January 28/29 Blizzard Observations/Discussion/Nowcasting

[Rjay]

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

ISP approaching their snowiest day on record with many of the top 10 during the recent record snowfall era.

 

Maximum 1-Day Total Snowfall 
for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Value	Ending Date
1	23.4	2016-01-23
2	17.4	2015-01-27
3	16.7	2013-02-08
-	16.7	2006-02-12
4	16.5	1978-02-06
5	16.0	2018-01-04
-	16.0	1982-04-06
6	15.6	1978-01-20
7	15.0	1969-02-09
-	15.0	1967-03-22
8	14.9	2018-03-21
9	14.3	2017-02-09
-	14.3	2009-12-20
10	14.0	2011-01-12

 

 

ISP will break the record this hour or next.  

[Nibor]

Just now, EasternLI said:

[psv88]

FRG also with blizzard conditions last hour 

[MJO812]

11 inches here in south Brooklyn

[psv88]

Wow, JFK blizzard for the last 4 hours 

[T5403CG]

Just went out for a blizzard beer walk with me brother in SW Suffolk... Less than 1/10 mile visibility... 30+ winds... temp below 20...

16"+ who knows... it's glorious

Just beautiful...



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[NorthShoreWx]

Except for the wind really cranking, that subsidence was kinda boring. Back into good rates now

Depth on the snow stake hasn't increased since about 9:30, despite having a couple of hours of approx. 2" rates during that time.  Safe to say we have at least the  13" on the stake and probably a good bit more.  I was happy with my 9am obs, but since then measuring this one is a royal mess.  No idea how to get an accurate number now.

The stake is near my boards on flat ground in the most open spot I have.  My neighbor has more of a hill in front of his house and the "waves" on his lawn look a little like swells on the ocean.  My lawn has more uniform snow depth, but clearly a lot of that snow is going somewhere else.

 

 

[HVSnowLover]

Upton did really well with holding their ground with the 7-11 for NYC even with the models going east yesterday. If anything NYC may overperform a little. 

[Rjay]

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
1228 PM EST Sat Jan 29 2022

...BLIZZARD CONFIRMED ACROSS SUFFOLK COUNTY NEW YORK AND NEW
LONDON COUNTY CONNECTICUT...

The National Weather Service in New York, NY can preliminarily
confirm that blizzard criteria was met this morning across Suffolk
County New York and New London County Connecticut.

Further analysis will be conducted in the days ahead to determine
which additional zones, if any, reached blizzard criteria during
this evening. Further analysis will also be conducted to determine
the exact start and end times of blizzard conditions in the areas
where such conditions have already been confirmed.

[nycsnow]

Still getting crushed here in Massapequa just shoveled it came back instantly 

 

[EasternLI]

Updated 

[Gravity Wave]

 

2 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said:

Upton did really well with holding their ground with the 7-11 for NYC even with the models going east yesterday. If anything NYC may overperform a little. 

 

Yes, the park has 0.86 LE as of 1:00 so probably 10" there, I'd say we have 8-9" on the East side (due to losing more from melt at the start of the storm). I can't imagine other parts of the city having much less than that.

[bluewave]

12 minutes ago, Rjay said:

ISP will break the record this hour or next.  

It’s easy to lose track of all these high end snow events in recent years.

 

Maximum 2-Day Total Snowfall 
for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Value	Ending Date	Missing Days
1	27.8	2013-02-09	0
2	25.9	1978-02-07	0
3	24.9	2015-01-27	0
4	23.9	2009-12-20	0
5	23.7	2016-01-24	0
6	23.4	2016-01-23	0
7	20.1	1983-02-12	0
8	19.9	2006-02-12	0
9	18.4	2018-03-22	0
10	17.8	1978-01-20	0
11	17.4	2015-01-28	0
12	17.0	1996-01-08	0
-	17.0	1969-02-10	0
-	17.0	1967-03-22	0
15	16.7	2013-02-08	0
-	16.7	2006-02-13	0
17	16.5	1978-02-06	0
18	16.0	2018-01-05	0
-	16.0	2018-01-04	0
-	16.0	1982-04-07	0
-	16.0	1982-04-06	0
22	15.6	1978-01-21	0
23	15.2	2011-01-12	0
24	15.1	2005-01-23	0
25	15.0	1969-02-09	0
-	15.0	1967-03-23	0

[the_other_guy]

Done. Like a light switch in Westchester. From wild to nothing

[dmillz25]

Just now, Gravity Wave said:

 

 

Yes, the park has 0.86 LE as of 1:00 so probably 10" there, I'd say we have 8-9" on the East side (due to losing more from melt at the start of the storm). I can't imagine other parts of the city having much less than that.

