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OBS/DISCO - The Historic James Blizzard of 2022


TalcottWx
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1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

:lol:

I'm not sure what to hope for it this point....I lose to se MA two years in a row in la nina....and NNE for two el ninos

Maybe divine intervention, IDK....I'm at a loss-

finally nice to know what a death band is,  Can't say I've been under one like this ever before with temps in the teens out.  Usually it's around 30F when we get these storms.

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Was out for about 45 minutes shoveling out a spot for the dog.  Lots of drifts, gonna conservatively say 8-10" out there now.  Had drifts over 2 feet in some spots, always tough to measure my yard I'm very exposed to the wind in 3 directions.  8-10 (maybe 12) seems to be in line with peeps to my east and west in the 14-16 range... very good rates out there now, though not white out.  Damn cold too!

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1 minute ago, mattm4242 said:

I’d have to think the 24+ is definitely on the table for the cape Ann group on here. Have been on the north edge of pretty much every heavy band. @NorEastermass128 @MuddyWx

Yea, I'm on the very edge of it in E beverly, similar to BOS. Hoping the band nudges west a pixel or two :lol: but we should see some good totals

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38 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
1029 AM EST Sat Jan 29 2022

CTZ006-007-010-011-291645-
Southern Middlesex CT-Northern New Haven CT-Northern Middlesex CT-
Southern New Haven CT-
1029 AM EST Sat Jan 29 2022

...BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT
MIDDLESEX AND PARTS OF NEW HAVEN COUNTIES...

HAZARDS...Heavy snow and near blizzard conditions. Bands of heavy
snow at the rate of 2 to 3 inches per hour, accompanied by winds of
up to 40 mph will reduce visibility to less than a quarter of a
mile, and cause considerable blowing and drifting of snow.

LOCATION AND MOVEMENT...At 1027 AM EST, radar indicated two bands of
heavy snow, one extending from near Milford northward to Cheshire,
and another from Madison and Westbrook northward to Middletown and
Easter Hampton. These heavy snow bands were nearly stationary.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
New Haven, Meriden, Milford, Middletown, Guilford, Clinton, East
Hampton, Old Saybrook and Durham.

SAFETY INFO...Travel is strongly discouraged! If you must travel,
slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination, and bring
a winter survival kit. If you become stranded, stay with your
vehicle.

All in on the band pushing west another 30 miles

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All in on the band pushing west another 30 miles


I sure hope so but I’m getting screwed by subsidence at the moment. And I feel like the bands to both the east and west of here are showing signs of slowly weakening. Winds have picked up quite a bit the past hour or so though. Starting to doubt we’ll make it to 12” here. Sitting at about 8”.
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00z models have trended slightly farther west with qpf and slightly
heavier as well. Given storm intensity and rapid amplification along
with mid level low track over or just east of the eastern MA coast,
this trend seems reasonable. Very strong jet dynamics which includes
a dual upper level jet streak, combined with a moist/cold NE
conveyor belt up to 80 kt off the Atlantic into SNE, will provide a
firehose of abundant moisture, supporting a period of very heavy
snowfall from approximately 9 am to 4 pm. In addition, as dry slot
approaches eastern MA and RI this afternoon, model soundings
indicate a potential moist absolute unstable layer (MAUL) in this
area. This seems reasonable as approaching dry slot will help
steepen mid level lapse rates. All of the attributes listed above
support intense snowfall rates of 2-4" per hour at times, along with
thundersnow. Also, model/BUFKIT time sections indicate the bulk of
the lift is occurring in the snow growth region later this morning
and afternoon. This will yield SLR of 15-20 to 1. Therefore, an
upward trend in qpf, a shift slightly farther west and heavy snow
bands with high SLR, have resulted in slightly higher snow totals
from previous forecast, and slightly shifted west. Heaviest snow
(near record snow possible) will occur across RI into the Worcester
Hills, with 18-24" likely. In eastern MA, 24-30" is likely. These
higher totals in RI and the Worcester Hills will hinge on mesoscale
banding pivoting westward from eastern MA into RI & the Worcester
Hills.

These snow totals will be record or near record in many locations.
In addition, strong NE winds will result in snow drifts up to 4 ft
and possibly higher. Considerable blow and drifting along with near
zero vsby at times, will result in very dangerous to impossible
travel conditions late this morning and afternoon. In addition, with
temps falling through the teens and WCI at or below zero, this will
be a very dangerous situation for anyone becoming stranded on the
roads. Hence, don`t venture out if at all possible because it could
become a life-threatening situation.

Snow totals will decrease westward across CT (especially CT River
Valley westward) and west of the Worcester Hills in MA. Our snow
totals in northwest MA may have to be adjusted downward, as some
concern very cold/dry air advecting into that region (KAQW dew pt
currently 2F) may overwhelm the boundary layer, resulting in less
snowfall. Something we will be monitoring.
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10 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

NWS sees something we don't 

Yea, a big pivot in. Similar to what happened out here December 2018 is all I can think of. I'm on the edge of their 8-12" and 18-24" (no 12-18" zone?) and I'm looking at 4.5" currently. 

 

Edit: I cant read and suck with crayons, zone is there.

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