HeadInTheClouds Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 NWS Albany Ice and Snow forecasts. Most of frozen precip falls as sleet in MHV. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mweisenfeld Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 19 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: sure and in all my 40 plus years I have never ever lost power in ANY winter storm of any type and I've seen them all. It happens in hurricanes and thunderstorm events like you said. Happens here on a regular basis every few years. Guess PSE&G is just not as good as Con Ed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, mweisenfeld said: Happens here on a regular basis every few years. Guess PSE&G is just not as good as Con Ed. He should consider himself lucky. Lost power for multiple days during the October snowstorm from 2011 and of course during Irene, Floyd, Sandy and Isaias. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 18z GFS holding steady. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: He should consider himself lucky. Lost power for multiple days during the October snowstorm from 2011 and of course during Irene, Floyd, Sandy and Isaias. Sandy here and that tornado event we had last November were my two biggest ones....25 hours and 3 hours. There's been others like that here but nothing of note since they were all an hour or less. Only had 1.5" of snow in Octosnow so not really enough to do anything, plus I don't remember the winds being high in that event. Sometimes we lose power just from wind alone, but these are all minor power outages of less than an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 GFS takes a little longer to cool down vs 12z 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 i did look a little more closely at this setup and one thing we have in favor of avoiding an ice storm is the trajectory of the high. it builds in from the nw and not due north which could delay the low level cold over the appalachians 9 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 13 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: GFS takes a little longer to cool down vs 12z Would not be surprised if we see the NAM/GFS switch places the next 24-30 hours...this is not a CAD event but still a low level CAA setup that the NAM would handle better inside 24 hours so don't be shocked assuming the RGEM/Euro camp wins this one that the GFS/NAM flop places on timing 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Winter storm watch for .25-.5” of ice. Excellent….not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, forkyfork said: i did look a little more closely at this setup and one thing we have in favor of avoiding an ice storm is the trajectory of the high. it builds in from the nw and not due north which could delay the low level cold over the appalachians i remember this happening with the storm that crushed texas last winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 I'm curious is there going be a strong south wind before the front crosses enabling temps to rise to levels some models are portraying? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Pretty potent cold portrayed 43 at that front, and 24 just behind it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
romba Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 38 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Sandy here and that tornado event we had last November were my two biggest ones....25 hours and 3 hours. There's been others like that here but nothing of note since they were all an hour or less. Only had 1.5" of snow in Octosnow so not really enough to do anything, plus I don't remember the winds being high in that event. Sometimes we lose power just from wind alone, but these are all minor power outages of less than an hour. Not windy during Octosnow but heavy wet stuff on trees with leaves led to many broken limbs and branches. I drove home Saturday night from Hackensack and it was an obstacle course on the side streets with downed trees and wires. Once you hit the city- nada 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 I get the weenies for literally saying the same thing as Forky said. Yes high pressure trajectory isn't favorable for ice in the metro like it is for TX. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoobydoo1 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 52 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Sandy here and that tornado event we had last November were my two biggest ones....25 hours and 3 hours. There's been others like that here but nothing of note since they were all an hour or less. Only had 1.5" of snow in Octosnow so not really enough to do anything, plus I don't remember the winds being high in that event. Sometimes we lose power just from wind alone, but these are all minor power outages of less than an hour. I made it past sandy neighboring boroughs lost power for up to 3 weeks......I live 2 miles from the sub station...... 3 day later...some drunk asshole took out a telephone pole 100 yards from the substation..... Was powerless for a week and a half due to crews working on existing issues. Was a kick in the nutz 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shades Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 16 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said: These gradients are impressive and note trajectory of 10m winds in the HV. This air will spill south like a river. Should it catch precip in time for significant icing south of I84 is the unknown, and for a greater population, a very disturbing outcome for impacts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, Shades said: These gradients are impressive and note trajectory of 10m winds in the HV. This air will spill south like a river. Should it catch precip in time for significant icing south of I84 is the unknown, and for a greater population, a very disturbing outcome for impacts. Yeah, looks to come in like a lion that cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, scoobydoo1 said: I made it past sandy neighboring boroughs lost power for up to 3 weeks......I live 2 miles from the sub station...... 3 day later...some drunk asshole took out a telephone pole 100 yards from the substation..... Was powerless for a week and a half due to crews working on existing issues. Was a kick in the nutz That was horrendous, and oh, the lines at the pump! Worst I have ever seen. We had another massive power outage in August 2003 I think it was, but that was rodent related, not weather related. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Lol this guy looks like he's drawing in the sky with that flight pattern jeez Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 25 minutes ago, romba said: Not windy during Octosnow but heavy wet stuff on trees with leaves led to many broken limbs and branches. I drove home Saturday night from Hackensack and it was an obstacle course on the side streets with downed trees and wires. Once you hit the city- nada The city and east of the city didn't get much but I remember November 2012 was sort of like that with 8 inches of heavy wet snow a week after Sandy. We didnt lose power but driving in it was scary with large limbs and branches down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 That plane left Alaska, this plane left Hawaii Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 11 minutes ago, scoobydoo1 said: I made it past sandy neighboring boroughs lost power for up to 3 weeks......I live 2 miles from the sub station...... 3 day later...some drunk asshole took out a telephone pole 100 yards from the substation..... Was powerless for a week and a half due to crews working on existing issues. Was a kick in the nutz Power out for irene for a few days. But Nothing beats getting power back after about a week from sandy for 2 hours, then lose it again for another week. All because the underground cable on your street failed lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LAVistaNY Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Days without power here - Irene 4, Snowtober 6, Sandy 9 and none of if fun!! Around me so many have gotten whole house generators that now the propane companies can't keep up and I know people who have been sitting with their generators not working! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 18” from the Halloween snowstorm left me without power for 3 days. Irene was the big one up here with 7 days without power. Sandy wasn’t even 24 hrs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Lost power for a few days in Irene and about 11 days in Sandy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 2 hours ago, mweisenfeld said: Happens here on a regular basis every few years. Guess PSE&G is just not as good as Con Ed. Idk how NJ loses power so frequently, I haven’t lost power back home on long island since Sandy. It’s not like theres no trees in my neighborhood either 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 3, 2022 Author Share Posted February 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, Intensewind002 said: Idk how NJ loses power so frequently, I haven’t lost power back home on long island since Sandy. It’s not like theres no trees in my neighborhood either Very old infrastructure. Also LI has LIPA and PSE&G LI. NJ has O&R, PSE&G and JCP&L. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoobydoo1 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 1 hour ago, LibertyBell said: That was horrendous, and oh, the lines at the pump! Worst I have ever seen. We had another massive power outage in August 2003 I think it was, but that was rodent related, not weather related. There was a hole in the wall gas station by 31 Flemington circle... No lines... Got lucky.. Wawa was like a parade 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Hrrr seems to of drastically changed at 00z. Not surprising Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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