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OBS/DISCO - The Historic James Blizzard of 2022


TalcottWx
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Snow totals will decrease westward across CT (especially CT River
Valley westward) and west of the Worcester Hills in MA. Our snow
totals in northwest MA may have to be adjusted downward, as some
concern very cold/dry air advecting into that region (KAQW dew pt
currently 2F) may overwhelm the boundary layer, resulting in less
snowfall. Something we will be monitoring.

 

Sounds about right for my area.  Was hoping to hit 6” with this storm but I have adjusted my expectations. 
 

At least snow growth has improved a little bit here.   -SN   13/7
 

 

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2 minutes ago, Organizing Low said:

Nice and congrats  !  
 

Cape ann is where I had mentally targeted to take a trip down ….but ended up not getting out of he house due to the windchill up here mehhhh …lol 

you didn't leave the house because you were afraid of freezing to death to walk over to your car?

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The fact that I haven't found a way to really be in any great subsidence for any period of time is actually a type of cognitive dissonance for me. 

This is a great storm, its too bad it wasn't more of a regionwide storm.

Ive been out a couple times and reconsidered. Definitely not verifying a blizzard but it's only pleasant to face in one direction.

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I wonder if this is maxing now...   Oh, it'll be a fun exit and take hours to do so - no worries.  But rad and sat depictions on whole are not improving nor decaying, sort of static ... it may have reached it's potency.   

Stars 2 am?     ... there's going to be some brutal wind chills outside tonight.  Like -15-like C with winds gusting still maxing 25mph

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What a winter here along the coast in CT. Getting absolutely destroyed right now here with this band. 

Impressive winter storm continues through this afternoon.
Surface analysis depicts a 979 mb low, possibly lower, south of
BUOY 44008 (South of Nantucket). The low will continue to
deepen through this afternoon as it occludes, sending snow bands
over the region. Intense dynamics under a dual jet structure are
helping provide large scale lift over the area. The large scale
lift is helping snow extend well NW of the actual low center.
The middle level low centers per SPC mesoanalysis are SE of MTP,
with strong mid level FGEN occurring along the colder side of
the mid level low.

Multiple heavy snow bands are currently over Long Island and
southern Connecticut. A moderate to heavy snow band has also
made it towards the eastern portion of NYC metro. Snowfall rates
of around 1-2"/hr are likely across Long Island and southeast CT
in these bands, with 3"/hr possible within the heaviest band
across the Forks and New London CT. The Islip Airport Observer
recently reported a 2"/hr snowfall rate between 8 and 9am. This
band will likely stay in place the next several hours as the low
passes to the southeast. Have also noticed some enhanced
reflectivities west of the large band, which may some
enhancement off the Long Island Sound in the strong N flow
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Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

@JC-CT Obviously PAC drives the bus, but NAO blocking is a nice complementary piece.

I just don't think you can say "with blocking it should go west or should go east" because it all depends on location of the block and how it interplays with the pacific ridge/eastern trough. Really, the best you can say about a strong NAO block is that it's probably not cutting over buffalo.

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