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January 28-29 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Obs/Discussion


mappy
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1 minute ago, WxUSAF said:

Although I'm not under this morning band that was advertised by some of the meso models, I think it's encouraging that you all are getting good dendrite formation from relatively light precip.  
 

 

So the NAM is right!  Thanks!

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10 minutes ago, T. August said:

Does any model show less than .5” precip for you? I feel like you’re a lock for 5-8”.

I haven't look too closely at the latest but generally a half inch. Temps will be cold other than at the very beginning, so that is a plus. My concern is the western edge being closer than modeled and dry air working in. Have seen that many times with Miller B type storms. As it stands 6-8" seems reasonable, but places right along the eastern side bay are probably looking at 4-5.

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