BxSnowWx37 Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 This coastal front has 2 waves now. The one off sc/nc and one just off the the delmarva. Might be interesting to see if the precip starts to move nw. Most of l.i would be rain by that point.northern Manhattan and the bx stay frozen for a bit longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Coating of snow this morning. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 2 hours ago, snowman19 said: If something happens next week, that’s probably all she wrote for winter. The pattern turns into this right after and into March: You don't stop It's certainly possible if the MJO goes into 4 but that's still up in the air. Do you make money in warm weather ? 5 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxSnowWx37 Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Light snow now falling here in the bx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: You don't stop I love the snowman posts. Its like a movie where he's the villain and your the snow hero. 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Very light snow falling out here. 25* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 2 hours ago, snowman19 said: If something happens next week, that’s probably all she wrote for winter. The pattern turns into this right after and into March: Awesome, sign me up for severe weather 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 3 hours ago, LibertyBell said: good this is awesome and enhances our chances for mid February snow The time to watch for snow potential here will be next week following the record 582 DM West Coast heat dome in California. Then we get another big amplification and the trough begins to pull back to the Plains. But as usual, the storm details will come down to the short term forecasts. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 It feels like a month that we have been watching/discussing for the return of the RNA. Watch it end up being a short 2 week ridge. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Just now, bluewave said: The time to watch for snow potential here will be next week following the record 582 DM West Coast heat dome in California. Then we get another big amplification and the trough begins to pull back to the Plains. But as usual, the storm details will come down to the short term forecasts. Pretty big difference between the EPS and GEFS overnight in the 15 day period. Both advertise a different pattern than we currently have BUT GEFS has the boundary south of us (muted SE ridge) while EPS is Feb 2018. Wonder which suite has been more accurate this winter to date. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Moderate snow that started with big flakes and it's accumulating nicely. The flake size got a little smaller fairly quickly and it's falling steadily now. 27/27/N to ENE light and variable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 5 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Pretty big difference between the EPS and GEFS overnight in the 15 day period. Both advertise a different pattern than we currently have BUT GEFS has the boundary south of us (muted SE ridge) while EPS is Feb 2018. Wonder which suite has been more accurate this winter to date. Euro mjo rushes into 4 while the gefs doesn't. That's the big difference. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 WRT the GEFS, when looping the 850 temp anomaly you can see the next Arctic shot coming SE at day 15. If anything seems more volatile than a static pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 On and off very light snow here with a dusting on all surfaces. Temp 32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Flakes much larger in size now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 17 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Pretty big difference between the EPS and GEFS overnight in the 15 day period. Both advertise a different pattern than we currently have BUT GEFS has the boundary south of us (muted SE ridge) while EPS is Feb 2018. Wonder which suite has been more accurate this winter to date. The EPS is identical to the GEPS at day 15. The GEFS is on its own. The main difference between the GEPS and GEFS is the tropical convection. The GEFS is slower moving the forcing east from the IO than the GEPS. So the GEPS and EPS have more of a -PNA in late February with the convection closer to the Maritime Continent. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 4 minutes ago, bluewave said: The EPS is identical to the GEPS at day 15. The GEFS is on its own. The main difference between the GEPS and GEFS is the tropical convection. The GEFS is slower moving the forcing east from the IO than the GEPS. So the GEPS and EPS have more of a -PNA in late February with the convection closer to the Maritime Continent. I have noticed the eps following the gefs this whole winter with the MJO. I wonder if this is the case here again or a legit warmup will be on the way. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 6 minutes ago, bluewave said: The EPS is identical to the GEPS at day 15. The GEFS is on its own. The main difference between the GEPS and GEFS is the tropical convection. The GEFS is slower moving the forcing east from the IO than the GEPS. So the GEPS and EPS have more of a -PNA in late February with the convection closer to the Maritime Continent. Thanks. If the EPS is correct, I wonder if it's a short 2 week RNA or something more static. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 For sure I’d rather this happen in March. Hurts to lose the last ten days of Feb entirely. I’ll go back to fantasizing about winters during the LIA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Snowing with a little sleet mixing and nice coating on the ground so far in Mt Vernon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Sleet fest on the UWS ground whitening. Even mangled flakes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxSnowWx37 Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Snow coming down at a better clip now..also my temp has dropped a degree..it's 31f with light snow,its still 28 to 32 degrees here in the bronx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Flipped from freezing mist to light snow now. This makes up for Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxSnowWx37 Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 6 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Sleet fest on the UWS ground whitening. Even mangled flakes It's crazy how a northerly wind can keep it all snow just north of you. In Riverdale the bx it's 29f with snow. Cold air still coming down the Hudson Valley..my temp has dropped a degree too with a nne wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Mix of wintry precipitation here. Glad the nws issues the WWA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Light snow has dusted the ground in Larchmont and Mamaroneck. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 30/30/ENE2/SN- Flake size is much smaller and it's falling very lightly now, temp is up 2* and there's a nice new .5" on the ground that did a good job of refreshing the dirty ice piles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Eps is still getting a little crazy with forcing near Indonesia late in the runs. Gefs isn't really doing that. Not nearly as dramatic at least. Holds on to the split forcing look longer. Lots of spread amongst the eps members with this. With some really going overboard still in that area. But also some others more gefs like. It'll be interesting to see what happens there. I'm pretty confident the weeklies will be a torch today. Being based on the 00z eps. Still low confidence for end of the month for me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Radar is lighting up with snow across much of SE PA and western and NW NJ right now. Light snow here currently. Looks like a burst of snow here for a time this morning before we transition to a wintry mix/rain. Just a light coating so far. 29* 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 It has been light rain in Linden NJ since 7:30 AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now