WeatherMonger Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 1 hour ago, StormChaser4Life said: Meanwhile WPC keeps shifting their highest probabilities for snow se. They might have to reverse that if trends continue. This seems a little too se imo Their latest graphic. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 for Northeast IL folks. All caveats aside that it's NAM 84 out, and I'm a novice when it comes to model interpretation but liked the look of it as it seemed to bring the overunning back north into a good part of the metro as opposed to 12Z which kept it all south. Also, looked like 2nd wave was poised to do some damage as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Hourly wearher grod has 12.2" ATM, has .7" not shown through 5pm Fri. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Mike Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, Baum said: for Northeast IL folks. All caveats aside that it's NAM 84 out, and I'm a novice when it comes to model interpretation but liked the look of it as it seemed to bring the overunning back north into a good part of the metro as opposed to 12Z which kept it all south. Also, looked like 2nd wave was poised to do some damage as well. I see that also. I fly into Chicago tuesday night for business so would love to catch a good snowstorm while I’m there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Latest ILX graphic 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magoos0728 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 8 minutes ago, Baum said: for Northeast IL folks. All caveats aside that it's NAM 84 out, and I'm a novice when it comes to model interpretation but liked the look of it as it seemed to bring the overunning back north into a good part of the metro as opposed to 12Z which kept it all south. Also, looked like 2nd wave was poised to do some damage as well. Am hopeful for this to continue... would love to see it in Arlington Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 26 minutes ago, WeatherMonger said: Their latest graphic. Now that looks better. I'm super excited for you man. You're going to get Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 12 minutes ago, Baum said: for Northeast IL folks. All caveats aside that it's NAM 84 out, and I'm a novice when it comes to model interpretation but liked the look of it as it seemed to bring the overunning back north into a good part of the metro as opposed to 12Z which kept it all south. Also, looked like 2nd wave was poised to do some damage as well. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Would obviously prefer more breathing room, but am cautiously optimistic about reaching double digits locally. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 5 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: Now that looks better. I'm super excited for you man. You're going to get I'll know by Saturday i've had my hopes crushed too many times, just hope the changeover happens fast. Need the rain too though, have two 2 1/2' dirt mounds in the front yard from water line repair that need to settle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 1 hour ago, Hoosier said: 12z EPS has that roughly CMI-FWA-TOL bullseye. FYP. Truthfully, I'm afraid of the fact that even a 50 mile north shift would put us in danger of ice. We may begin with overrunning rain the way it is. It pains me to say it, but I'd rather have sleet than ice (The former LAF guys know what i mean). Hail, Hail, the gang's all here. Good to see @snowstormcanuck, @Chicago WX, @TheWeatherPimp, @Harry, and I guess that you can throw @Thundersnow12in there. Welcome back. A lot of us old farts are still around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Plumes for ORD up 6.76 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Generally speaking once the north trend starts at this range, it continues for 24-48 hours. I’m hopeful but not holding my breath. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, mimillman said: Generally speaking once the north trend starts at this range, it continues for 24-48 hours. I’m hopeful but not holding my breath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 It should also be noted for those on the northwest side of things that a lot of QPF advertised in the overrunning event will be lost to poor boundary layer temps and poor rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 18z GFS is coming north with everything... Overrunning event and the main storm system. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEILwxbo Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Let the north trends commence…just in time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Mike Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: 18z GFS is coming north with everything... Overrunning event and the main storm system. Here she comes ! The north trend is continuing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Easy to see more ridging by a Wednesday night from the srn plains into the lower miss valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Street Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Am I the only one who doesn't know what GHD means? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 1 minute ago, Street said: Am I the only one who doesn't know what GHD means? Groundhog Day 2011 Groundhog Day blizzard - Wikipedia (GHD I) January 31 – February 2, 2015 North American blizzard - Wikipedia (GHD II) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 18z GFS is going to be an absolute crush job. Wider swath of large accumulations with the lead wave and the second one is coming in deeper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Street Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Just now, DaveNay said: Groundhog Day 2011 Groundhog Day blizzard - Wikipedia (GHD I) January 31 – February 2, 2015 North American blizzard - Wikipedia (GHD II) Why couldn't I put 2 and 2 together there? lol thanks! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 If the trend keeps going, those oranges will be in N IL by 18z tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 1-2ft across Chi metro from NW-SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 There might have been some potential still left on the table with that trough evolution in the Southwest/Plains.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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