TalcottWx Posted January 29, 2022 Author Share Posted January 29, 2022 Just now, vtrap90 said: http://mema.mapsonline.net/public.html Cool site to see reported power outages. They currently report over 84,000 without power. That's what I'm using, that's a MASSIVE jump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Yeah the QPF will likely be underdone a bit this afternoon in the deformation band (prob sets up over E MA…maybe as far west as central areas if lucky)….but I also don’t think this is a major short term model bust incoming elsewhere. The low being elongated is real and will prevent the monster solutions we saw a couple days ago. That said, those putrid rgem solutions are going to be wrong too. Reality in the middle. Yeah, I'd love to see the deform back up to the river but it really looks to be pivoting right over 395 to orh. Tell me what I'm missing that says Kevin gets another foot of snow, my weenie ears are wide open. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovewellHemp Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 2 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Poor rhode island lmao must be pissing their pants. That should fill in. Lol that's the way it always goes. Although I'm not sure it's been as bad as it looks on radar. Then again it's really hard to tell how much snow is falling vs how much is blowing off the ground with these 50+ mph gusts. It's gone to whiteout in the past couple of minutes and winds are increasing 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 1 minute ago, Modfan2 said: Do those two bands in E CT merge? You said crossing the streams was bad Ray 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah the QPF will likely be underdone a bit this afternoon in the deformation band (prob sets up over E MA…maybe as far west as central areas if lucky)….but I also don’t think this is a major short term model bust incoming elsewhere. The low being elongated is real and will prevent the monster solutions we saw a couple days ago. That said, those putrid rgem solutions are going to be wrong too. Reality in the middle. Yeah… big totals might not be realized west… o still think this could e historic for someone in eastern ma. Norwell, Hanover area comes to mind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: I do like seeing that WCB stuff south of BID heading on a trajectory to get wrapped into the CCB over E MA and RI. Too bad we couldn’t get that stuff east of the Cape to wrap all the way back. Mm, this is starting to smell like a now-cast over-achiever, relative to the late model guidance shirking and pulling E solutions that is. ( not yelling at anyway lol...just sayn') granted the euro came back a bit at 18z yesterday. I haven't frankly seen any modeling since the early 00Z's and those were skim over looks... Now-casting is worth it on this bitch. But even the Euro was guilty of the dual node low, stressed cyclonic coherence scheme on a couple of runs - proverbial pin pricks in the glory balloon. Just when we almost had art ... Sometimes I wonder if there's a troll-mole planted in modeling sciences haha. But yeah..we've been onto the Meteorological oddity as not supporting the GFS - like solutions. Heh, it's one thing to cook up a bad idea once or twice along a storms story line, but to be adamantly unwavering and insistent even at 12 hrs ahead??!! That's a HUGE indictment - I'm sorry. We should note there have been hints of stalls.. moves toward doing so in the guidance from a couple days back, it was at least hinted. Looking at the well centralized deepening low due S of the eastern tip of L.I., and going forward through the synoptics.. I feel there is at least some chance these jet field could back some. There's always a bit of uncertainty when closing lows. We'll see if that happens.. It's a learning op on how cyclogenesis accuracy in proficiency ( and position and stressing evince problems ...), is critical piece to models getting things right. There are dynamic height falls associated to the low formation and the cloud/precipitation mechanics releasing rising air inducing height falls that feedback on trough structure, as the main S/W axis is nearing. Those feed-backs combined with and that is where the axis of the cut takes place... The models were showing the cut at 500 mb, ...way west of a low escaping east, and a 700 mb in between elevation low, skewed west. I mean you can "tilt" these aspect some .. we see that. But this was stressing believability to me. I said yesterday I wasn't buying it - I was resolute in being okay if proven wrong. Cool man. Bring it on. So we'll see where this goes.. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Wind picking up a bit here in the Seaport. Still pixie dust, leaf blower snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattm4242 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 5 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: I may not even need to shovel. Wind is working wonders on clearing the entire yard for that matter. Yeah my yard and driveway is just blown all over the place. My deck somehow has stayed mostly intact, looks like we have a good amount of snow for this early. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Just now, LovewellHemp said: Lol that's the way it always goes. Although I'm not sure it's been as bad as it looks on radar. Then again it's really hard to tell how much snow is falling vs how much is blowing off the ground with these 50+ mph gusts. It's gone to whiteout in the past couple of minutes and winds are increasing That's the story with this one for many. Even back here, the blowing snow is impressive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Just now, JC-CT said: Yeah, I'd love to see the deform back up to the river but it really looks to be pivoting right over 395 to orh. Tell me what I'm missing that says Kevin gets another foot of snow, my weenie ears are wide open. I’d be surprised if Kevin got another foot, but it’s not out of the envelope of possibilities. If he grabs the western edge of the deformation band, then it could pile up quickly for a few hours. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Maybe an inch? -SN, poor growth. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Getting pounded here right now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 20 minutes ago, dendrite said: Getting some banding creeping in toward electric blue now. Radar is just picking up on all the glitter. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Ok snow growth has really picked up. it is always nice when you aren't spending all of your time focused on other people's snow. it does look like there is slowly some enhancing of the returns backing in and setting up to our west. the hrrr was like .25 though - oy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah the QPF will likely be underdone a bit this afternoon in the deformation band (prob sets up over E MA…maybe as far west as central areas if lucky)….but I also don’t think this is a major short term model bust incoming elsewhere. The low being elongated is real and will prevent the monster solutions we saw a couple days ago. That said, those putrid rgem solutions are going to be wrong too. Reality in the middle. I will say, to at the very least prove that I'm not part of the everything is awesome crowd, that an elongated low screwing up a textbook evolution aloft proves that for many of us this just isn't our winter. That really is unfortunate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: I’d be surprised if Kevin got another foot, but it’s not out of the envelope of possibilities. If he grabs the western edge of the deformation band, then it could pile up quickly for a few hours. So what you're saying is that if that happens, he was always right and meteorology over modelology and some people never learn? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhitinsvilleWX Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Still kinda wimpy here. Maybe 4-5 inches. Hard to tell with all the wind. See what happens as the day goes on, but so far, ……meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 It’s actually getting darker here lol. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 6 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Box actually expanded there 24-30 zone to include almost all of Bristol and Plymouth county and 18-24 now reached back to ginxy Is there an update from the 7:00a.m. map? I'm not seeing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 29, 2022 Author Share Posted January 29, 2022 9am update 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: It’s actually getting darker here lol. It is DARK here too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Won't have to shovel that part of the driveway. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Getting excited for that SE MA band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 6-7 inches here so far 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Looking for that band rotating up from PYM county into BOS area. Should be interesting to see it interact with the coastal front i.e rates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Ooh band of yellow incoming… that rarely happens here… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Just now, BostonWX said: Looking for that band rotating up from PYM county into BOS area. Should be interesting to see it interact with the coastal front i.e rates We need it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Growth improved a bit here. 2" new Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 29, 2022 Author Share Posted January 29, 2022 When this band moves in, I'll be pinning myself to the window. Looks sick. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Kinda interested to see if this WCB push feeds into the ginxy band or if it overwhelms it and pushes more westward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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