January 28-29 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Obs/Discussion

[Silver Meteor]

Hello from eastern N.C. I've seen a lot of Lows pass by down here but this one is waaaaaay offshore. Heck, it's running off the screen. I've a feeling this storm isn't going to pound the Mid-Atlantic coast with as much snow as people are thinking ... unless a team of wild horses pulls it back in.

 

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

1 minute ago, Silver Meteor said:

Hello from eastern N.C. I've seen a lot of Lows pass by down here but this one is waaaaaay offshore. Heck, it's running off the screen. I've a feeling this storm isn't going to pound the Mid-Atlantic coast with as much snow as people are thinking ... unless a team of wild horses pulls it back in.

 

I dunno man radar looks pretty good for coastal Delaware, ripping as we speak. 

[clskinsfan]

OC has gone over to snow. Its gonna be a fun 12 hours there:

https://oceancitylive.com/ocean-city-webcams/ocean-city-beach-cam-inlet-view/

 

[Curlyq]

Spot on Silver.  Perhaps the next one will provide more snow for us folks here in the MA.

[87storms]

2 minutes ago, Silver Meteor said:

Hello from eastern N.C. I've seen a lot of Lows pass by down here but this one is waaaaaay offshore. Heck, it's running off the screen. I've a feeling this storm isn't going to pound the Mid-Atlantic coast with as much snow as people are thinking ... unless a team of wild horses pulls it back in.

 

i think the idea is that it phases with the upper level energy in time.  the low is definitely out in the gulf stream, but there's still quite a bit of mid level energy to get wrapped into it.

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/SFCUS/last.html

[GramaxRefugee]

1.0" Davidsonville. 

Still light snowing. Hasn't really stopped all evening, but has been light.

[T. August]

Looks like .5 at home in Havre de Grace, although I am not there to confirm in-person. 

[NorthArlington101]

Still very light snowfall but it's not accumulating in Charlottesville. Running with 2" until someone around me reports more (or less).

[87storms]

latest nam did kind of shift a little east.  still solid for the coast though.

edit: on second thought, pretty negligible.

[WxSynopsisDavid]

6 minutes ago, Silver Meteor said:

Hello from eastern N.C. I've seen a lot of Lows pass by down here but this one is waaaaaay offshore. Heck, it's running off the screen. I've a feeling this storm isn't going to pound the Mid-Atlantic coast with as much snow as people are thinking ... unless a team of wild horses pulls it back in.

 

Incorrect. That’s not waaaaay offshore. Every guidance I seen had the coastal about in that general area. What happens is the coastal develops a double low and along with the phase happening, the coastal storm gets pulled back west once it is paralleled to OBX. As it stands, everything is going as forecasted for the Delmarva into the northeast.

[LP08]

Better flakes currently than the last couple hours…maybe 0.5” or so here in Arlington

[jonjon]

6 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

OC has gone over to snow. Its gonna be a fun 12 hours there:

https://oceancitylive.com/ocean-city-webcams/ocean-city-beach-cam-inlet-view/

 

Just got here in OC at 9:00.  It was mostly snow but a lot of "wet" hitting the windshield.

Snowed the whole trip, but mostly just wet roads.   The snow was the hardest around Easton when we went through, roads got covered a bit then.

Now it looks to be all snow here and really getting cranking.

[Grothar of Herndon]

31/29

pixie flakes little larger and steady as she goes

0.40”

Still beautiful outside!

[WxSynopsisDavid]

Really at this stage of the game the models carry zero weight, they will often swing and miss concerning the mesoscale. Radar and satellite observations will be the go-to as we can toss the models in the can until next storm

[WEATHER53]

9:30 obs

Since last ob two hours ago it went very light so stayed at 1.5” and temp up to 32.  But in last 15 mins picked up  almost steady and temp down to 31.6

[WxUSAF]

Getting a decent band now and flakes are non microscopic. How long can it last? Measured 0.6” at 9pm.

[jayyy]

6 minutes ago, WxSynopsisDavid said:

Incorrect. That’s not waaaaay offshore. Every guidance I seen had the coastal about in that general area. What happens is the coastal develops a double low and along with the phase happening, the coastal storm gets pulled back west once it is paralleled to OBX. As it stands, everything is going as forecasted for the Delmarva into the northeast.

Correct. 

[Silver Meteor]

13 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

I dunno man radar looks pretty good for coastal Delaware, ripping as we speak. 

HRRR sure looks good. I hope the whole peninsula gets a window rattler and nice snow drifts. Was there for a blizzard once (early '90s?) and know how wild it can get on that coast.

[AlexD1990]

Puking snow in Lewes. 31 degrees, about a half inch and accumulating rapidly. Roads wet for now..

Sent from my SM-F711U using Tapatalk

[jayyy]

2 minutes ago, Silver Meteor said:

HRRR sure looks good. I hope the whole peninsula gets a window rattler and nice snow drifts. Was there for a blizzard once (early '90s?) and know how wild it can get on that coast.

Heavy snow on the immediate coast is sweet.
 

Feeling kinda cute. Might jebwalk to the boardwalk tomorrow. 

[LP08]

3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Getting a decent band now and flakes are non microscopic. How long can it last? Measured 0.6” at 9pm.

Don’t hate the radar as much anymore

[87storms]

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=DOX-N0Q-1-24-100-usa-rad

[DDweatherman]

Enjoying a red headed stepchild courtesy of @Scraff as the snow continues up here. Can’t see liberty at the moment, snow is pretty steady. Getting a bit of enhancement off the mountain here

[WxUSAF]

0.7”. Wiped the snowboard. Time for a Jebwalk.

[PantherJustin]

 Don’t know if you guys are looking for reports from down here…This storm sucks…. HRRR sucks it’s a flaming dumpster… it’s 34 and raining here 30 miles North of Charlotte I was supposed to have 3” in this “Death band” if you listen to the short range Goofus … goodluck to you guys upstream but I’m out …. I can’t whine too much im 7” for a season total but still  

[DanTheMan]

Drove out to Winchester tonight to meet some friends and its been snowing continuously for hours, only maybe an inch or so but very pretty 

[Silver Meteor]

8 minutes ago, WxSynopsisDavid said:

Incorrect. That’s not waaaaay offshore. Every guidance I seen had the coastal about in that general area. What happens is the coastal develops a double low and along with the phase happening, the coastal storm gets pulled back west once it is paralleled to OBX. As it stands, everything is going as forecasted for the Delmarva into the northeast.

Did I say anything about guidance? No. I said I've seen many Lows pass by this coastline and this one is much farther out than normal. Much farther out. A simple, basic fact. (And your response is an example of why I almost never post on this website.) If the 850 pulls it back in, great, I'm all for it ... but again I was only pointing out a peculiarity with the track at this latitude.

[jayyy]

Man, Baltimore is going to get real close. Once the 500low closes off and pulls the coastal west a bit around OBX’s latitude, it’s hard to see Baltimore not getting some hours of solid snow. 

CAPE - pretty sure those higher totals may verify out your way. Radar is quite promising 

[Solution Man]

Solid 2 here in Haymarket with pixie dust 

[MillvilleWx]

The coast from OCMD to Rehoboth is going to get absolutely smoked. My god. A CLASSIC depiction on radar for a drubbing. Anyone down there will enjoy every second. Get the coffee pot brewing. It’s going to be a fun night down there.