Volcanic Winter Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 On 2/9/2022 at 3:48 PM, MJO812 said: Rgem might be more amped than the gfs Expand RGEM so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Rgem was setting up for a monster with that piece diving in the west side of trough 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Ukie looks really far offshore unless I'm dumb at reading maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Gfs looks great 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 last 5 runs 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Things look good for another snow event before things warm. Probably another high ratio 4-8" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 On 2/9/2022 at 4:06 PM, MJO812 said: Ukie looks really far offshore unless I'm dumb at reading maps Expand That's a good sign. Ukie has been God awful all season 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 I just watched the color loop, and the GGEM is actually is showing rain for NYC sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 On 2/9/2022 at 4:17 PM, winterwx21 said: I just watched the color loop, and the GGEM is actually is showing rain for NYC sunday. Expand Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 The GFS surface low track given what it has going on is way too far east, that said the CMC is probably not realistic either but something notably further west than the GFS is likely in such a setup 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
larrye Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 On 2/9/2022 at 4:07 PM, Franklin0529 said: Gfs looks great Expand Huh? The surface is OTS with a possible brush of LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Meet in the middle an we get a good storm? Sign me up. Snow falling on super bowl Sunday... yes please 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 On 2/9/2022 at 4:21 PM, larrye said: Huh? The surface is OTS with a possible brush of LI. Expand It's way to far east with the surface an still drops 4" in NYC an more down the beaches. H5 was much better 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matt8204 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Shades of Super Bowl 2014? It was 50 degrees the day of the game, followed by a snowstorm twelve hours later. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 On 2/9/2022 at 4:21 PM, larrye said: Huh? The surface is OTS with a possible brush of LI. Expand Look at h5 not just the surface. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Ukie 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
larrye Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 On 2/9/2022 at 4:33 PM, Monmouth_County_Jacpot said: Look at h5 not just the surface. Expand Here we go again with H5 with no surface support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Lot of variability here. The CMC tends to overamp around this range. The Euro also tends to overamp around this range so would like to see it come on board to feel higher confidence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 On 2/9/2022 at 4:49 PM, larrye said: Here we go again with H5 with no surface support. Expand If you are referring to the last big storm I would say the end results are the surface for just fine for most of the subforum. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 On 2/9/2022 at 4:46 PM, MJO812 said: Ukie Expand Most SE so far of the major guidance at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 UKIE is erratic and probably developing this storm too far north and east, actually the same wrong solution it kept coming up with last time. We'll see if it doesn't change back closer to what it looked like last night in a day or two. WX/PT 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
larrye Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 On 2/9/2022 at 4:22 PM, Franklin0529 said: It's way to far east with the surface an still drops 4" in NYC an more down the beaches. H5 was much better Expand You're dreaming. I see 1"-2" in NYC and you're forgetting about the frontal passage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 On 2/9/2022 at 4:49 PM, larrye said: Here we go again with H5 with no surface support. Expand Yep It happens alot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 On 2/9/2022 at 4:54 PM, larrye said: You're dreaming. I see 1"-2" in NYC and you're forgetting about the frontal passage. Expand It's high ratio snow so it's 4.5 inches verbatim kuchera maps right now (not that verbatim matters this far out). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 On 2/9/2022 at 4:53 PM, larrye said: And there's more to weather than just following the H5s also! Expand H5 is more important than the surface 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 WHEN EVERYTHING JIBES WE GET THIS: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Time to tone down the argumentative bs. Thanks. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted February 9, 2022 Author Share Posted February 9, 2022 I like where we are...cautiously optimistic...Dr. NO is coming up next... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 On 2/9/2022 at 4:54 PM, larrye said: You're dreaming. I see 1"-2" in NYC and you're forgetting about the frontal passage. Expand Obviously the current modeling is not exact metaphysical certitude at this point. It will continue to vary with each run this far out. The point is that there’s a nice signal on a few models with some of them shifting closer to something fun here. Let’s have some fun with this while we can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 GEFS anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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