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OBS/DISCO - The Historic James Blizzard of 2022


TalcottWx
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Back on pg 8 of this thread as I supple from a cozy cup of coffee with a side of hotdogs. 

Beautiful storm on satellite...  HUGE being if perhaps the most distinguishing aspect.  wow -

Snap comparison: The GFS from 00z is/was biased east, comparing to the ~ 12z sfc analysis by WPC; the 1042 Z analysis ( 6:42 am:  https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/sfc/90fwbg.gif ) to be precise..

The GFS appears to be seaward biased by a considerable margin with its 12 hour position.   The former ( time sensy..) is clearly showing a well formed, and perhaps most important aspect of all,                        NO F'ING DUAL BULLSHIT LOWS.... ,               stressing the lower/sfc cyclonic structure. 

Now, ..that does not account for the 1:18 hours between the time of that analysis, and the 12z model depiction found here,

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2022012900&fh=12

...but we're only talking a 1 hour and 18 minute offset.  The is moving N by NNE, just west of the 70 longitude, and it appears this error between it, and the subsequent GFS recent runs of obsessing stretching and dual/triple lows ... are destined to grow ... as reality slowly sinks the Samurai sword into the heart of the assholes that developed the Good For Shit model! 

Sorry...need to vent.    More objectively... not declaring so...just a suspicion based on these present evidence - also knowing Meteorologically what is happening to drive this thing along.  

 

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Just now, Winter Wizard said:

Around 2” so far in Somerville. Pretty unimpressive snow growth but winds are picking up. Should be a much different story in a few hours. 

Haven't been out to measure yet but looks like the same in the Seaport. Pixie Dust blowing around, cars partially covered etc. 

 

@DotRat_Wx Are you seeing the same?

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