to surpress. I really don't see a plain rain event north of I84 in this setup. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 The bickering is ridiculous, like hurts my eyeballs to look at ridiculous. 5 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 It may be overdone for 0Z GFS is a pretty brutal icestorm for almost the whole subforum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 4 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said: It may be overdone for 0Z GFS is a pretty brutal icestorm for almost the whole subforum. If that comes to fruition, I pray it is more PL than ZR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Just now, HVSnowLover said: It may be overdone for 0Z GFS is a pretty brutal icestorm for almost the whole subforum. Reminds me of ice setups the southern plains get with the Arctic high supplying cold air that rapidly turns a cold rain into ice. Hopefully it's wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 CMC warmer than GFS, brutal icing interior, rain for the coast. Possibly more realistic but will depend on storm track rather than cold air bleeds south before the storm ends or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 That icing could be serious up here along 84 and north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Hopefully this can trend south. Nice strong high to the north. 1044. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Morning GFS is a big ole mess. If you like ice congrats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northof78 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 GFS is a combo of ice, sleet, and 2-4” snow....pretty nice move south from yesterday of about 75/100 miles... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 18 minutes ago, Northof78 said: GFS is a combo of ice, sleet, and 2-4” snow....pretty nice move south from yesterday of about 75/100 miles... We shall see if other models latch onto a south trend with the cold. This graphic gives I84 up here 8-10 inches of snow and sleet. Long way to go with modeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Gfs with a big shift south Euro is also trending south 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dseagull Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 9 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Gfs with a big shift south Euro is also trending south You have the GFS qpf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 45 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Gfs with a big shift south Euro is also trending south Worth watching given strong Arctic high to the north. Cold air always wins in those scenarios. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 42 minutes ago, dseagull said: You have the GFS qpf? No but I have the map 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 4 minutes ago, bluewave said: Ice may be the big story for interior areas when Arctic high pressure over 1040mb battles the SE Ridge. Application of typical paring down where necessary will still create a tremendous stretch of areas that are risking up to .5-.75 of ice accretions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: No but I have the map Even though sleet is obviously mixed in the pink, that would accumulate. Pretty much a weenie GFS run overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 06z GFS could be a fluke run. It's considerably more suppressed than 0z. We'll have to see if 12z confirms the trend. There's some dangerous amount of ice being shown just N/W of city with surface temps falling through 20s. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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