HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 N IN and NW OH absolutely destroyed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 You really just have to sit back and marvel at some of this model output. Wow. Wow. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: There might have been some potential still left on the table with that trough evolution in the Southwest/Plains. . Thought the same thing. There is sort of a lagging area of snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: There might have been some potential still left on the table with that trough evolution in the Southwest/Plains. . Thought the same thing looking at that. If we get that shortwave to amplify just a bit more and eject more intact, not only does the potential for a blizzard go up, but I could see jackpots approaching 2 feet from that wave alone given how moisture logged this thing is. Effectively, this thing is basically two storms in one. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 If the trend keeps going, those oranges will be in N IL by 18z tomorrow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 GEFS will be sweet too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Sounding from the Chicago metro on Thursday, during the heart of the main storm system.Deep DGZ is deep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zinski1990 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Ice probably going to be extreme where I'm at Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 RC wrote a great afd that laid it all out. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 12 minutes ago, andyhb said: N IN and NW OH absolutely destroyed. I am in the middle of that crush zone here in Findlay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 So it took a little longer then I thought for the trend back north I see. Could end up paying off big time. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner88 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 3 minutes ago, Hoosier said: RC wrote a great afd that laid it all out. One of the most detailed ones I might have ever seen. Real good stuff. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 This GEFS is going to be wild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 1 minute ago, Kaner88 said: One of the most detailed ones I might have ever seen. Real good stuff. I almost wonder if there was some coordination on being cautious of snow maps on social media. I read that line in 2 or 3 afds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dalfy Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 15 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: This includes sleet correct? Going by sim radar St. Louis doesn't changeover to snow until ~hr 87. QPF after is ~.4. 9.7'' seems high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner88 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 1 minute ago, mimillman said: This GEFS is going to be wild No kidding, Hour 96 sees 1.5" QPF downtown compared to 1.06" on the 12z. Man oh man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Leaned a little more amped in the forecast idea here at CLE today…suspect we may inch the IP/ZR a bit farther N with time but as a start have it for the southeastern 2/3rds of the CWA…not quite to Cleveland yet but suspect it gets there. Snow grids don’t go out through the whole storm yet here with the heaviest in OH being Thursday so the grids only mean so much for now here. Like the 12/18z GFS, 0z CMC, 12z Euro as a start for rough conceptual ideas and adjust from there. Feel like PV adjustments noted on the Euro yesterday that led to the SE bump have stopped today. Feel that with a ridge off the west coast and SE ridge/+NAO that a system heavily driven by WAA like this will want to edge a bit more amped and NW unless that PV just shears out the wave more…currently seems unlikely but that’s what to watch if you want a colder trend. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Why does gfs have to tease me like this? Lol. RC had incredible afd highlighting best and worse case scenarios here. Definitely nervous about the PV anomaly and northern stream wave racing ahead leading to a more shunted 2nd wave and potentially even 1st wave. Liking the trends today and hoping they continue. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Some of the ensembles are painting 3 feet in some spots. 3. FEET. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 This GEFS is unreal. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 This ensemble signal rivals east coast big dogs 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 1 minute ago, Malacka11 said: This GEFS is unreal. At a loss for words looking at them. Wow 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Why are people posting GFS clown maps at 240 hours? (sarcasm) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 9 minutes ago, Hoosier said: I almost wonder if there was some coordination on being cautious of snow maps on social media. I read that line in 2 or 3 afds. Not sure if there was collaboration on that or not, but these insane numbers rarely pan out as modeled, plus track will change, so here we are trying to be aggressive enough to get people to stay tuned to the forecast but vague enough to not put amounts in anyone’s heads yet. Once models show all time record snow storms and a ton of ice it’s hard to stop that hype train from getting into the public sphere but we can try to at least steer the message…try the key word. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 A few of the 18z GEFS are pretty much off the charts. Like almost scary to contemplate what kind of disruption there would be. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Here you go, you filthy animals! 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 2 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: It's great to see so many old posters! Might have to make an impromptu trip if that GFS verifies. But will need to see more model agreement and consistency (hopefully sooner than later for travel plans). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 I don't really pay close attention to the East Coast, but I don't even know if I can recall any storm period with an ensemble MEAN that beefed up several days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 A few of the 18z GEFS are pretty much off the charts. Like almost scary to contemplate what kind of disruption there would be.A few appear to be near ~40” based on WxBell maps color scale. Obviously at 10:1 ratio.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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