stormtracker Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 So far, NAM looks better than 6z, not as good as 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 I'll be comparing to 0z, 6z btw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: @Bob Chill I’m more disappointed in the degradation of the NS SW and upper level low pass. That has some potential v the coastal that I’ve never been excited for. Hopefully that stops trending south. Is the NS SW helping to push the coastal further east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 out to 45. It's obvious it will be better than 6z for sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Northern stream better aligned, better height rises so far than 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, stormtracker said: out to 45. It's obvious it will be better than 6z for sure. NS diving in is west of 6z and a hair stronger than 0z. Southern Stream looks like its splitting the difference between 0z and 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Still positive improvements over 6z. At this point, I'll stop with the 0z, no longer useful since it's clear that will be better than this run. Basically, relative to all 3 runs, this one can be some up as the goldilocks run. Right in the middle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, LP08 said: NS diving in is west of 6z and a hair stronger than 0z. Southern Stream looks like its splitting the difference between 0z and 6z. TPV up NE is better aligned allowing some height rises over us... stressing how important that can be downstream 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Maybe instead of the original Jaws theme, to shake things up, we should use the Jaws II theme. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Nrn stream diving in souther, TPV aligned better. Trof still positively titled just west of the MS river Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 54, same as above Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 6 minutes ago, Wonderdog said: Is the NS SW helping to push the coastal further east? Not exactly. It's a dance. How far the upper energy slides south is tricky. The pieces dance together more than push each other around. We want lift overhead at the same time the developing low is pushing moisture into it. Left to its own devices, the arctic energy is going to be super light. Not juicy at all. Throw some ocean moisture west or northwest into the lift and it becomes an "event" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Doesn't look all that far off from 0z at 54 if we're being honest. Better than 6z no doubt, but also not much worse than 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 NS precip makes into my area around hour 53. Models have stayed consistent with that for 2 days now. impressive if it verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Doesn't look all that far off from 0z at 54 if we're being honest. Better than 6z no doubt, but also not much worse than 0z I'd argue the trof looks very close to 0z. Edit: Just a little more broad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: NS precip makes into my area around hour 53. Models have stayed consistent with that for 2 days now. impressive if it verifies. For my area I hate having to rely on those NS front end deals...because for some reason we always end up dry...or at least, that's how it happened last year. WAA came, bands west and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Argument could be made that if you look at 0z (I know, I said I wasn't anymore) and this run, the trof is sharper at 0z, but with 12z, the trof is neutral whereas with 0z at this point, it was still positively tilted. Seems like a wash, because heights are slight lower with this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Just now, LP08 said: I'd argue the trof looks very close to 0z. trof axis is pretty similar, just a bit more tail from a slightly less clean phase. The axis of the northern energies dropping in isn't due N/S like 0z, but close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Closer to the coast...and again and again...better than 6z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Argument can be made that the trough is very close to 0z now 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 11 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: 6z JMA is tight to the coast compared to most guidance. Probably would even have mby well west of i95 in the game for light coastal love . King 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Its still 2-4 on the front end for those of us in the WInchester area before it shuts off here. DC is really close to the goods this run though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Again, basically goldilocks run. Between 0z and 6z. Something to feel better about, but nothing to go super nuts over. And thats the movie folks. General 2 to 4 across the area by 81hr. Looks like we're done after that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Pretty crazy. Liking what I am seeing . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Right on the edge of the coastal as depicted by the 12z nam for the metros. Good run, I’m happy to see it’s still dangling the coastal for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Argument can be made that the trough is very close to 0z now Nah, it was a decent bit sharper if we're being honest. Shows clearly here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 And just like that, the NAM sucked me back in... hope is alive! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 OC gets 16-20. My friends on 94th street will be locked in for a week. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Nah, it was a decent bit sharper if we're being honest. Shows clearly here It wasn't. Edit. I'm not sure what you are trying to say? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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