We have 12” here in bed stuy Brooklyn 

[Rjay]

3 minutes ago, bluewave said:

It’s easy to lose track of all these high end snow events in recent years.

 

Maximum 2-Day Total Snowfall 
for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Value	Ending Date	Missing Days
1	27.8	2013-02-09	0
2	25.9	1978-02-07	0
3	24.9	2015-01-27	0
4	23.9	2009-12-20	0
5	23.7	2016-01-24	0
6	23.4	2016-01-23	0
7	20.1	1983-02-12	0
8	19.9	2006-02-12	0
9	18.4	2018-03-22	0
10	17.8	1978-01-20	0
11	17.4	2015-01-28	0
12	17.0	1996-01-08	0
-	17.0	1969-02-10	0
-	17.0	1967-03-22	0
15	16.7	2013-02-08	0
-	16.7	2006-02-13	0
17	16.5	1978-02-06	0
18	16.0	2018-01-05	0
-	16.0	2018-01-04	0
-	16.0	1982-04-07	0
-	16.0	1982-04-06	0
22	15.6	1978-01-21	0
23	15.2	2011-01-12	0
24	15.1	2005-01-23	0
25	15.0	1969-02-09	0
-	15.0	1967-03-23	0

 

Maybe they don't break the record then.  Idk. 

 

They could break both though. 

[justinj]

[NorthShoreWx]

Southampton has been getting obliterated.  Then again, a lot of places have.  But here:

 

[tdp146]

2 minutes ago, Rjay said:

 

Maybe they don't break the record then.  Idk. 

Ridiculous. Who do we think we are losing track of all these 20 inch blizzards the last decade or so

[Gravity Wave]

3 minutes ago, dmillz25 said:

We have 12” here in bed stuy Brooklyn 

Yeah you got a little more banding than we did overnight. The final gradient between NENJ/the LHV and eastern Queens/Nassau is going to be dramatic.

[justinj]

10 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

Except for the wind really cranking, that subsidence was kinda boring. Back into good rates now

Depth on the snow stake hasn't increased since about 9:30, despite having a couple of hours of approx. 2" rates during that time.  Safe to say we have at least the  13" on the stake and probably a good bit more.  I was happy with my 9am obs, but since then measuring this one is a royal mess.  No idea how to get an accurate number now.

The stake is near my boards on flat ground in the most open spot I have.  My neighbor has more of a hill in front of his house and the "waves" on his lawn look a little like swells on the ocean.  My lawn has more uniform snow depth, but clearly a lot of that snow is going somewhere else.

 

 

Just spoke with my dad who lives in smithtown (borderline kings park) and they have well over a foot. He’s at around 16-17”

[psv88]

1 minute ago, justinj said:

Just spoke with my dad who lives in smithtown (borderline kings park) and they have well over a foot. He’s at around 16-17”

I have about that in commack, maybe slightly more since I didn’t get any subsidence today. 

[Brasiluvsnow]

I am not sure what my final total is here in Rockland I will go with around 5 inches as a guesstimate but I will take it after the possibility of getting NADA was on the table and to you guys who made out and got 8-10 a foot or even more ENJOY the snow as there will be other opportunities for us to get the goods up here

[justinj]

1 minute ago, psv88 said:

I have about that in commack, maybe slightly more since I didn’t get any subsidence today. 

Looks like the end is near

[Rjay]

5' drifts 

 

 

[shadowsintherain]

I’m in copiague currently. My apt in Babylon is now under 18.5 inches. They reported 13.5 3 hours ago. 

 

[Intensewind002]

1 minute ago, shadowsintherain said:

I’m in copiague currently. My apt in Babylon is now under 18.5 inches. They reported 13.5 3 hours ago. 

 

They’ve been cranking under the core of that little band for a good couple hours now, probably had 2”/hr rates

[kat5hurricane]

It's impossible to measure with all the drifts but I'd say about a 11-12 inches in Whitestone. The good thing about the drifts is that it left some relatively bare ground in spots for the dog to do his business.

That weenie band bear Boston is absurd. That's an all timer for them.

[psv88]

4 minutes ago, justinj said:

Looks like the end is near

Worst is done, maybe another inch for Nassau and western Suffolk 

[Snowlover11]

10” final here.