HVSnowLover Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 A good week for NYC at this point would be more than 2 inches and stay mostly frozen Friday and then Sundays storm comes west and is a hit. A bad week would be complete miss on snow for both storms. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 50 down to 36 so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 11 hours ago, psv88 said: 52 today out in suffolk. These temperature swings are killing the roads I have hated the winters since 2012-13 since then it’s been a mass negative EPO driving winter after winter and I’m sick of it. I will always love 2002-2003 to 2010-11 far more. We’ve just had brutal and ruinous springs since the big climate change the massive EPO is now what determines winter.. and it’s sad bc it doesn’t measure up to the massive negative Ao/NAO era 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfer07840 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 7 hours ago, the_other_guy said: I should be like you guys talking about a never coming snowstorm when it’s 60 out? No thanks. This will be one of the nicest days of the year…trust me Wednesday is supposed to be even better! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 12 hours ago, LibertyBell said: Maybe more info on that possible snow event coming for early next week in future updates, Don? It depends on how things look. Overnight, the individual ensemble members have backed off quite a bit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Morning thoughts… Today will be cloudy, rainy and mild. High temperatures will likely reach the upper 50s and lower 60s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 58° Newark: 59° Philadelphia: 64° Tomorrow will be very warm before colder air returns. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 43.6°; 15-Year: 43.8° Newark: 30-Year: 44.6°; 15-Year: 44.8° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 45.9°; 15-Year: 45.8° 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 32F. Fog on the ridge lines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 The last 7 days of February are averaging 36degs.(28/43) or -1. Month to date is 37.1[+1.9]. February should end at 36.8[+0.9]. Reached 50 here yesterday. Today: 51-54, cloudy, wind e. to s. to w. and breezy bet.: 3pm-3am + rain, 53 tomorrow AM. Snow{front loaded only}on Friday: T to 4". Snow to sleet to rain, ends as a mix or a mess. 44*(88%RH) here at 6am{was 43* at 2am} 50* at 10am. 53* at 2pm. 49* at 4pm. 58* at 11pm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 It looks like the SE Ridge will continue to be a player heading into March. The EPS has a colder start to March around the 1st. Then the SE Ridge flexes again and we warm up. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 8 minutes ago, bluewave said: It looks like the SE Ridge will continue to be a player heading into March. The EPS has a colder start to March around the 1st. Then the SE Ridge flexes again and we warm up. Back and forth Cold air should dominate March if the epo forecasts are right. Could be a wintry month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 AO blocking showing on the ensembles for second week of March 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 10 minutes ago, Allsnow said: AO blocking showing on the ensembles for second week of March Just in time for a crappy spring 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 2 hours ago, MJO812 said: Back and forth Cold air should dominate March if the epo forecasts are right. Could be a wintry month. With the March wavelengths, the -EPO-PNA +AO is warm for us. So we would need some help from a -AO or more +PNA for a cold month. Still to early to tell what the month will look like before we see how the models look next week. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Don't know if I have ever seen this before. Perhaps it's due to a model spread. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Temps same timeframe. One good thing about this look is although it's definitely a "cutter" look similar to the storm coming this Friday, in the look below there would be a deeper cold layer in advance of the storm. Most likely a few 1 to 3 2 to 4 then mix rain scenarios. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Still on track for phase 7 on or about the 15th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 The real important question is, is march looking moist? Either from rain or snow, at this point? Curious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 14 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Don't know if I have ever seen this before. Perhaps it's due to a model spread. Looking at this again interesting to se an RNA AND the PV NE of us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 21 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Looking at this again interesting to se an RNA AND the PV NE of us. Hopefully we can trend that blocking in the Ao region stronger 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Blooms at the Botanical Garden 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 1 hour ago, bluewave said: With the March wavelengths, the -EPO-PNA +AO is warm for us. So we would need some help from a -AO or more +PNA for a cold month. Still to early to tell what the month will look like before we see how the models look next week. Yea, not sure why some think that pattern looks so great…..yea, there’s the -EPO but you also have ++NAO, ++AO and -PNA. The SPV is still projected to be raging strong as well, so those teleconnection forecasts showing an AO drop around mid-March are very suspect. And, it’s going to be into mid-March at that point. Yawn….. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 15 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Yea, not sure why some think that pattern looks so great…..yea, there’s the -EPO but you also have ++NAO, ++AO and -PNA. The SPV is still projected to be raging strong as well, so those teleconnection forecasts showing an AO drop around mid-March are very suspect. And, it’s going to be into mid-March at that point. Yawn….. The EPS has a colder start to March on the 1st . But warms up a few days later as the -EPO-PNA +AO pumps the SE Ridge. We’ll see if the ridge can build over the pole and drop the -AO during the 2nd week of March. It will have to be strong enough to push back against the SE Ridge. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Looks pretty dry on the models for the next two weeks but I know that can change. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Big change is the eps today as it goes crazy with ao blocking with some higher hgts in Greenland by the 1st 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 4 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Big change is the eps today as it goes crazy with ao blocking with some higher hgts in Greenland by the 1st With that comes a storm threat. The op crushed Boston 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 5 minutes ago, Allsnow said: With that comes a storm threat. The op crushed Boston Don't give up for Monday yet 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Currently 49 here with a light drizzle falling, overnite low was 31. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 6 hours ago, bluewave said: It looks like the SE Ridge will continue to be a player heading into March. The EPS has a colder start to March around the 1st. Then the SE Ridge flexes again and we warm up. why cant the SE Ridge flex and bring us that snowstorm Sunday into Monday? Thats like a bully, it disappears when a storm is about to come and comes back when the storm goes away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 32 minutes ago, Allsnow said: With that comes a storm threat. The op crushed Boston March is bowling ball season. Would not take much to paste us as well (a bit south and deepen quicker). 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now