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January 28-29 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Obs/Discussion


mappy
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Got a small cat nap in. Too good to sleep through this. 
 

28F heavy snow 5.25” (2” in the last hour) ~ asbury park

As impressive as the snow has been for the last few hours, the worst of it won’t come for another 5-7 hours, when the 500mb low closes off - all as arctic air crashes to the coastline (temps in the mid to upper teens in NEPA & NWNJ) Some signs the 500mb close off could happen sooner than expected. 5am - 10am should be absolutely bonkers. 

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3 minutes ago, jayyy said:

Got a small cat nap in. Too good to sleep through this. 
 

28F heavy snow 5.25” ~ asbury park

As impressive as the snow has been for the last few hours, the worst of it won’t come for another 5-7 hours, when the 500mb low closes off - all as arctic air crashes to the coastline (temps in the mid to upper teens in NEPA & NWNJ) Some signs the 500mb close off could happen sooner than expected. 5am - 10am should be absolutely bonkers. 

really getting slammed here a good hour south of you. 

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8 minutes ago, KAOS said:

Don't worry it is back building...

image.png.130a147eb3fca02dd2a876360f0e839d.png

I love back building but so many of us on the edge. id rather be in the snow as it back builds if you get what im saying. normally after it back builds it normally goes up in smoke sooner then id like.

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3 minutes ago, ME_wannabe said:

really getting slammed here a good hour south of you. 

Fantastic banding spanning from coastal DE up the NJ coastline to NYC / LI. Best part? It’s going to get a whole lot better in the next several hours. Hawking that 500mb low 

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1 minute ago, jayyy said:

Clear signs that the 500mb low is rapidly closing off. Should occur around NoVA w/ current trends. The 500mb low is the KEY factor in capturing the storm and pulling the precip shield west. Unfortunately, this occurs too late for Baltimore proper  

7EC4B1C4-C234-423E-8FA9-01B7E58BC41B.png

what areas north of balti could benefit from this 

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24.5F
very heavy snow
8.75” 25mph N

Tracking 4” per hour rates developing and pushing onshore in the coming hours for nearly the entire NJ coastline on over to the south shore of Long Island. Can clearly see the atmosphere being stretched along the DE and NJ coastline from the low pressure center. As temps crash into the teens, ratios may exceed 20:1 at the height  

3D60CAFA-66B3-49E1-B28B-9C6504A76A70.png

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Can't even imagine what BOS'll be like with 4 inch an hour rates, and 70 mph gusts - it'll be a straight on MILKSHAKE FROTH, visibility will be completely shot to hell - The WHITE HURRICANE of 2022.

A snow enthusiast could easily get disorientated in that situation - get lost only yards from his door - easily freeze to death because of the wind chill and the blowing snow literally blinding him!

(I spelled disoriented that way intentionally, just love Bear Grylls to no end, he says disorientated, and I would just LOVE to get disorientated in the blowing snow!)

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11 minutes ago, Jebman said:

Jayyy whats this thing gonna be doin around 1130am CT?

So about 12:30pm here - should begin to see the precip shield being pulled east - however very slowly due to the 500mb capture / close off. Southern New England will be getting destroyed. BOS blizzard warning goes through 5 am Sunday. The storm slows down big time. 

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6 minutes ago, Jebman said:

I wish the storm STALLED - then began to retrograde southwest. Sure I'm a snow weenie at heart

In the next 4/5 hours as the 500mb low closes off, you will likely see the low (and precip shield) get pulled west for a while. It’ll look awfully tempting on radar for places getting fringed right now. Intense lift along the coast is, however, creating a lot of sinking air just inland from these bands. The snow gradient will be absolutely astonishing once this wraps up.

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